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3442 Wildwood Ave
F Composite 30.23
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.1/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$195,000

3442 Wildwood Ave · Patterson, GA 31557
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 95 Days on market
Built 2021 0.37 ac lot Est $164k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wonderful new construction in the city limits of Patterson, GA. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home features a split bedroom floor plan, open kitchen and living room concept, and LVP flooring throughout. Coming into the home from the spacious double carport, you have a nice sized laundry room leading into the kitchen. The eat-in kitchen features plenty of cabinet space, granite counters, and all new SS appliances. The nice sized master bedroom is off the living room with a large master bathroom featuring double sinks, large tile shower and huge walk in closet w/ wood shelving. Bedrooms two and three are nice sized with spacious closets. Bathroom two features granite countertops and a tub/shower combo. The back yard of the home features an open patio perfect for grilling. Call today!

Key facts

  • Split floor plan
  • City water and sewer
  • Prime location

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANOPEN-CONCEPT LIVING AREACITY WATER AND SEWERCONVENIENT CARPORTPRIME LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located at 3442 Wildwood Ave, Patterson GA 31557; Lot size approximately 0.37 acre; Directions: Hwy 84 to Wildwood Ave
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Parking for 4 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; High-speed internet; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; House; Resale property; Built in 2021
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Cul-de-sac lot; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on lower/main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Double vanity in baths; Tile baths; One-level living; No basement; Mud room
  • Laundry & utility: Mud room for laundry/utility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-367 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (33.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (40.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (40.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#110 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pierce County (rural): math 52% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #15 of 174 in GA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Patterson Elementary School (math 71% / reading 50%, grade B-, #123 of 1,228 statewide, top 10%, 476 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 51% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 88 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,016 (40.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.60%
Cap rate
4.03%
Cash-on-cash
-8.07%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
13.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$163,680
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5525 E Railroad Ave 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,416 (+7%) 4mo $150,000 $106 78
3447 Wildwood Ave 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,251 (-5%) 24mo $195,000 $156 70
5612 Hickory Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-2%) 6mo $160,660 $124 57
5633 E Railroad Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+4%) 20mo $70,500 $51 56
3548 Dallas St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,463 (+11%) 17mo $265,000 $181 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$82,809
Equity at exit
$175,671
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
5.80×
Total profit
$262,208
Equity at exit
$378,842

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31557

Home prices YoY
12.8%
Active inventory
27
Price-to-rent
13.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,170 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,251/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$-367

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,635
Max offer price $130,162
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-257 -5% $-312 +0% $-367 +5% $-422 +10% $-477
Rent -10% $-459 -5% $-413 +0% $-367 +5% $-321 +10% $-275
Rate -1.0pp $-269 -0.5pp $-317 base $-367 +0.5pp $-418 +1.0pp $-469

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-03-23
    price $195,000
  3. 2026-02-10
    status Back On Market
  4. 2026-01-31
    status Under Contract
  5. 2026-01-16
    listed $209,000 New
  6. 2022-05-25
    soldstatus $196,500
  7. 2022-04-28
    soldstatus $196,500 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Wonderful new construction in the city limits of Patterson, GA. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home features a split bedroom floor plan, open kitchen and living room concept, and LVP flooring throughout. Coming into the home from the spacious double carport, you have a nice sized laundry room leading into the kitchen. The eat-in kitchen features plenty of cabinet space, granite counters, and all new SS appliances. The nice sized master bedroom is off the living room with a large master bathroom featuring double sinks, large tile shower and huge walk in closet w/ wood shelving. Bedrooms two and three are nice sized with spacious closets. Bathroom two features granite countertops and a tub/shower combo. The back yard of the home features an open patio perfect for grilling. Call today!

  8. 2021-11-13
    listed $195,900 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Wonderful new construction in the city limits of Patterson, GA. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home features a split bedroom floor plan, open kitchen and living room concept, and LVP flooring throughout. Coming into the home from the spacious double carport, you have a nice sized laundry room leading into the kitchen. The eat-in kitchen features plenty of cabinet space, granite counters, and all new SS appliances. The nice sized master bedroom is off the living room with a large master bathroom featuring double sinks, large tile shower and huge walk in closet w/ wood shelving. Bedrooms two and three are nice sized with spacious closets. Bathroom two features granite countertops and a tub/shower combo. The back yard of the home features an open patio perfect for grilling. Call today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,251 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,251 · $188/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,042
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$2,251
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,123
− Management
−$1,123
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$8,027
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,926
After-tax cash flow
$-2,478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pierce County
NCES district ID
1304140
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$39,523
Composite
43.04/100
National rank
#3097
State rank
#15 of 174 in GA

Livability — Patterson

Score
69/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#8413

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Patterson, GA
Population (ZIP)
3,717

Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,690 people
By 2030
19,886 · +1.0%
By 2040
20,140 · +2.3%
By 2050
20,113 · +2.1%
By 2075
19,166 · -2.7%
By 2100
16,296 · -17.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Hungarian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pierce

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.5) · D 11.2% · R 88.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -62.5pp · 2024: -77.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.5 2020: R+75.1 2016: R+74.0 2012: R+66.4 2008: R+62.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 32.95%
Current HPI
289.3963
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $195,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $209,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $196,500 Public Records
  • 2022-04-28 Sold (MLS) $196,500 SEGAMLS
  • 2021-11-13 Listed $195,900 SEGAMLS

Property tax history

+123.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,251 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…