2263 N Trekell Rd #17 · Casa Grande, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover this charming, one-owner residence featuring a thoughtful split-floor plan with 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, & a versatile private office. The heart of the home is a light-filled open family room that flows seamlessly into a spacious island kitchen, complete with a breakfast nook and ample counter space. Enjoy a cozy den situated between the generous bedrooms for added privacy. This home is being offered fully furnished and includes an interior laundry room with washer and dryer. Outside, relax in the screened-in patio or the private, beautifully landscaped backyard enclosed by a secure block wall. Ready for immediate occupancy.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Split-floor plan
- Private office
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot information per assessor
- HOA & community: Land lease (monthly); Land lease payment: $538 monthly; Association fee covers grounds maintenance; Community amenities include pool and biking/walking path
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered spaces; 2 open parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Private water company; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership; Asphalt road access
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof; Building area per assessor
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Shed(s); Gravel/stone front and back; Front and back automatic water timers
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Laminate counters
- Bedrooms: Up to 3 possible bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry; Furnished (see remarks); No interior steps; 3/4 bath in master bedroom; Skylights; Tinted windows; Accessible hallway(s); Storage
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.1% in Casa Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#220 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453) (suburban): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #193 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Casa Grande Union High School (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #217 of 381 statewide, top 57%, 2,132 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 628 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.65%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $161,280
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2263 N Trekell Rd Rd #77 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (+4%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $125 | 92 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #156 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (+4%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $118 | 92 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #36 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (+4%) | 4mo | $184,000 | $131 | 90 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #48 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,232 (-8%) | 2mo | $165,900 | $135 | 84 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #67 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,472 (+10%) | 1mo | $187,500 | $127 | 83 |
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #88 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,300 (-3%) | 3mo | $22,000 | $17 | 77 |
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #291 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,393 (+4%) | 8mo | $69,000 | $50 | 72 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #72 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (+8%) | 10mo | $174,000 | $120 | 71 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #159 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,232 (-8%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $130 | 68 |
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #226 | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,456 (+8%) | 3mo | $37,000 | $25 | 65 |
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #143 | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,456 (+8%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $45 | 63 |
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #204 | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 4mo | $39,500 | $34 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-9,702
- Equity at exit
- $23,782
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $20,431
- Equity at exit
- $13,791
Cash invested: $44,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85122
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 628
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,662 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$836
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$199 /mo · $2,392/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $210
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,875
- Closing costs
- $4,785
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1139 E Yucca St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2060 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 670 | $1,300 | $1.94 | 24d | 4 | 0.48mi |
| 700 E Rodeo Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $1,436 | $1.73 | 3d | 25 | 0.58mi |
| 1201 E Barcelona Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1803 | $1,900 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1936 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $1,492 | $1.44 | 1d | 29 | 0.69mi |
| 1292 E Rodeo Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1926 N Avenida de Palmas Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,199 | $1.08 | 21d | 3 | 0.77mi |
| 2094 N Sweetwater Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1775 N Terrace Cir Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,699 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1858 N Center Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 520 W Casa Mirage Ct Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,600 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1161 E O'Neil Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,295 | $1.13 | 3d | 12 | 1.25mi |
| 2575 N Lupita Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1630 | $1,595 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2569 N Agave Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,750 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1547 E Inouye Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $3,500 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2710 N Mulberry Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1631 | $2,100 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1552 E Inouye Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,699 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1552 E Inouye Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $1,699 | $1.08 | 11d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 645 W Jardin Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1309 | $1,650 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1620 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $2,165 | $1.99 | 1d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1641 N Kadota Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 1d | 3 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-03-30$159,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,939
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,934
- − Property taxes
- −$2,392
- − Insurance
- −$798
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,595
- − Management
- −$1,595
- − Depreciation
- −$4,640
- Taxable loss
- −$15
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This one-owner home features a split-floor plan with 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, offering a light-filled open family room and a private office. The home is in good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed, making it ready for immediate occupancy and potential value enhancement.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and home value.
- Resale Replace carpet in living areas — New carpet improves comfort and adds value.
- Rental Service HVAC system — A well-maintained HVAC system ensures comfort and reduces energy costs.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and home value. ↑
- Resale Replace carpet in living areas — New carpet improves comfort and adds value. ↑
- Rental Service HVAC system — A well-maintained HVAC system ensures comfort and reduces energy costs. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453)
- NCES district ID
- 0401740
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,373
- Composite
- 15.38/100
- National rank
- #9319
- State rank
- #193 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Casa Grande
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #21534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Casa Grande, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 69,701
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,624
- Household income
- $68,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1250.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 42% Two or more races 21% Black 4% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.32%
- Current HPI
- 233.148
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $159,500 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…