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484 Lawrence Ave
B- Composite 67.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

484 Lawrence Ave · Galesburg, IL 61401
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Other public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1896 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This efficient 2 bed, 1 bath home is a great opportunity for your primary residence or generating rental income! An enclosed front porch welcomes you in and leads into a comfortable living room with space to gather. Continue into a generously sized eat-in kitchen with room for both cooking and everyday dining. The home also delivers two sizable bedrooms and a full bathroom with the primary bedroom providing access to the enclosed porch ideal for a bit of fresh air and morning coffee. Laundry is currently located in the basement but it could possibly be relocated to the kitchen if desired. Outdoors, the expansive yard is ready for summer evenings, gardening, or simply enjoying the warmer weather. A storage shed adds convenience while the patio area creates a place to unwind. Whether you are looking to add to your investment portfolio or settle in and make it your own, you don't want to miss out on this one!

Key facts

  • Sizable bedrooms
  • Full bathroom
  • Expansive yard

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHEAT-IN KITCHENSIZABLE BEDROOMSFULL BATHROOMEXPANSIVE YARDSTORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, commute F.
  • Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $60k implies a 215% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $58,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
13.19%
Cash-on-cash
24.62%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$12,267
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
3.33×
Total profit
$39,137
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61401

Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,047 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Under Contract 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Under Contract 40 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Under Contract 39 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Under Contract 38 DOM
  5. 2026-05-07
    status Active 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    This efficient 2 bed, 1 bath home is a great opportunity for your primary residence or generating rental income! An enclosed front porch welcomes you in and leads into a comfortable living room with space to gather. Continue into a generously sized eat-in kitchen with room for both cooking and everyday dining. The home also delivers two sizable bedrooms and a full bathroom with the primary bedroom providing access to the enclosed porch ideal for a bit of fresh air and morning coffee. Laundry is currently located in the basement but it could possibly be relocated to the kitchen if desired. Outdoors, the expansive yard is ready for summer evenings, gardening, or simply enjoying the warmer weather. A storage shed adds convenience while the patio area creates a place to unwind. Whether you are looking to add to your investment portfolio or settle in and make it your own, you don't want to miss out on this one!

  6. 2026-04-24
    historical Under Contract 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    This efficient 2 bed, 1 bath home is a great opportunity for your primary residence or generating rental income! An enclosed front porch welcomes you in and leads into a comfortable living room with space to gather. Continue into a generously sized eat-in kitchen with room for both cooking and everyday dining. The home also delivers two sizable bedrooms and a full bathroom with the primary bedroom providing access to the enclosed porch ideal for a bit of fresh air and morning coffee. Laundry is currently located in the basement but it could possibly be relocated to the kitchen if desired. Outdoors, the expansive yard is ready for summer evenings, gardening, or simply enjoying the warmer weather. A storage shed adds convenience while the patio area creates a place to unwind. Whether you are looking to add to your investment portfolio or settle in and make it your own, you don't want to miss out on this one!

  7. 2026-04-22
    listed $59,900 Active 919-char remark
    Show marketing remark (919 chars)

    This efficient 2 bed, 1 bath home is a great opportunity for your primary residence or generating rental income! An enclosed front porch welcomes you in and leads into a comfortable living room with space to gather. Continue into a generously sized eat-in kitchen with room for both cooking and everyday dining. The home also delivers two sizable bedrooms and a full bathroom with the primary bedroom providing access to the enclosed porch ideal for a bit of fresh air and morning coffee. Laundry is currently located in the basement but it could possibly be relocated to the kitchen if desired. Outdoors, the expansive yard is ready for summer evenings, gardening, or simply enjoying the warmer weather. A storage shed adds convenience while the patio area creates a place to unwind. Whether you are looking to add to your investment portfolio or settle in and make it your own, you don't want to miss out on this one!

  8. 2007-02-09
    soldstatus $19,000 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Good investment property. 17x5 enclosed front porch. 8x8 shed. New electric box. Proerty being sold 'AS IS'

  9. 2006-08-30
    listed $27,500 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Good investment property. 17x5 enclosed front porch. 8x8 shed. New electric box. Proerty being sold 'AS IS'

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,725 · $144/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,725 · $144/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,561
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,005
− Management
−$1,005
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$3,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$823
After-tax cash flow
$3,306/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galesburg CUSD 205
NCES district ID
1716080
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,901
Composite
14.46/100
National rank
#9427
State rank
#488 of 620 in IL

Livability — Galesburg

Score
70/100
State rank
#367
US rank
#7601

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galesburg, IL
City population
32,318
Population (ZIP)
30,684

Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,224 people
By 2030
46,333 · -3.9%
By 2040
42,424 · -12.0%
By 2050
38,929 · -19.3%
By 2075
31,523 · -34.6%
By 2100
24,092 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Knox

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.48%
Current HPI
157.276
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+117.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $59,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-02-09 Sold (MLS) $19,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-30 Listed $27,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,725 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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