12152 Third Ave · Highpoint, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Update: This property is currently rented and occupied. pictures intended to showcase property as its tenant occupied at 1495 a month. Cozy Ranch with 2 bedroom 1 bath ready for new owners. Fresh paint, carpet and lvp flooring. Located in between West Chester and Masons' borders in the Highpoint subdivision. Conveniently located to all amenities and highways. Includes Double Lot Schedule a Tour Today. Also Great investment for rentals
Key facts
- Double lot
- Conveniently located
- 5,998 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#303 in OH, #4,872 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Princeton City (suburban): math 34% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #542 of 656 in OH (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.2%/yr); 38 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 438 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $145k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 438 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.73%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,581
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -13.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12121 Third Ave | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-4%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $189 | 84 |
| 12114 Fourth Ave | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 858 (-9%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $198 | 79 |
| 12016 Second Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 999 (+6%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $220 | 73 |
| 12109 Fourth Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+12%) | 5mo | $209,900 | $199 | 63 |
| 7965 Timberbreak Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,020 (+9%) | 4mo | $321,600 | $315 | 61 |
| 12105 Fourth Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+12%) | 7mo | $204,900 | $194 | 61 |
| 12147 Conrey Rd | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+4%) | 15mo | $210,000 | $214 | 57 |
| 11970 Fifth Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (-13%) | 12mo | $189,000 | $232 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $716
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $17,960
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45249
- Home prices YoY
- -27.4%
- Rents YoY
- -2.2%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,840 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,019/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $547 | -5% $506 | +0% $465 | +5% $423 | +10% $382 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $319 | -5% $392 | +0% $465 | +5% $537 | +10% $610 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $538 | -0.5pp $501 | base $465 | +0.5pp $427 | +1.0pp $389 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12121 3rd Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 18d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 10135 Crossing Dr Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1020 | $1,895 | $1.86 | 3d | 7 | 0.55mi |
| 8075 Somerset Chase Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1385 | $2,479 | $1.79 | 3d | 6 | 0.80mi |
| 11600 Grooms Rd Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $2,512 | $2.62 | 3d | 92 | 1.15mi |
| 11600 Timber Ridge Ln Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,370 | $1.71 | 4d | 7 | 1.24mi |
| 12131 Sycamore Terrace Dr Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,532 | $1.53 | 3d | 10 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $145,000 Active 438 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 435 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 433 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 426 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 425 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,900 Active 421 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 420 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 419 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-02-18status Active 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Update: This property is currently rented and occupied. pictures intended to showcase property as its tenant occupied at 1495 a month. Cozy Ranch with 2 bedroom 1 bath ready for new owners. Fresh paint, carpet and lvp flooring. Located in between West Chester and Masons' borders in the Highpoint subdivision. Conveniently located to all amenities and highways. Includes Double Lot Schedule a Tour Today. Also Great investment for rentals
-
2025-12-16historical Contingency Pending 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Update: This property is currently rented and occupied. pictures intended to showcase property as its tenant occupied at 1495 a month. Cozy Ranch with 2 bedroom 1 bath ready for new owners. Fresh paint, carpet and lvp flooring. Located in between West Chester and Masons' borders in the Highpoint subdivision. Conveniently located to all amenities and highways. Includes Double Lot Schedule a Tour Today. Also Great investment for rentals
-
2025-04-04$149,900 Active 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Update: This property is currently rented and occupied. pictures intended to showcase property as its tenant occupied at 1495 a month. Cozy Ranch with 2 bedroom 1 bath ready for new owners. Fresh paint, carpet and lvp flooring. Located in between West Chester and Masons' borders in the Highpoint subdivision. Conveniently located to all amenities and highways. Includes Double Lot Schedule a Tour Today. Also Great investment for rentals
-
2023-09-13price $75,000 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Attention Investors Currently rented m2m at 800 dollars. Sold as-is tenants want to stay. below market rents
-
2023-08-03soldstatus $75,000 Closed 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Attention Investors Currently rented m2m at 800 dollars. Sold as-is tenants want to stay. below market rents
-
2023-07-17soldstatus $70,000
-
2023-02-03status Pending 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Attention Investors Currently rented m2m at 800 dollars. Sold as-is tenants want to stay. below market rents
-
2023-01-17price $89,000 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Attention Investors Currently rented m2m at 800 dollars. Sold as-is tenants want to stay. below market rents
-
2023-01-09$89,000 Active 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Attention Investors Currently rented m2m at 800 dollars. Sold as-is tenants want to stay. below market rents
-
2022-12-03historical
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2022-11-30$90,000 Active
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2015-06-15soldstatus $35,190
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2015-06-12soldstatus $35,190 Sold
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2015-05-14historical Accept Backup Offers
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2015-04-22$41,400 Active
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2015-04-21historical
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2015-03-04$46,400 Active
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2015-01-02soldstatus $32,000
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2009-05-28soldstatus $79,000
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2009-03-28soldstatus $79,000
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2009-02-02$79,000
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2009-01-07historical
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2008-07-09historical
-
2008-07-06$84,900
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2008-02-12$89,500
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2007-10-19soldstatus $38,500
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2007-09-25$56,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,019 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,140 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 6.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,079
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,019
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,766
- − Management
- −$1,766
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $3,462
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$831
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,743/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Princeton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904467
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,182
- Composite
- 33.52/100
- National rank
- #5436
- State rank
- #542 of 656 in OH
Livability — Highpoint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #303
- US rank
- #4872
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Highpoint, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,490
- Household income
- $105,804
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 481.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Asian 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.55%
- Current HPI
- 247.2886
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.25%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+164.4% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Relisted — Cincy MLS
- 2025-12-16 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2025-04-04 Listed $149,900 Cincy MLS
- 2023-09-13 Price Changed $75,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-08-03 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2023-02-03 Pending — Cincy MLS
- 2023-01-17 Price Changed $89,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-01-09 Listed $89,000 Cincy MLS
- 2022-12-03 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2022-11-30 Listed $90,000 Cincy MLS
- 2015-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $35,190 Public Records
- 2015-06-12 Sold (MLS) $35,190 Cincy MLS
- 2015-05-14 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2015-04-22 Listed $41,400 Cincy MLS
- 2015-04-21 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2015-03-04 Listed $46,400 Cincy MLS
- 2015-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 2009-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2009-03-28 Sold (MLS) $79,000 Cincy MLS
- 2009-02-02 Listed $79,000 Cincy MLS
- 2009-01-07 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2008-07-09 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2008-07-06 Listed $84,900 Cincy MLS
- 2008-02-12 Listed $89,500 Cincy MLS
- 2007-10-19 Sold (MLS) $38,500 Cincy MLS
- 2007-09-25 Listed $56,700 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,019 · +84.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…