1404 Plantation Blvd · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE CORRECTION !!!. . Perfect for the first-time home buyer! This charming 3 Bedroom / 2 Bath home offers comfort, convenience, and a family-friendly setup that's hard to beat. Enjoy a kid and pet-friendly fenced backyard with a level yard for play, gatherings, or relaxing evenings outdoors. The spacious 2-car garage provides plenty of storage and parking, while the inviting front porch adds the perfect touch of curb appeal. Conveniently located close to shopping, dining, schools, and everyday amenities — you'll love being near almost everything you need. Move-in ready and full of potential, this home checks all the boxes!
Key facts
- Level yard
- Inviting front porch
- Spacious garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot zoning: Agriculture; Lot size approximately 0.27 acres
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; Driveway; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence (house); One level; Move-in ready
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year source: Assessor)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ceiling heating; Central heating; Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Ceiling fans; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Range hood; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Spann Elementary School (math 7% / reading 21%, grade F, #289 of 375 statewide, top 78%, 395 students, 100% FRL); Murrah High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #130 of 197 statewide, top 68%, 1,326 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $59k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.71%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $178,186
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -38.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1510 Springridge Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,347 (+4%) | 5mo | $106,000 | $79 | 76 |
| 1348 Winterview Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (+9%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $124 | 70 |
| 1237 Springdale Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+9%) | 2mo | $103,500 | $74 | 67 |
| 1249 Springdale Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,353 (+5%) | 15mo | $159,900 | $118 | 65 |
| 1260 Greenbriar St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,460 (+13%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $103 | 60 |
| 5709 Orchardview Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,454 (+13%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $103 | 58 |
| 1312 Springdale Dr Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,467 (+14%) | 13mo | $134,900 | $92 | 55 |
| 316 Colonial Cir | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,407 (+9%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $117 | 55 |
| 811 Fairfax Cir | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,421 (+10%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $81 | 44 |
| 214 Colonial Cir | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (+6%) | 22mo | $120,000 | $87 | 37 |
| 920 Briarfield Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,443 (+12%) | 18mo | $182,500 | $126 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $17,600
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $87,355
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39211
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,571 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,388/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1523 E County Line Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 989 | $1,235 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3001 Jamestown Way Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1702 Jamestown Way Unit 1702 Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1465 | $1,495 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 120 Parkway Dr Jackson, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1076 | $2,255 | $2.10 | 14d | 15 | 0.81mi |
| 601 Northpointe Pkwy Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $1,054 | $1.16 | 14d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 119 S Canton Club Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1620 E County Line Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1126 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 14d | 7 | 0.97mi |
| 5538 Pine Lane Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1627 | $1,465 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5544 Wayneland Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,831 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 003D Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,199 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 001G Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,449 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 50 Northtown Dr Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 871 | $1,200 | $1.38 | 14d | 15 | 1.24mi |
| 492 E Beasley Rd Jackson, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1133 | $1,440 | $1.27 | 14d | 8 | 1.29mi |
| 9B River Oaks Pl Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5301 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $1,850 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 214 Foxboro Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 340 Arbor Dr Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,374 | $1.62 | 14d | 26 | 1.44mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Apt 13L Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,364 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 009H Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,179 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 014G Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,249 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 009F Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,319 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 021A Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,694 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 002G Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,644 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 006H Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,289 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 008E Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,354 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 009D Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,179 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 001F Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,644 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 001B Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,499 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 027B Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,439 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 027G Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,279 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Apt 10E Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 35 Meadowoods Ter Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-15price $109,000 638-char remark
-
2026-05-12$168,000 Active 638-char remark
-
2024-02-18historical $1,475
-
2024-01-25price $1,475
-
2023-12-15price $1,485
-
2023-10-28$1,525
-
2019-12-19soldstatus
-
2016-03-16soldstatus
-
1995-03-23soldstatus
-
1990-10-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,388 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,388 · $199/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,852
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$2,388
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,508
- − Management
- −$1,508
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $3,626
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$870
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,230/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,838
- Household income
- $69,426
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 736.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.99%
- Current HPI
- 145.5192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.90%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+7047.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $109,000 MLSU
- 2026-05-12 Listed $168,000 MLSU
- 2024-02-18 Rental Removed $1,475 RENTLY
- 2024-01-25 Price Changed $1,475 RENTLY
- 2023-12-15 Price Changed $1,485 RENTLY
- 2023-10-28 Listed for Rent $1,525 RENTLY
- 2019-12-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-03-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-03-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-10-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,388 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…