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1304 Stanford Ave
B- Composite 68.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

1304 Stanford Ave · Big Spring, TX 79720
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 868 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 156 Days on market
Built 1952 7,231 sqft lot $144/sqft · 234% above area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-bed 1-bath home featuring a new roof, fresh siding & updated paint inside & out & is move-in ready. Step inside to find updated flooring, plumbing & electrical, plus central heating & air for year-round comfort. The kitchen includes a gas range & a stainless steel refrigerator, making it perfect for first-time buyers or tenants. Enjoy the spacious covered back patio & the convenience of a one-car carport. At $125,000, this is an incredible price point for a fully updated home ideal as a starter home, downsizing option, or investment property. Make this house your new home! Call Now

Key facts

  • Fresh siding
  • Updated electrical
  • Updated paint

Tags

NEW ROOFFRESH SIDINGUPDATED PAINTUPDATED FLOORINGUPDATED PLUMBINGUPDATED ELECTRICAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $619 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#948 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Big Spring ISD (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #641 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 69 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Howard County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.24%
Cash-on-cash
21.23%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$37,415
List price
$125,000
Delta
234.09%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1411 E 11th Pl 0.65mi 2/1.0 773 (-11%) 6mo $47,999 $62 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$19,229
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$67,692
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79720

Active inventory
267
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,896 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,054/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$398
Net cashflow
$619

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,112
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $690 -5% $655 +0% $619 +5% $584 +10% $549
Rent -10% $470 -5% $544 +0% $619 +5% $694 +10% $769
Rate -1.0pp $682 -0.5pp $651 base $619 +0.5pp $587 +1.0pp $554

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1404 Wood St Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 964 $2,500 $2.59 25d 1 0.67mi
614 Ridgelea Dr Big Spring, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,280 $1.16 5d 1 1.19mi
901 E FM 700 Big Spring, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 954 $2,309 $2.42 0d 9 1.25mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-15
    status Active 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    Charming 2-bed 1-bath home featuring a new roof, fresh siding & updated paint inside & out & is move-in ready. Step inside to find updated flooring, plumbing & electrical, plus central heating & air for year-round comfort. The kitchen includes a gas range & a stainless steel refrigerator, making it perfect for first-time buyers or tenants. Enjoy the spacious covered back patio & the convenience of a one-car carport. At $125,000, this is an incredible price point for a fully updated home ideal as a starter home, downsizing option, or investment property. Make this house your new home! Call Now

  2. 2026-03-27
    historical 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    Charming 2-bed 1-bath home featuring a new roof, fresh siding & updated paint inside & out & is move-in ready. Step inside to find updated flooring, plumbing & electrical, plus central heating & air for year-round comfort. The kitchen includes a gas range & a stainless steel refrigerator, making it perfect for first-time buyers or tenants. Enjoy the spacious covered back patio & the convenience of a one-car carport. At $125,000, this is an incredible price point for a fully updated home ideal as a starter home, downsizing option, or investment property. Make this house your new home! Call Now

  3. 2026-03-17
    historical Active Under Contract 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    Charming 2-bed 1-bath home featuring a new roof, fresh siding & updated paint inside & out & is move-in ready. Step inside to find updated flooring, plumbing & electrical, plus central heating & air for year-round comfort. The kitchen includes a gas range & a stainless steel refrigerator, making it perfect for first-time buyers or tenants. Enjoy the spacious covered back patio & the convenience of a one-car carport. At $125,000, this is an incredible price point for a fully updated home ideal as a starter home, downsizing option, or investment property. Make this house your new home! Call Now

  4. 2025-12-01
    listed $125,000 Active 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    Charming 2-bed 1-bath home featuring a new roof, fresh siding & updated paint inside & out & is move-in ready. Step inside to find updated flooring, plumbing & electrical, plus central heating & air for year-round comfort. The kitchen includes a gas range & a stainless steel refrigerator, making it perfect for first-time buyers or tenants. Enjoy the spacious covered back patio & the convenience of a one-car carport. At $125,000, this is an incredible price point for a fully updated home ideal as a starter home, downsizing option, or investment property. Make this house your new home! Call Now

  5. 2023-11-08
    soldstatus
  6. 2023-08-24
    soldstatus
  7. 2023-06-01
    price $139,995
  8. 2003-10-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,054 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,288 · $191/mo
Expected delta
+$234/yr (+$19/mo · 11.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,756
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,054
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,820
− Management
−$1,820
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$5,798
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,391
After-tax cash flow
$6,041/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Big Spring ISD
NCES district ID
4810200
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$42,916
Composite
25.11/100
National rank
#7529
State rank
#641 of 826 in TX

Livability — Big Spring

Score
62/100
State rank
#948
US rank
#16886

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Big Spring, TX
County
Howard County · 29,936 people
City population
29,936
Metro
Big Spring, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,936
Household income
$68,785
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
638.0

Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,396 people
By 2030
46,792 · +7.8%
By 2040
54,096 · +24.7%
By 2050
61,707 · +42.2%
By 2075
79,809 · +83.9%
By 2100
87,385 · +101.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% White 45% Two or more races 17% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 28%

Political lean MEDSL · Howard

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.2% · R 81.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.6pp toward R · 2008: -46.3pp · 2024: -62.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.4 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+46.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -207.13%
Current HPI
140.8159
Rent YoY
Metro
Big Spring, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted PBBOR
  • 2026-03-27 Delisted PBBOR
  • 2026-03-17 Contingent PBBOR
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $125,000 PBBOR
  • 2023-11-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-08-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-06-01 Price Changed $139,995 PBBOR
  • 2003-10-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,054 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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