🏷️ Likely Rental
207 Neal St · Reidsville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Handy man investor special. Tenant heated with kerosene and a bad wick. With some sweat equity could be cleaned up. Covered front porch and the possibility to subdivide into 2 additional lots if so desired. Lots of potential and has been a good rental 18 + years . Not making anymore dirt
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Built 1916
- Listed 7 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Publicly maintained road access
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; No garage; parking includes field areas
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One and one-half stories; Built in 1916; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Garden; Cleared land; City lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall furnace; Multiple heating systems; Electric and natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Eave storage with permanent stairs; Wood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $485 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($960 rent vs $40k).
- Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 3.8% in Reidsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#553 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Rockingham County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #120 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 251 active listings in the ZIP; 344 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockingham County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.11%
- DSCR
- 3.32
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,670
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 712 Dalton St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 696 (-1%) | 12mo | $135,900 | $195 | 72 |
| 511 Barnes St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 748 (+6%) | 4mo | $159,000 | $213 | 68 |
| 610 Montgomery St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 768 (+9%) | 19mo | $145,000 | $189 | 56 |
| 1107 Walnut St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 784 (+11%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $204 | 55 |
| 812 Watson St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 616 (-13%) | 7mo | $88,000 | $143 | 50 |
| 402 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 810 (+15%) | 19mo | $128,500 | $159 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $24,448
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 55.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.47×
- Total profit
- $61,132
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27320
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Active inventory
- 251
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $960 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $572/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $485
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $39,900 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $39,900 Due Diligence Period 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Due Diligence Period 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $39,900 Due Diligence Period 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 288-char remark
-
2026-06-07$39,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $572 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $572 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$572
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$922
- − Management
- −$922
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $5,513
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,323
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockingham County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703990
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,914
- Composite
- 32.6/100
- National rank
- #5673
- State rank
- #120 of 178 in NC
Livability — Reidsville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #553
- US rank
- #20359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Reidsville, NC
- City population
- 38,610
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,610
Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 87,103 people
- By 2030
- 83,763 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 76,082 · -12.7%
- By 2050
- 68,106 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 52,531 · -39.7%
- By 2100
- 39,871 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 23% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.7% · R 67.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.9pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.42%
- Current HPI
- 205.028
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Contingent — Triad MLS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $39,900 Triad MLS
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $572 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…