207 Cherry St · Allegan, MI
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed, 1.5 bath home in excellent location. Just a little TLC will go a long way. Newer furnace. Private back yard. 1 ++ stall garage. Sold AS-IS with all contents. Pole barn is NOT part of this property.
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Private back yard
- Excellent location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property with 1,376 total living area
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water service
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; One-story (single level not specified beyond total living area)
- Construction: Built in 1872; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot is 0.23 acres; Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Michigan-style basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $651 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.6% in Allegan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#318 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Allegan Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #338 of 540 in MI (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Allegan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1872 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1872 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.93%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $198,144
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 Ely St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,325 (-4%) | 7mo | $178,000 | $134 | 69 |
| 301 Grand St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,366 (-1%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $212 | 64 |
| 104 Grand St | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 | 1,328 (-4%) | 7mo | $149,000 | $112 | 58 |
| 124 Park Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (-4%) | 6mo | $106,000 | $80 | 57 |
| 608 Trowbridge St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+12%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $146 | 55 |
| 151 Park Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+5%) | 12mo | $245,000 | $170 | 54 |
| 211 Lincoln St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (-4%) | 11mo | $190,000 | $144 | 49 |
| 223 North St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (+10%) | 2mo | $158,000 | $104 | 46 |
| 228 River St | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-6%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $165 | 44 |
| 208 Robinson St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-10%) | 9mo | $206,500 | $168 | 42 |
| 226 Monroe St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (-14%) | 12mo | $148,000 | $124 | 42 |
| 123 Terrace St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,528 (+11%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $131 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $15,600
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $67,226
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49010
- Home prices YoY
- -34.3%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,293 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $651
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Monroe St Unit 1 Allegan, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 364 Sherman St Allegan, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,795 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 364 Sherman St Allegan, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,495 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-01status $159,900 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$159,900 Active 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
3 bed, 1.5 bath home in excellent location. Just a little TLC will go a long way. Newer furnace. Private back yard. 1 ++ stall garage. Sold AS-IS with all contents. Pole barn is NOT part of this property.
-
2026-05-19$159,900 Active 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
3 bed, 1.5 bath home in excellent location. Just a little TLC will go a long way. Newer furnace. Private back yard. 1 ++ stall garage. Sold AS-IS with all contents. Pole barn is NOT part of this property.
-
2026-05-19$159,900 Active
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
3 bed, 1.5 bath home in excellent location. Just a little TLC will go a long way. Newer furnace. Private back yard. 1 ++ stall garage. Sold AS-IS with all contents. Pole barn is NOT part of this property.
-
2024-02-01soldstatus $150,000 Sold
-
2024-02-01soldstatus $150,000 Sold
-
2024-02-01soldstatus $150,000 Closed
-
2023-12-12status Pending
-
2023-12-12status Pending
-
2023-12-12status Pending
-
2023-12-11$150,000 Active
-
2023-12-11$150,000 Active
-
2023-12-11$150,000 Active
-
2023-11-04status Pending
-
2023-11-04status Pending
-
2023-11-04historical
-
2023-11-04historical
-
2023-10-04price $175,000
-
2023-10-03price $175,000
-
2023-10-03price $175,000
-
2023-07-29price $200,000
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2023-07-29price $200,000
-
2023-07-29price $200,000
-
2023-06-02$230,000 Active
-
2023-06-02$230,000 Active
-
2001-05-11soldstatus $84,000
-
2001-05-11soldstatus $84,000
-
2000-10-30$92,500
-
2000-10-30$92,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,513
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,398
- − Insurance
- −$1,466
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,201
- − Management
- −$2,201
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $5,638
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,353
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,455/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegan Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2602220
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,602
- Composite
- 27.27/100
- National rank
- #7008
- State rank
- #338 of 540 in MI
Livability — Allegan
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #318
- US rank
- #7767
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allegan, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,394
Population outlook (Allegan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,251 people
- By 2030
- 122,204 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 123,979 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 122,340 · +1.7%
- By 2075
- 116,088 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 98,461 · -18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 10% Romanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegan
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.2) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.7pp · 2024: -27.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.2 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+28.8 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+10.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.08%
- Current HPI
- 260.4976
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+72.9% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $159,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-19 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-02-01 Sold (MLS) $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-02-01 Sold (MLS) $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-02-01 Sold (MLS) $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-12-12 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-12 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-12-12 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-12-11 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-11 Listed $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-12-11 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-11-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-11-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-04 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-10-04 Price Changed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-03 Price Changed $175,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-10-03 Price Changed $175,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-07-29 Price Changed $200,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-29 Price Changed $200,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-07-29 Price Changed $200,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-06-02 Listed $230,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-02 Listed $230,000 REALCOMP
- 2001-05-11 Sold (MLS) $84,000 REALCOMP
- 2001-05-11 Sold (MLS) $84,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2000-10-30 Listed $92,500 REALCOMP
- 2000-10-30 Listed $92,500 SW Michigan MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…