102 Zoratoa Ave · St. Augustine, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$535,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Davis Shores Investment Cottage with Detached ADU -- Steps from the Bridge of Lions. A rare 1948 St. Augustine cottage with the kind of location investors and legacy-minded buyers chase for years. Tucked into Davis Shores just steps from the Bridge of Lions, this dual-living property delivers two separate income streams on one walkable, in-demand lot. The main house is pure old-Florida charm -- original hardwood floors, a bright living space, 2 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, and a screened porch with peeks of the Intracoastal where morning coffee hits different. The private fenced backyard offers room to relax, garden, or entertain after a day at the beach. The detached above-garage ADU was fully
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Detached adu
- Off-street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage with garage door opener; Additional parking; Guest parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One and one-half stories; South-facing
- Construction: Fiber cement exterior; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Private courtyard; Outdoor shower; Front porch (screened)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Double oven; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub); Primary bedroom on the main floor
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $535k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-462 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $453k (15.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $470k (12.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $453k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in St. Augustine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: R. B. Hunt Elementary School (math 76% / reading 80%, grade A, #149 of 2,144 statewide, top 8%, 585 students, 26% FRL); Sebastian Middle School (math 59% / reading 59%, grade B, #144 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 654 students, 42% FRL); St. Augustine High School (math 54% / reading 62%, grade C, #120 of 667 statewide, top 18%, 1,784 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 35% FRL vs 20% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 534 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,700/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 417% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($519k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $418k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.28%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $673,068
- List price
- $535,000
- Delta
- -20.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Flagler Blvd S | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,787 (-1%) | 0mo | $599,900 | $336 | 84 |
| 105 Arricola Ave #B | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,586 (-12%) | 5mo | $450,000 | $284 | 72 |
| 29 Montrano Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,769 (-2%) | 6mo | $380,000 | $215 | 67 |
| 108 Oglethorpe Blvd | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (-15%) | 1mo | $505,000 | $329 | 63 |
| 314 Arpieka | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,626 (-10%) | 2mo | $780,000 | $480 | 62 |
| 410 Arredondo | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (-11%) | 4mo | $810,000 | $508 | 60 |
| 6 South St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,728 (-4%) | 4mo | $535,000 | $310 | 59 |
| 102 Menendez Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,820 (+1%) | 9mo | $670,000 | $368 | 57 |
| 345 Charlotte St | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,908 (+6%) | 2mo | $875,000 | $459 | 57 |
| 108 Zorayda Ave | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,566 (-13%) | 11mo | $575,000 | $367 | 55 |
| 201 Kenan St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,534 (-15%) | 3mo | $550,000 | $359 | 36 |
| 509 Arricola Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,064 (+15%) | 11mo | $657,000 | $318 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-129,519
- Equity at exit
- $79,770
- IRR
- -40.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.35×
- Total profit
- $-202,410
- Equity at exit
- $46,257
Cash invested: $149,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32080
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 534
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,700 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,806
- Tax from tax record
- −$720 /mo · $8,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$223
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$987
- Net cashflow
- $-462
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-159 | -5% $-310 | +0% $-462 | +5% $-613 | +10% $-765 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-833 | -5% $-648 | +0% $-462 | +5% $-276 | +10% $-91 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-192 | -0.5pp $-326 | base $-462 | +0.5pp $-601 | +1.0pp $-742 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $133,750
- Closing costs
- $16,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Flagler Blvd Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $5,800 | $3.25 | 9d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 75 Comares Ave Unit 3A Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,950 | $3.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 11 Comares Ave Unit 1281955P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $4,317 | $3.49 | 9d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 171 Cordova St Unit B St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $4,000 | $2.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 195 Cabeza St Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2150 | $3,600 | $1.67 | 19d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 92 Washington St Unit 1281952P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2292 | $4,990 | $2.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 92 Washington St Unit 1281975P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2292 | $4,088 | $1.78 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 27 Desoto Pl Unit 1281911P St. Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1991 | $10,893 | $5.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 123 Ferdinand Ave Unit 1281969P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $4,766 | $2.82 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 20 Martin Luther King Ave Unit 1281959P St. Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2497 | $21,470 | $8.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 104 Cedar St Unit 1281914P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $7,542 | $5.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 146 Blanco St Unit 1281949P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1872 | $7,178 | $3.83 | 9d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 114 Cedar St Unit 4 St. Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1495 | $2,895 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 114 Cedar St Saint Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1495 | $2,895 | $1.94 | 25d | 2 | 0.88mi |
| 134 South St Unit 1281931P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $6,455 | $5.00 | 9d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 68 Saragossa St Saint Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $3,800 | $2.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 116 San Marco Ave Unit 1281934P St. Augustine, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $4,325 | $4.70 | 9d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| 17 Old Mission Ave Unit 1281913P St. Augustine, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1291 | $3,714 | $2.88 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 130 Shipyard Way St. Augustine, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1137 | $3,480 | $3.06 | 3d | 68 | 1.38mi |
| 16 Magnolia Ave Unit 1281942P St. Augustine, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2066 | $5,725 | $2.77 | 9d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 601 S Ponce De Leon Blvd Apt D St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2400 | $6,000 | $2.50 | 9d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $535,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $535,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $535,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $559,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $559,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $559,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $559,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $559,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $559,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $559,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $559,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $559,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $559,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $559,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-29$559,000 Active 1626-char remark
-
2026-04-01price $615,000
-
2026-03-16price $635,000
-
2025-10-26price $699,000
-
2025-09-22price $755,000
-
2025-06-26historical $2,799
-
2025-06-26historical $2,799
-
2025-04-13price $2,799
-
2025-04-13$1,995
-
2025-03-09price $2,999
-
2025-02-16price $3,300
-
2024-12-07$3,500
-
2020-12-16soldstatus $418,000
-
2020-12-15soldstatus $418,000 Sold
-
2020-12-15soldstatus $418,000 Closed
-
2020-11-16status Pending
-
2020-10-27historical Contingent- Accepting Backups
-
2020-10-27historical Active - Contingent
-
2020-10-02$450,000 Active
-
2020-09-28$450,000 Active
-
2014-12-17soldstatus $173,500
-
2010-12-23soldstatus $145,000
-
1987-12-01soldstatus $57,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,635 · $720/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,635 · $720/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,397
- − Mortgage interest
- −$29,968
- − Property taxes
- −$8,635
- − Insurance
- −$7,794
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,512
- − Management
- −$4,512
- − Depreciation
- −$15,564
- Taxable loss
- −$14,587
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,501
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,042/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Augustine
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Augustine, FL
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,894
- Household income
- $92,531
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 417.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -560.06%
- Current HPI
- 301.5733
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.97%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+830.4% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $535,000 realMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $559,000 realMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $615,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $635,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2025-10-26 Price Changed $699,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $755,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2025-06-26 Rental Removed $2,799 SASJC
- 2025-06-26 Rental Removed $2,799 SASJC
- 2025-04-13 Price Changed $2,799 SASJC
- 2025-04-13 Listed for Rent $1,995 SASJC
- 2025-03-09 Price Changed $2,999 SASJC
- 2025-02-16 Price Changed $3,300 SASJC
- 2024-12-07 Listed for Rent $3,500 SASJC
- 2020-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $418,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-15 Sold (MLS) $418,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2020-12-15 Sold (MLS) $418,000 realMLS
- 2020-11-16 Pending — realMLS
- 2020-10-27 Contingent — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2020-10-27 Contingent — realMLS
- 2020-10-02 Listed $450,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2020-09-28 Listed $450,000 realMLS
- 2014-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $173,500 Public Records
- 2010-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 1987-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $8,635 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…