7508 Cedar Dr · Wonder Lake, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$340,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
What a Deal!!! Hugh Kit,All Appl. Porch & Fla.Rm.could make a great 1st Fl.Fam.Rm. Firepl.in Liv.Rm.Fin.Basement W/full bath Dorm Like 2nd Fl.Bed.Could sleep 6. 3 blocks from water ~could be In-Law. 2-1 car garages,NOTE:$3,000 to buyer for closing costs. So much room & land for under $200. Painted, some new carp.,quick close,Hm.Warr. 1st.Fl.Laundry,etc.
Key facts
- Corian counters
- Circular drive
- Gas fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property not currently leased; Not rebuilt or rehabbed; Located in the Wonder Center subdivision; unincorporated McHenry township
- Financial info: Special service area present
- HOA & community: Homeowners association fee $186 annually (includes lake rights); Community features include park, lake access, water rights and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Attached and detached garage spaces (total 2.5; includes owned garage with garage door opener); Circular concrete driveway
- Security: Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership with homeowners association; Built circa 81–90 years ago; School bus service available
- Construction: Cedar construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Above-ground pool; Patio; Outdoor grill; Fenced yard; Landscaped lot (approx. 125 x 100)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with island, breakfast bar and table space; Walk-in pantry; Solid surface counters; Range, dishwasher, refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (master bedroom on main level; one bedroom on second level; another bedroom on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms, living room and family room; Vinyl in kitchen, dining room, pantry and laundry; Ceramic tile in foyer and office
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms and one half bathroom; Basement includes a bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; CO detectors; Circuit breaker electrical system
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom and full bath; Finished partial basement; Screens on windows; One fireplace with gas log in the living room; Nine total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in unit; Washer and dryer; Water softener (owned); Sump pump
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $340k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.5% in Wonder Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#403 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mchenry Chsd 156 (suburban): math 27% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #244 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,595 units permitted in McHenry County in 2024 (485 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McHenry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $194k; list at $340k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.53%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $333,872
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4204 East Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 2,271 (+5%) | 9mo | $325,000 | $143 | 73 |
| 7118 Seminole Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 2,141 (-1%) | 2mo | $218,000 | $102 | 67 |
| 4520 W Shore Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 2,050 (-5%) | 2mo | $421,000 | $205 | 60 |
| 4208 E Lake Shore Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,842 (-15%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $141 | 55 |
| 4804 Winnebago Dr | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,976 (-9%) | 15mo | $304,000 | $154 | 40 |
| 7403 Beach Ct | 0.45mi | 3/3.0 | 1,876 (-14%) | 18mo | $399,500 | $213 | 39 |
| 7711 Island Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,976 (-9%) | 21mo | $520,000 | $263 | 38 |
| 7724 Cedar Rd | 0.58mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,960 (-10%) | 12mo | $314,900 | $161 | 38 |
| 7218 Delaware Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,858 (-14%) | 15mo | $173,000 | $93 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-27,130
- Equity at exit
- $50,695
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $12,393
- Equity at exit
- $29,397
Cash invested: $95,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60097
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,429 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,783
- Tax from tax record
- −$329 /mo · $3,947/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$16
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$720
- Net cashflow
- $439
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $85,000
- Closing costs
- $10,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3916 E Lake Shore Dr Wonder Lake, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1920 | $2,150 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4612 W Lake Shore Dr Unit 1560829P Wonder Lake, IL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2583 | $6,055 | $2.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8533 Stillwater Rd Wonder Lake, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1760 | $2,425 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5412 E Wonder Lake Rd Wonder Lake, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $16 · $192/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $340,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $340,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $340,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $340,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $340,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$340,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,947 · $329/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,832 · $486/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,886/yr (+$157/mo · 47.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,143
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,045
- − Property taxes
- −$3,947
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,291
- − Management
- −$3,291
- − HOA
- −$192
- − Depreciation
- −$9,891
- Taxable loss
- −$215
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$52
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,320/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mchenry Chsd 156
- NCES district ID
- 1725320
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,681
- Composite
- 26.55/100
- National rank
- #7188
- State rank
- #244 of 620 in IL
Livability — Wonder Lake
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #403
- US rank
- #8372
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 11,481
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,481
Population outlook (McHenry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 305,342 people
- By 2030
- 301,491 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 288,211 · -5.6%
- By 2050
- 268,430 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 226,209 · -25.9%
- By 2100
- 181,247 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McHenry
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.3) · D 46.6% · R 51.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: 5.3pp · 2024: -5.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.3 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+8.1 2012: R+8.8 2008: D+5.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.25%
- Current HPI
- 226.1109
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+103.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $340,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $194,000 Public Records
- 2007-01-12 Sold (MLS) $194,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-12-07 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-03 Listed $197,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $167,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2024): $3,947 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…