6501 Stone River Rd #209 · Lakewood Ranch, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Furnished Golf Course Condo With Class "A" Membership Included. This light & bright 2 bedroom, 2 bath, 2nd floor unit with elevator features a foyer entry, eat-in kitchen, full size washer/dryer in the unit, Master Suite with walk-in closet & large walk-in shower. The spacious screened lanai has a great view of the 2nd hole. The Terraces have their own tennis court & pool. The private Tara Country Club renovated the clubhouse and golf course in 2009. Other Amenities include a driving range, picnic areas, bar-b-que grills and exercise facility. Located near shopping outlets & I-75. Fees: 1 time capital contribution $3,041.00, Golf Membersip $376 per month, Dining Minimum $60.00 per month, Tara Master Associatio $462.35 per year.
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Turn-key
- Private restaurant
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Condominium unit is furnished; Home warranty available
- Financial info: Total monthly fees reported around $568.92; Total annual fees reported around $6,827; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: HOA required; monthly HOA approximately $477.67; Quarterly association fee listed ($1,433); Additional annual association fee listed ($1,095); Association approves buyers; Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, pool, tennis courts, pickleball courts, golf course access, maintenance, cable TV; Pets allowed (cats and dogs OK); Association covers cable TV, internet, structure and grounds maintenance, pest control, pool, sewer, trash, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 space
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Condominium; Residential property; Faces southeast; Three or more stories (building has 3 stories); Unit on 2nd floor; Entry on upper level
- Construction: Stucco construction; Tile roof; Slab foundation; Building identified as 6501; Built as part of a multi-story complex
- Exterior features: Balcony; Sliding doors; Tennis courts on property; Asphalt road access; Irrigation with reclaimed water (community)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (located on 2nd floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room / dining room combo; Walk-in closets; Building has elevator
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry in a laundry closet; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.3% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Tara Elementary School (math 79% / reading 66%, grade A, #281 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 559 students, 52% FRL); Braden River High School (math 44% / reading 52%, grade D, #201 of 667 statewide, top 30%, 1,774 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 384 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 444 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $175k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 444 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.39%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-26,173
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-36,978
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34203
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 384
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,386 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,252/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$568
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$501
- Net cashflow
- $138
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6501 Stone River Rd Unit Available Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $2,200 | $1.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 6501 Stone River Rd Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,820 | $2.61 | 16d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 6505 Stone River Rd Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,825 | $2.62 | 16d | 3 | 0.06mi |
| 5414 Fair Oaks St Unit 10-D Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,995 | $1.99 | 3d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5515 Fair Oaks St Unit 5515 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $2,000 | $1.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 6503 Fairway Gardens Dr Unit Available Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,200 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 6758 Fairview Ter Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,300 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 6713 Stone River Rd #202 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 6807 Stone River Rd #202 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $3,500 | $2.71 | 16d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6870 Fairview Ter #6870 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,200 | $1.63 | 16d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6872 Fairview Ter #101 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $2,000 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5635 Whitehead St Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $2,300 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 7224 49th Ave E Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $3,000 | $2.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5650 Simonton St Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $2,095 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5316 53rd Ave E Unit Q111 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,495 | $1.42 | 10d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5616 Gentle Breeze St Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7189 Strand Cir Unit 1 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,300 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7037 Scrub Jay Way Unit 7037 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,000 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6351 Bay Cedar Ln Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5707 45th St E #19 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,700 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 6421 Bay Cedar Ln Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,100 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7224 Cedar Hollow Cir Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $568 · $6,816/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 444 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 443 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 442 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 441 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 439 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 438 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 436 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 435 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 426 DOM
-
2025-09-22price $175,000
-
2025-03-31$198,000 Active
-
2013-04-18soldstatus $66,000
-
2013-04-12soldstatus $66,000 771-char remark
Show marketing remark (771 chars)
Furnished Golf Course Condo With Class "A" Membership Included. This light & bright 2 bedroom, 2 bath, 2nd floor unit with elevator features a foyer entry, eat-in kitchen, full size washer/dryer in the unit, Master Suite with walk-in closet & large walk-in shower. The spacious screened lanai has a great view of the 2nd hole. The Terraces have their own tennis court & pool. The private Tara Country Club renovated the clubhouse and golf course in 2009. Other Amenities include a driving range, picnic areas, bar-b-que grills and exercise facility. Located near shopping outlets & I-75. Fees: 1 time capital contribution $3,041.00, Golf Membersip $376 per month, Dining Minimum $60.00 per month, Tara Master Associatio $462.35 per year.
-
2013-02-14$69,900 771-char remark
Show marketing remark (771 chars)
Furnished Golf Course Condo With Class "A" Membership Included. This light & bright 2 bedroom, 2 bath, 2nd floor unit with elevator features a foyer entry, eat-in kitchen, full size washer/dryer in the unit, Master Suite with walk-in closet & large walk-in shower. The spacious screened lanai has a great view of the 2nd hole. The Terraces have their own tennis court & pool. The private Tara Country Club renovated the clubhouse and golf course in 2009. Other Amenities include a driving range, picnic areas, bar-b-que grills and exercise facility. Located near shopping outlets & I-75. Fees: 1 time capital contribution $3,041.00, Golf Membersip $376 per month, Dining Minimum $60.00 per month, Tara Master Associatio $462.35 per year.
-
2011-10-18$71,900
-
1990-09-07soldstatus $84,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,252 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,252 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,627
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,252
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,290
- − Management
- −$2,290
- − HOA
- −$6,816
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$790
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$190
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,849/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lakewood Ranch
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 52,177
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,618
- Household income
- $70,761
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1469.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.87%
- Current HPI
- 295.8871
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.97%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+108.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-31 Listed $198,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 2013-04-12 Sold (MLS) $66,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-14 Listed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-18 Listed $71,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1990-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,252 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…