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C- Composite 50.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

6501 Stone River Rd #209 · Lakewood Ranch, FL 34203
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,042 sqft · Condo public records · 444 Days on market
Built 1989 $568/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Furnished Golf Course Condo With Class "A" Membership Included. This light & bright 2 bedroom, 2 bath, 2nd floor unit with elevator features a foyer entry, eat-in kitchen, full size washer/dryer in the unit, Master Suite with walk-in closet & large walk-in shower. The spacious screened lanai has a great view of the 2nd hole. The Terraces have their own tennis court & pool. The private Tara Country Club renovated the clubhouse and golf course in 2009. Other Amenities include a driving range, picnic areas, bar-b-que grills and exercise facility. Located near shopping outlets & I-75. Fees: 1 time capital contribution $3,041.00, Golf Membersip $376 per month, Dining Minimum $60.00 per month, Tara Master Associatio $462.35 per year.

Key facts

  • Hot tub
  • Turn-key
  • Private restaurant

Tags

UNLIMITED GOLFPRIVATE RESTAURANTTURN-KEYTRANSFERABLE GOLF MEMBERSHIPON-SITE POOLHOT TUB

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Condominium unit is furnished; Home warranty available
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees reported around $568.92; Total annual fees reported around $6,827; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA required; monthly HOA approximately $477.67; Quarterly association fee listed ($1,433); Additional annual association fee listed ($1,095); Association approves buyers; Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, pool, tennis courts, pickleball courts, golf course access, maintenance, cable TV; Pets allowed (cats and dogs OK); Association covers cable TV, internet, structure and grounds maintenance, pest control, pool, sewer, trash, and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 1 space
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Condominium; Residential property; Faces southeast; Three or more stories (building has 3 stories); Unit on 2nd floor; Entry on upper level
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Tile roof; Slab foundation; Building identified as 6501; Built as part of a multi-story complex
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Sliding doors; Tennis courts on property; Asphalt road access; Irrigation with reclaimed water (community)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (located on 2nd floor)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room / dining room combo; Walk-in closets; Building has elevator
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry in a laundry closet; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.3% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Tara Elementary School (math 79% / reading 66%, grade A, #281 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 559 students, 52% FRL); Braden River High School (math 44% / reading 52%, grade D, #201 of 667 statewide, top 30%, 1,774 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 384 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 444 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $175k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 444 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
7.24%
Cash-on-cash
3.39%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-26,173
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-16.9%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-36,978
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34203

Home prices YoY
-24.5%
Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
384
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,386 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,252/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$568
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$501
Net cashflow
$138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,210
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6501 Stone River Rd Unit Available Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1118 $2,200 $1.97 23d 1 0.04mi
6501 Stone River Rd Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,820 $2.61 16d 2 0.04mi
6505 Stone River Rd Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,825 $2.62 16d 3 0.06mi
5414 Fair Oaks St Unit 10-D Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1004 $1,995 $1.99 3d 1 0.12mi
5515 Fair Oaks St Unit 5515 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1004 $2,000 $1.99 23d 1 0.16mi
6503 Fairway Gardens Dr Unit Available Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1346 $2,200 $1.63 23d 1 0.16mi
6758 Fairview Ter Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1346 $2,300 $1.71 23d 1 0.26mi
6713 Stone River Rd #202 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1232 $1,900 $1.54 23d 1 0.27mi
6807 Stone River Rd #202 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1292 $3,500 $2.71 16d 1 0.29mi
6870 Fairview Ter #6870 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1346 $2,200 $1.63 16d 1 0.33mi
6872 Fairview Ter #101 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1352 $2,000 $1.48 23d 1 0.33mi
5635 Whitehead St Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1496 $2,300 $1.54 23d 1 0.79mi
7224 49th Ave E Bradenton, FL 3.0 2.0 1349 $3,000 $2.22 23d 1 0.83mi
5650 Simonton St Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1496 $2,095 $1.40 3d 1 0.89mi
5316 53rd Ave E Unit Q111 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,495 $1.42 10d 1 0.97mi
5616 Gentle Breeze St Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 23d 1 1.07mi
7189 Strand Cir Unit 1 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1368 $2,300 $1.68 23d 1 1.20mi
7037 Scrub Jay Way Unit 7037 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1320 $2,000 $1.52 23d 1 1.25mi
6351 Bay Cedar Ln Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1320 $2,100 $1.59 23d 1 1.27mi
5707 45th St E #19 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 972 $1,700 $1.75 23d 1 1.34mi
6421 Bay Cedar Ln Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1368 $2,100 $1.54 23d 1 1.34mi
7224 Cedar Hollow Cir Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1406 $2,200 $1.56 23d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$568 · $6,816/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 444 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 443 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 442 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 441 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 439 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 438 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 436 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 435 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 434 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 433 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 429 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 428 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 427 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 426 DOM
  15. 2025-09-22
    price $175,000
  16. 2025-03-31
    listed $198,000 Active
  17. 2013-04-18
    soldstatus $66,000
  18. 2013-04-12
    soldstatus $66,000 771-char remark
    Show marketing remark (771 chars)

    Furnished Golf Course Condo With Class "A" Membership Included. This light & bright 2 bedroom, 2 bath, 2nd floor unit with elevator features a foyer entry, eat-in kitchen, full size washer/dryer in the unit, Master Suite with walk-in closet & large walk-in shower. The spacious screened lanai has a great view of the 2nd hole. The Terraces have their own tennis court & pool. The private Tara Country Club renovated the clubhouse and golf course in 2009. Other Amenities include a driving range, picnic areas, bar-b-que grills and exercise facility. Located near shopping outlets & I-75. Fees: 1 time capital contribution $3,041.00, Golf Membersip $376 per month, Dining Minimum $60.00 per month, Tara Master Associatio $462.35 per year.

  19. 2013-02-14
    listed $69,900 771-char remark
    Show marketing remark (771 chars)

    Furnished Golf Course Condo With Class "A" Membership Included. This light & bright 2 bedroom, 2 bath, 2nd floor unit with elevator features a foyer entry, eat-in kitchen, full size washer/dryer in the unit, Master Suite with walk-in closet & large walk-in shower. The spacious screened lanai has a great view of the 2nd hole. The Terraces have their own tennis court & pool. The private Tara Country Club renovated the clubhouse and golf course in 2009. Other Amenities include a driving range, picnic areas, bar-b-que grills and exercise facility. Located near shopping outlets & I-75. Fees: 1 time capital contribution $3,041.00, Golf Membersip $376 per month, Dining Minimum $60.00 per month, Tara Master Associatio $462.35 per year.

  20. 2011-10-18
    listed $71,900
  21. 1990-09-07
    soldstatus $84,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,252 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,252 · $188/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,627
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,252
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,290
− Management
−$2,290
− HOA
−$6,816
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$790
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$190
After-tax cash flow
$1,849/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lakewood Ranch

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Manatee County · 416,364 people
City population
52,177
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
40,618
Household income
$70,761
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
1469.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.87%
Current HPI
295.8871
Rent YoY
▼ -0.97%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+108.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-22 Price Changed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-31 Listed $198,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
  • 2013-04-12 Sold (MLS) $66,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-02-14 Listed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-10-18 Listed $71,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1990-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,252 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…