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20203 Hull St
D+ Composite 49.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$37,999

20203 Hull St · Detroit, MI 48203
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,490 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1930 3,485 sqft lot $26/sqft · 40% below area Est $53k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LAND CONTRACT AVAILABLE Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! This home sits on a double lot and needs some work, but it has solid potential. Perfect for a first-time buyer willing to renovate, or an investor looking for a flip or rental property. Convenient location near schools, parks, and major transportation routes. Sold As-Is.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 40 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway, no garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.08 acres (35 x 100)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
  • Recommended offer: $37k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 37.9% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,601/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1192% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $262 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 19 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $4k; list at $38k implies a 986% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $36,859 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.21%
Cap rate
37.93%
Cash-on-cash
113.00%
DSCR
6.03
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$52,879
List price
$37,999
Delta
-28.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20166 Riopelle St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,450 (-3%) 7mo $103,000 $71 78
20070 Irvington St 0.46mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,515 (+2%) 1mo $89,900 $59 68
20494 Orleans St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,356 (-9%) 6mo $55,000 $41 62
1226 E Bernhard Ave 0.50mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,464 (-2%) 3mo $285,000 $195 60
1483 E Evelyn Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (+1%) 3mo $216,500 $144 56
19942 Saint Aubin St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,350 (-9%) 4mo $38,000 $28 55
800 E Bernhard Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,390 (-7%) 2mo $175,000 $126 54
1744 E Madge Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,439 (-3%) 6mo $158,000 $110 50
19415 Riopelle St 0.50mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,350 (-9%) 6mo $85,000 $63 49
751 E Maxlow Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,591 (+7%) 8mo $178,000 $112 44
21420 Caledonia Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,620 (+9%) 8mo $210,000 $130 39
759 E Maxlow Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,270 (-15%) 3mo $180,000 $142 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.42×
Total profit
$57,680
Equity at exit
$5,666
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.45×
Total profit
$132,496
Equity at exit
$3,285

Cash invested: $10,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48203

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
218
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,601 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$199
Tax est. 1.5%
$47 /mo · $570/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$1,002

Break-even live

Break-even rent $332
Max offer price $37,999
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,028 -5% $1,015 +0% $1,002 +5% $989 +10% $976
Rent -10% $875 -5% $939 +0% $1,002 +5% $1,065 +10% $1,128
Rate -1.0pp $1,021 -0.5pp $1,012 base $1,002 +0.5pp $992 +1.0pp $982

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,500
Closing costs
$1,140
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20008 Hull St Highland Park, MI 5.0 2.0 1332 $1,600 $1.20 17d 1 0.17mi
1301 E Muir Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,600 $1.29 22d 1 0.31mi
1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $5,301 $5.13 2d 1 0.47mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 44d 1 0.51mi
19995 Goddard St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1292 $1,400 $1.08 22d 1 0.59mi
1326 E Evelyn Ave Unit 1032332P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1097 $6,364 $5.80 0d 1 0.64mi
19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.70mi
407 E Hayes Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 25d 1 0.71mi
429 E Milton Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1075 $1,595 $1.48 0d 1 0.73mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 17d 1 0.75mi
329 W Muir Ave Hazel Park, MI 4.0 2.0 1606 $2,000 $1.25 12d 1 0.95mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 16d 1 1.01mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 25d 1 1.07mi
18503 Riopelle St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,250 $1.00 6d 1 1.09mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 17d 1 1.10mi
20000 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,200 $1.04 25d 1 1.11mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 25d 1 1.18mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 6d 1 1.19mi
1330 E Chesterfield St Ferndale, MI 4.0 2.0 1795 $2,800 $1.56 0d 1 1.20mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 1.26mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 1.27mi
23077 Davey Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 933 $1,895 $2.03 25d 1 1.31mi
19458 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1550 $1,500 $0.97 4d 1 1.34mi
23304 Cayuga Ave Hazel Park, MI 4.0 2.0 1540 $2,150 $1.40 25d 1 1.43mi
266 W Goulson Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,600 $1.70 22d 1 1.44mi
23345 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 12d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $37,999 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $37,999 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $37,999 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $37,999 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $37,999 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $37,999 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $37,999 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $37,999 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $37,999 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $37,999 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $37,999 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $37,999 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $37,999 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $37,999 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $37,999 Active 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    LAND CONTRACT AVAILABLE Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! This home sits on a double lot and needs some work, but it has solid potential. Perfect for a first-time buyer willing to renovate, or an investor looking for a flip or rental property. Convenient location near schools, parks, and major transportation routes. Sold As-Is.

