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207 Neal St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 68.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

207 Neal St · Reidsville, NC 27320
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 706 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1916

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Handy man investor special. Tenant heated with kerosene and a bad wick. With some sweat equity could be cleaned up. Covered front porch and the possibility to subdivide into 2 additional lots if so desired. Lots of potential and has been a good rental 18 + years . Not making anymore dirt

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Built 1916
  • Listed 7 days

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHPOSSIBILITY TO SUBDIVIDE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Publicly maintained road access
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; No garage; parking includes field areas
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One and one-half stories; Built in 1916; Existing structure
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Garden; Cleared land; City lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall furnace; Multiple heating systems; Electric and natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Eave storage with permanent stairs; Wood flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $39,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$137,670) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $485 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($960 rent vs $40k).
  • Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 3.8% in Reidsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#553 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rockingham County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #120 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 251 active listings in the ZIP; 344 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockingham County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.41%
Cap rate
20.88%
Cash-on-cash
52.11%
DSCR
3.32
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,670
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
712 Dalton St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (+1) 696 (-1%) 12mo $135,900 $195 72
511 Barnes St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (+1) 748 (+6%) 4mo $159,000 $213 68
610 Montgomery St 0.19mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+9%) 19mo $145,000 $189 56
1107 Walnut St 0.38mi 2/1.0 (+1) 784 (+11%) 5mo $160,000 $204 55
812 Watson St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (+1) 616 (-13%) 7mo $88,000 $143 50
402 Pennsylvania Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 (+1) 810 (+15%) 19mo $128,500 $159 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.1%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$24,448
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
55.5%
Equity multiple
6.47×
Total profit
$61,132
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27320

Home prices YoY
-30.8%
Active inventory
251
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$960 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $572/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$202
Net cashflow
$485

Break-even live

Break-even rent $346
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $39,900 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,900 Due Diligence Period 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Due Diligence Period 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $39,900 Due Diligence Period 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    remarks 288-char remark
  6. 2026-06-07
    listed $39,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$572 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$572 · $48/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,525
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$572
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$922
− Management
−$922
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$5,513
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,323
After-tax cash flow
$4,499/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockingham County Schools
NCES district ID
3703990
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$38,914
Composite
32.6/100
National rank
#5673
State rank
#120 of 178 in NC

Livability — Reidsville

Score
59/100
State rank
#553
US rank
#20359

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Reidsville, NC
City population
38,610
Population (ZIP)
38,610

Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
87,103 people
By 2030
83,763 · -3.8%
By 2040
76,082 · -12.7%
By 2050
68,106 · -21.8%
By 2075
52,531 · -39.7%
By 2100
39,871 · -54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 23% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.7% · R 67.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.9pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.42%
Current HPI
205.028
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $39,900 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $572 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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