🏗️ New Construction
Dover Plan · Fairview, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This new home is laid out on a convenient single-story floorplan to promote ease of living. Down the foyer is the spacious family room ideal for relaxation and entertainment, which connects to a fully equipped kitchen, intimate dining area and an attached patio. In a quiet corner is the generously sized owner's suite, complemented by an adjoining bathroom and walk-in closet. On the opposite end of the layout are two versatile bedrooms framing a convenient full-sized bathroom.
Key facts
- Outdoor recreation
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 239 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-473 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (13.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (24.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#440 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Walker County (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #114 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Stone Creek Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 425 students, 84% FRL); Rossville Middle School (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #368 of 470 statewide, top 79%, 444 students, 81% FRL); Ridgeland High School (math 23% / reading 19%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,244 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 61% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 721 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 347 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walker County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.91%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $293,629
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- -11.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245 Overbrook Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (-2%) | 3mo | $307,000 | $216 | 77 |
| 140 Saddlebred Way | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,600 (+10%) | 7mo | $255,900 | $160 | 73 |
| 114 Saddlebred Way | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,600 (+10%) | 9mo | $255,000 | $159 | 73 |
| 47 Saddlebred Way | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,600 (+10%) | 17mo | $285,000 | $178 | 62 |
| 49 Dry Valley Rd | 0.50mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,638 (+13%) | 18mo | $380,000 | $232 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-68,503
- Equity at exit
- $43,781
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-57,002
- Equity at exit
- $25,388
Cash invested: $82,216 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 30 active · 12 under contract
- Months of supply
- 22.5 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $282,900 ($178/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 89 d
- This list price
- 17% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +13.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30741
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 721
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,970 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,540
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$367 /mo · $4,404/yr
- Insurance
- −$122
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $-473
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-270 | -5% $-372 | +0% $-473 | +5% $-575 | +10% $-676 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-629 | -5% $-551 | +0% $-473 | +5% $-396 | +10% $-318 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-325 | -0.5pp $-399 | base $-473 | +0.5pp $-549 | +1.0pp $-627 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,407
- Closing costs
- $8,809
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Saddlebred Way Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,295 | $1.43 | 164d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 114 Saddlebred Way Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,295 | $1.43 | 184d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 115 Saddlebred Way Rossville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1825 | $2,145 | $1.18 | 154d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 107 Lytle Rd Unit A Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $995 | $1.01 | 10d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 10 Draught St Rossville, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1756 | $1,770 | $1.01 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 106 Champion Rd Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,675 | $1.52 | 184d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 106 Champion Rd Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,475 | $1.34 | 51d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 106 Champion Rd Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,675 | $1.52 | 164d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 106 Champion Rd Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,450 | $1.31 | 46d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 305 Woodcreek Rd Unit C-5 Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 404 Woodcreek Rd Unit D-4 Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 10d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 104 Woodcreek Rd Unit A-4 Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 10d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 28 Travis Rd Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 51d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2 Canary Ln Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,695 | $1.31 | 28d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 716 Salem Rd Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $899 | $1.00 | 7d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 716 Salem Rd Apt A Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $899 | $1.00 | 37d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1535 Myrt St Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 51d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-11-08days on market $259,900 Active 240 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $259,900 Active 239 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $259,900 Active 238 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $259,900 Active 237 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $259,900 Active 236 DOM
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2026-11-02days on market $259,900 Active 234 DOM
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2026-11-01days on market $259,900 Active 233 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $259,900 Active 232 DOM
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2026-10-30days on market $259,900 Active 231 DOM
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2026-10-30price $259,900 Active 230 DOM
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2026-10-29days on market $256,900 Active 230 DOM
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2026-10-28days on market $256,900 Active 229 DOM
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2026-10-27days on market $256,900 Active 228 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $256,900 Active 227 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $256,900 Active 226 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $256,900 Active 225 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $256,900 Active 224 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $256,900 Active 223 DOM
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2026-10-21days on market $256,900 Active 222 DOM
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2026-10-20days on market $256,900 Active 221 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $256,900 Active 220 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $256,900 Active 219 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $256,900 Active 218 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $256,900 Active 217 DOM
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2026-10-15days on market $256,900 Active 216 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $256,900 Active 215 DOM
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2026-10-13days on market $256,900 Active 214 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $256,900 Active 213 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $256,900 Active 212 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $256,900 Active 211 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $256,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $256,900 Active 209 DOM
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2026-10-07days on market $256,900 Active 208 DOM
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2026-10-06days on market $256,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $256,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $256,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $256,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $256,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $256,900 Active 202 DOM
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2026-09-30days on market $256,900 Active 201 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $256,900 Active 200 DOM
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2026-09-28days on market $256,900 Active 199 DOM
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2026-09-27days on market $256,900 Active 198 DOM
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2026-09-26days on market $256,900 Active 197 DOM
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2026-09-25days on market $256,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $256,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $256,900 Active 194 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $256,900 Active 193 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $256,900 Active 192 DOM
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2026-09-20pricedays on market $256,900 Active 191 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,634
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,448
- − Property taxes
- −$4,404
- − Insurance
- −$1,468
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,891
- − Management
- −$1,891
- − Depreciation
- −$8,542
- Taxable loss
- −$11,010
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,642
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,037/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-story home is in excellent condition with a modern design and well-maintained exterior. It offers a spacious floorplan with a good layout and ample natural light. The property is ready for immediate occupancy and would benefit from minor exterior updates and flooring improvements to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walker County
- NCES district ID
- 1305370
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,889
- Composite
- 22.74/100
- National rank
- #8035
- State rank
- #114 of 174 in GA
Livability — Fairview
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #440
- US rank
- #21150
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairview, GA
- County
- Walker County · 66,050 people
- City population
- 29,236
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,041
- Household income
- $58,834
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,050 people
- By 2030
- 64,305 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 60,127 · -9.0%
- By 2050
- 55,551 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 44,886 · -32.0%
- By 2100
- 34,015 · -48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Walker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.3) · D 20.1% · R 79.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -59.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.3 2020: R+59.3 2016: R+61.5 2012: R+50.2 2008: R+46.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.05%
- Current HPI
- 267.0047
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.44%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Listed $269,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…