  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $37,999 Active 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    LAND CONTRACT AVAILABLE Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! This home sits on a double lot and needs some work, but it has solid potential. Perfect for a first-time buyer willing to renovate, or an investor looking for a flip or rental property. Convenient location near schools, parks, and major transportation routes. Sold As-Is.

  17. 2026-05-11
    historical $37,999 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    LAND CONTRACT AVAILABLE Great Starter Home or Investment Opportunity! This home sits on a double lot and needs some work, but it has solid potential. Perfect for a first-time buyer willing to renovate, or an investor looking for a flip or rental property. Convenient location near schools, parks, and major transportation routes. Sold As-Is.

  18. 2026-05-08
    historical
  19. 2026-04-03
    price $40,000
  20. 2026-04-03
    price $40,000
  21. 2026-03-04
    listed $45,000 Active
  22. 2026-03-04
    listed $45,000 Active
  23. 2026-03-02
    historical
  24. 2025-10-21
    historical
  25. 2025-09-02
    listed $39,999 Active
  26. 2025-09-01
    historical
  27. 2025-09-01
    historical
  28. 2025-08-31
    listed $39,999 Active
  29. 2025-07-24
    price $49,000
  30. 2025-07-24
    price $49,000
  31. 2025-07-22
    listed $490,000 Active
  32. 2025-07-22
    listed $490,000 Active
  33. 2025-07-20
    historical
  34. 2025-06-25
    price $55,000
  35. 2025-06-25
    price $55,000
  36. 2025-06-23
    listed $50,000 Active
  37. 2025-06-23
    listed $50,000 Active
  38. 2025-06-20
    historical
  39. 2011-04-02
    soldstatus $3,500
  40. 2011-04-02
    soldstatus $3,500
  41. 2011-04-02
    soldstatus $3,500
  42. 2011-03-02
    historical
  43. 2011-03-02
    historical
  44. 2010-12-09
    listed $3,500
  45. 2010-12-06
    listed $3,500
  46. 2010-12-06
    listed $3,500
  47. 2010-04-05
    historical
  48. 2010-04-05
    historical
  49. 2010-03-25
    listed $29,000
  50. 2010-03-25
    listed $29,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,208
− Mortgage interest
−$2,129
− Property taxes
−$570
− Insurance
−$190
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,537
− Management
−$1,537
− Depreciation
−$1,105
Taxable income
$12,141
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,914
After-tax cash flow
$9,109/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,049
Household income
$38,404
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1192.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.13%
Current HPI
297.0176
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+101.1% since first listed
47 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $37,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $37,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-11 Coming Soon $37,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-02 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-02 Listed $39,999 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-31 Listed $39,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Price Changed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Price Changed $49,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $490,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $490,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-25 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-25 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-23 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-23 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-20 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-04-02 Sold (MLS) $3,500 REALCOMP
  • 2011-04-02 Sold (MLS) $3,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-04-02 Sold (MLS) $3,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-03-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-03-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-12-09 Listed $3,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-12-06 Listed $3,500 REALCOMP
  • 2010-12-06 Listed $3,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-04-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2010-04-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-03-25 Listed $29,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-03-25 Listed $29,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-08-30 Sold (MLS) $5,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-08-30 Sold (MLS) $5,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-05-31 Listed $7,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-05-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-11-22 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-11-22 Listed $7,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-12-10 Sold (MLS) $7,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-05-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-04-02 Listed $8,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $18,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,824 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…