2751 Randolph St · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$20,250
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
All info needs to be verified by buyer.
Key facts
- 8,930 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1960
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($910 rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 39.2% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $140 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $608 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 834 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 834 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 39.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 117.44%
- DSCR
- 6.23
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $28,345
- List price
- $20,250
- Delta
- -28.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2816 Bibb St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (0%) | 14mo | $24,999 | $27 | 78 |
| 3030 Morningside Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,005 (+7%) | 2mo | $53,000 | $53 | 76 |
| 2910 Meadow Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 931 (-0%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $48 | 67 |
| 2026 Murray St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 982 (+5%) | 12mo | $29,900 | $30 | 53 |
| 5203 Bienville Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 987 (+5%) | 7mo | $24,900 | $25 | 52 |
| 2446 Drexel St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 979 (+5%) | 4mo | $15,000 | $15 | 51 |
| 3101 Syphon St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-10%) | 10mo | $10,000 | $12 | 50 |
| 3934 Fairfax Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (+11%) | 2mo | $84,000 | $81 | 49 |
| 2511 Drexel St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,005 (+7%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $45 | 44 |
| 3250 Wagner St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,044 (+12%) | 8mo | $29,500 | $28 | 38 |
| 2946 Midway St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 822 (-12%) | 6mo | $22,500 | $27 | 36 |
| 3127 Lindholm St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 810 (-14%) | 16mo | $59,500 | $73 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.56×
- Total profit
- $31,516
- Equity at exit
- $3,019
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.48×
- Total profit
- $70,745
- Equity at exit
- $1,751
Cash invested: $5,670 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71108
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $910 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$106
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $589/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $555
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,062
- Closing costs
- $608
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2644 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2641 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1045 | $725 | $0.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5306 Prentiss Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $975 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 5218 Fairfax Ave Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $825 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1954 State St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2943 Hillcrest Ave Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3530 Pleasant Dr Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $725 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2721 Sunnybrook St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $1,000 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2924 DuPont St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $750 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2714 DuPont St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $565 | $0.58 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $850 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2544 DuPont St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 683 | $600 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1749 Caroline St Shreveport, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $975 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2762 Marquette St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3051 Amherst St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $595 | $0.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2520 Merwin St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $700 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1421 Clover St Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $675 | $0.75 | 13d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1416 Natalie St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1430 Grigsby St Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $775 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 513 Sassafras Ave Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $870 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $20,250 Active 834 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $20,250 Active 833 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $20,250 Active 832 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $20,250 Active 831 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $20,250 Active 829 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $20,250 Active 828 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $20,250 Active 826 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $20,250 Active 825 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $20,250 Active 824 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $20,250 Active 823 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $20,250 Active 820 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $20,250 Active 819 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $20,250 Active 818 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $20,250 Active 817 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $20,250 Active 816 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $20,250 Active 815 DOM
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2024-07-17price $20,250 39-char remark
Show marketing remark (39 chars)
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-
2024-06-13price $26,975 39-char remark
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-
2024-04-24price $29,900 39-char remark
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-
2024-03-06$37,263 Active 39-char remark
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-
2024-03-06historical
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-
2024-03-06$37,263 Active
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All info needs to be verified by buyer.
-
2024-03-04historical
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2023-11-21status Active
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2023-11-16status Pending
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2023-07-23$37,263 Active
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2018-12-03soldstatus $375,000
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2000-08-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $589 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $589 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,916
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,134
- − Property taxes
- −$589
- − Insurance
- −$101
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$873
- − Management
- −$873
- − Depreciation
- −$589
- Taxable income
- $6,755
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,621
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,037/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,072
- Household income
- $32,055
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1526.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.98%
- Current HPI
- 58.1377
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.37%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-94.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2024-07-17 Price Changed $20,250 NTREIS
- 2024-06-13 Price Changed $26,975 NTREIS
- 2024-04-24 Price Changed $29,900 NTREIS
- 2024-03-06 Listed $37,263 NTREIS
- 2024-03-06 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-03-06 Listed $37,263 NTREIS
- 2024-03-04 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2023-11-21 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2023-11-16 Pending — NTREIS
- 2023-07-23 Listed $37,263 NTREIS
- 2018-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $375,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $589 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…