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3911 Parker Blvd
D+ Composite 47.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

3911 Parker Blvd · Wichita Falls, TX 76302
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,379 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1980 Est $203k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home on a corner lot that has been updated throughout! Kitchen includes quality cabinetry that extends to the ceiling for ample storage and stainless steel appliances that are under 2 years old! Good size rooms with walk in closets. Master includes sitting area, large closet and remodeled bathroom with walk in shower. Seller installed garage door remote and privacy fence with gate. This home has been perfectly cared for and is move in ready! Seller would prefer leaseback until June 3rd due to school year.

Key facts

  • Two driveways
  • Parking flexibility
  • Covered front patio

Tags

DETACHED GARAGETWO DRIVEWAYSCOVERED FRONT PATIONEW ROOFPARKING FLEXIBILITY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Storm door(s)

Interior

  • Interior features: Storm windows

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($263/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (2.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (2.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $170,399 (2.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.54%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$202,713
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1314 Montgomery St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,223 (-11%) 9mo $180,000 $147 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-26,868
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-21,210
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76302

Home prices YoY
-34.7%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,704 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$334 /mo · $4,004/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,676
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $121 -5% $71 +0% $22 +5% $-28 +10% $-77
Rent -10% $-113 -5% $-45 +0% $22 +5% $89 +10% $156
Rate -1.0pp $110 -0.5pp $66 base $22 +0.5pp $-23 +1.0pp $-70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1514 Christine Rd Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,600 $1.25 46d 1 0.24mi
4739 Augusta Ln Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,600 $1.00 45d 1 1.16mi
4000 Weeks Park Ln Wichita Falls, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 870 $1,425 $1.64 45d 12 1.18mi
1556 Singleton Ave Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1830 $1,950 $1.07 45d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-05-19
    listed $175,000 Active
  6. 2022-05-24
    soldstatus
  7. 2022-05-23
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    Adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home on a corner lot that has been updated throughout! Kitchen includes quality cabinetry that extends to the ceiling for ample storage and stainless steel appliances that are under 2 years old! Good size rooms with walk in closets. Master includes sitting area, large closet and remodeled bathroom with walk in shower. Seller installed garage door remote and privacy fence with gate. This home has been perfectly cared for and is move in ready! Seller would prefer leaseback until June 3rd due to school year.

  8. 2022-05-23
    soldstatus Closed 541-char remark
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    Adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home on a corner lot that has been updated throughout! Kitchen includes quality cabinetry that extends to the ceiling for ample storage and stainless steel appliances that are under 2 years old! Good size rooms with walk in closets. Master includes sitting area, large closet and remodeled bathroom with walk in shower. Seller installed garage door remote and privacy fence with gate. This home has been perfectly cared for and is move in ready! Seller would prefer leaseback until June 3rd due to school year.

  9. 2022-05-12
    status Pending 541-char remark
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    Adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home on a corner lot that has been updated throughout! Kitchen includes quality cabinetry that extends to the ceiling for ample storage and stainless steel appliances that are under 2 years old! Good size rooms with walk in closets. Master includes sitting area, large closet and remodeled bathroom with walk in shower. Seller installed garage door remote and privacy fence with gate. This home has been perfectly cared for and is move in ready! Seller would prefer leaseback until June 3rd due to school year.

  10. 2022-04-25
    historical Active Option Contract 541-char remark
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    Adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home on a corner lot that has been updated throughout! Kitchen includes quality cabinetry that extends to the ceiling for ample storage and stainless steel appliances that are under 2 years old! Good size rooms with walk in closets. Master includes sitting area, large closet and remodeled bathroom with walk in shower. Seller installed garage door remote and privacy fence with gate. This home has been perfectly cared for and is move in ready! Seller would prefer leaseback until June 3rd due to school year.

  11. 2022-04-21
    listed $149,900
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    Adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home on a corner lot that has been updated throughout! Kitchen includes quality cabinetry that extends to the ceiling for ample storage and stainless steel appliances that are under 2 years old! Good size rooms with walk in closets. Master includes sitting area, large closet and remodeled bathroom with walk in shower. Seller installed garage door remote and privacy fence with gate. This home has been perfectly cared for and is move in ready! Seller would prefer leaseback until June 3rd due to school year.

  12. 2022-04-21
    listed $149,900 Active 541-char remark
    Show marketing remark (541 chars)

    Adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home on a corner lot that has been updated throughout! Kitchen includes quality cabinetry that extends to the ceiling for ample storage and stainless steel appliances that are under 2 years old! Good size rooms with walk in closets. Master includes sitting area, large closet and remodeled bathroom with walk in shower. Seller installed garage door remote and privacy fence with gate. This home has been perfectly cared for and is move in ready! Seller would prefer leaseback until June 3rd due to school year.

  13. 2019-11-19
    soldstatus
  14. 2019-11-18
    soldstatus
  15. 2019-09-04
    listed $110,000
  16. 2018-03-06
    soldstatus
  17. 2018-03-05
    soldstatus
  18. 2018-02-09
    listed $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,004 · $334/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,004 · $334/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,448
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$4,004
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,636
− Management
−$1,636
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$2,596
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$623
After-tax cash flow
$886/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
11,932
Household income
$59,590
Rent vs Own
40.3% rent · 59.7% own
Severe rent burden
478.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
191.4059
Rent YoY
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+288.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $175,000 WFAOR
  • 2022-05-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-05-23 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2022-05-23 Sold (MLS) WFAOR
  • 2022-05-12 Pending NTREIS
  • 2022-04-25 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2022-04-21 Listed $149,900 NTREIS
  • 2022-04-21 Listed $149,900 WFAOR
  • 2019-11-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-11-18 Sold (MLS) WFAOR
  • 2019-09-04 Listed $110,000 WFAOR
  • 2018-03-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-03-05 Sold (MLS) WFAOR
  • 2018-02-09 Listed $45,000 WFAOR

Property tax history

+9.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,004 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…