1000 E Titus St · Mexia, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tenet occupied. This two bedroom house is a fixer upper that would be a good investment requiring cosmetic repairs. A large three room storage building with a half bath and a carport is also on the property. In addition to the two bedrooms, there are two living areas, two bathrooms, and a separate laundry room. A drive-through carport is conveniently attached to the side of the house.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1950
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($764 rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.6% in Mexia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#458 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mexia ISD (town): math 22% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #696 of 826 in TX (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: A B Mcbay El (527 students, 86% FRL); Mexia J H (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 386 students, 81% FRL); Mexia H S (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 553 students, 77% FRL).
- Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 140d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 17 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Limestone County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.97%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,450
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -46.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 920 E Evergreen St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,002 (+1%) | 14mo | $59,900 | $60 | 73 |
| 506 E Bowie St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,034 (+5%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $102 | 58 |
| 1308 Titus St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-19%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $150 | 57 |
| 108 S Bonham St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 1,088 (+10%) | 0mo | $99,900 | $92 | 50 |
| 815 E Sumpter St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (+8%) | 6mo | $52,000 | $49 | 50 |
| 610 N Bailey St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+18%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $73 | 36 |
| 712 E Liberty St | 0.82mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+13%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $76 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $923
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $13,621
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 15.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $139,499 ($157/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 119 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -34.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76667
- Home prices YoY
- -8.9%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $764 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,667/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$161
- Net cashflow
- $154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $185 | -5% $169 | +0% $154 | +5% $138 | +10% $122 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $93 | -5% $123 | +0% $154 | +5% $184 | +10% $214 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $181 | -0.5pp $168 | base $154 | +0.5pp $139 | +1.0pp $125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 812 E Palestine St Mexia, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $722 | $1.03 | 139d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 920 E Sumpter St Mexia, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $747 | $1.07 | 139d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 825 Tehuacana Hwy Unit 204 Mexia, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 139d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 48 events
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2026-07-23days on market $55,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $55,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $55,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $55,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $55,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-07-17days on market $55,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $55,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $55,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $55,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $55,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $55,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $55,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $55,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $55,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $55,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $55,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $55,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $55,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $55,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $55,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $55,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $55,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $55,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $55,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $55,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $55,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $55,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-05-04price $55,000 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Tenet occupied. This two bedroom house is a fixer upper that would be a good investment requiring cosmetic repairs. A large three room storage building with a half bath and a carport is also on the property. In addition to the two bedrooms, there are two living areas, two bathrooms, and a separate laundry room. A drive-through carport is conveniently attached to the side of the house.
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2026-03-20$60,000 Active 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Tenet occupied. This two bedroom house is a fixer upper that would be a good investment requiring cosmetic repairs. A large three room storage building with a half bath and a carport is also on the property. In addition to the two bedrooms, there are two living areas, two bathrooms, and a separate laundry room. A drive-through carport is conveniently attached to the side of the house.
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2025-02-03soldstatus
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2012-02-22soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,667 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,667 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,173
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,667
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$734
- − Management
- −$734
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $1,082
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$260
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,583/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This fixer-upper requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its resale and rental value.
Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — Significant damage to the roof structure is visible.
- Major Windows (windows) — Windows appear to be old and possibly not functioning properly.
- Major Electrical (electrical) — The electrical panel appears outdated and may need replacement.
- Major Plumbing (plumbing) — The exterior of the house shows signs of water damage, indicating potential plumbing issues.
- Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior siding is peeling and damaged, requiring immediate attention.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Severe wear and tear, likely unsafe to use
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Outdated and worn, need replacement
- Moderate Exterior siding — Worn and discolored, may need repainting or replacement
- Major Flooring — Worn and damaged, needs replacement
- Moderate Paint — Worn and discolored, needs touch-up or repainting
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Kitchen renovation — Modern kitchen will attract more buyers and increase value ↑
- Resale Bathroom renovation — Up-to-date bathrooms will appeal to potential buyers ↑
- Both Exterior painting — Fresh paint will improve curb appeal and home value ↑
- Both Flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and functionality ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mexia ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830420
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,464
- Composite
- 22.48/100
- National rank
- #8101
- State rank
- #696 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mexia
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #458
- US rank
- #9265
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mexia, TX
- County
- Limestone · 23,396 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,494
- Household income
- $50,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,396 people
- By 2030
- 23,214 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 22,829 · -2.4%
- By 2050
- 22,516 · -3.8%
- By 2075
- 22,088 · -5.6%
- By 2100
- 20,354 · -13.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 24% Black 21%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 23%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.9) · D 21.2% · R 78.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -56.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.9 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+52.3 2012: R+40.7 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.91%
- Current HPI
- 161.8191
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-8.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $55,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $60,000 NTREIS
- 2025-02-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-02-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,667 · +19.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…