22704 Theodore Ave · Sauk Village, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- ARV discount +2.8/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fabulous home in quiet enclave bordering forest preserve. Fully renovated in 2016. Spacious kitchen featuring stainless steel range/oven and refrigerator, white shaker cabinets and granite counter tops. Ceiling fans with LED lighting in bedrooms. Great outdoor space with huge rear patio deck as well as a large front porch. Nothing left to do except move in and enjoy! Don't miss the opportunity to make this your home! Priced to sell.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Updated ranch
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership is fee simple; Property is not currently leased; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1-car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Built between 51-60 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 76 x 96; Lot is less than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#546 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, commute D.
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206 (suburban): math 8% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #591 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 222 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $162k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.26%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,718
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22636 Theodore Ave | 0.06mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 865 (+1%) | 8mo | $120,000 | $139 | 82 |
| 22657 Brookwood Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 904 (+5%) | 12mo | $182,000 | $201 | 75 |
| 22506 Brookwood Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 908 (+6%) | 16mo | $87,500 | $96 | 64 |
| 22233 Peach Tree Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 904 (+5%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $171 | 61 |
| 22226 Brookwood Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (+7%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $180 | 59 |
| 2854 224th Pl | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+8%) | 20mo | $155,000 | $168 | 58 |
| 22116 Brookwood Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (+7%) | 6mo | $162,000 | $176 | 52 |
| 2836 223rd St | 0.43mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 975 (+14%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $169 | 50 |
| 2937 Peachtree Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 904 (+5%) | 13mo | $199,999 | $221 | 50 |
| 22122 Brookwood Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 904 (+5%) | 20mo | $185,000 | $205 | 44 |
| 22333 Yates Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (+7%) | 14mo | $140,000 | $153 | 42 |
| 2432 223rd St | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 750 (-13%) | 9mo | $89,000 | $119 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,827
- Equity at exit
- $24,155
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $61,075
- Equity at exit
- $14,007
Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60411
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,865 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$850
- Tax from tax record
- −$206 /mo · $2,474/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $350
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $442 | -5% $396 | +0% $350 | +5% $304 | +10% $258 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $203 | -5% $276 | +0% $350 | +5% $424 | +10% $497 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $432 | -0.5pp $391 | base $350 | +0.5pp $308 | +1.0pp $265 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,500
- Closing costs
- $4,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2236 220th St Sauk Village, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,800 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 22332 Clyde Ave Sauk Village, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 22340 Chappel Ave Sauk Village, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 19d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18price $162,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 222-char remark
-
2026-06-04$170,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,474 · $206/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,076 · $256/mo
- Expected delta
- +$602/yr (+$50/mo · 24.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,378
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,075
- − Property taxes
- −$2,474
- − Insurance
- −$810
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,790
- − Management
- −$1,790
- − Depreciation
- −$4,713
- Taxable income
- $1,726
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$414
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,786/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloom Twp Hsd 206
- NCES district ID
- 1706420
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,795
- Composite
- 7.4/100
- National rank
- #9952
- State rank
- #591 of 620 in IL
Livability — Sauk Village
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #546
- US rank
- #11370
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sauk Village, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,175
- Household income
- $62,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1714.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.75%
- Current HPI
- 212.4058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.48%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+143.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $170,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-22 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-04 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-04 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-17 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-14 Listed $69,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-27 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-24 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-11-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-25 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-09 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-13 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-13 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-15 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-09-11 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2023): $2,474 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…