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17800 Dogwood Ln
B Composite 74.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,999

17800 Dogwood Ln · Hazel Crest, IL 60429
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,489 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 229 Days on market
Built 1963 Est $228k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brick & Frame Split Level with 4 bedrooms, 1 1/ 2 baths, lower level family room, living room, dining room and 1 car attached garage. Being sold in "as-is" condition. Plz note: no survey or termite inspection and taxes are prorated 100%. Buyer responsible for all city inspections, if any. Seller's addendums will be forwarded after an accepted offer.

Key facts

  • Tree-lined street
  • Brick home
  • Close to dining

Tags

BRICK HOMEGENEROUS BACKYARDTREE-LINED STREETBUSTLING NEIGHBORHOODCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO DINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan and public supply; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built 61–70 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction
  • Exterior features: Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area/table space (18 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: Five bedrooms; Master bedroom (third level); Bedroom sizes include: 15 x 12, 15 x 10, 13 x 12, 11 x 9, 10 x 10 (various third-level bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Nine total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room (on property)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $750 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 9.0% in Hazel Crest — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $140k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $153,999 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.44%
Cash-on-cash
18.37%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$227,817
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2711 Larkspur Ln 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,441 (-3%) 0mo $191,000 $133 82
17731 Larkspur Ln 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,373 (-8%) 2mo $280,000 $204 74
3216 Charlemagne Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,399 (-6%) 2mo $195,000 $139 60
2817 173rd St 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+1%) 4mo $219,900 $147 60
17218 Hillside Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,421 (-5%) 1mo $220,000 $155 55
3100 Longfellow Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,601 (+8%) 3mo $210,000 $131 55
3403 Fountainbleau Dr 0.72mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,550 (+4%) 0mo $246,500 $159 50
17220 Highland Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,389 (-7%) 8mo $230,000 $166 48
18120 Versailles Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,360 (-9%) 4mo $219,000 $161 47
3003 Longfellow Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,326 (-11%) 5mo $178,000 $134 47
2612 175th St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,280 (-14%) 6mo $98,200 $77 46
2803 172nd St 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,334 (-10%) 9mo $204,500 $153 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$19,460
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$78,622
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60429

Home prices YoY
-14.0%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,480 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$521
Net cashflow
$750

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $174,999
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $871 -5% $811 +0% $750 +5% $690 +10% $629
Rent -10% $554 -5% $652 +0% $750 +5% $848 +10% $946
Rate -1.0pp $838 -0.5pp $795 base $750 +0.5pp $705 +1.0pp $659

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2722 Larkspur Ln Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1441 $2,650 $1.84 13d 1 0.31mi
3212 Charlemagne Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.5 1412 $2,650 $1.88 0d 1 0.59mi
17306 Holmes Ave Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.0 1535 $2,195 $1.43 5d 1 0.60mi
2223 Hawthorne Rd Homewood, IL 3.0 2.0 1552 $2,300 $1.48 25d 1 0.78mi
2420 183rd St Homewood, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 12d 1 0.79mi
17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL 3.0 1.0 1174 $2,500 $2.13 18d 1 0.80mi
17561 Hillside Ave Homewood, IL 3.0 1.0 1174 $2,300 $1.96 0d 1 0.80mi
3515 Bordeaux Ct Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 2.0 1486 $2,900 $1.95 3d 1 0.89mi
2173 171st St Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1159 $2,350 $2.03 0d 1 1.21mi
2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 2.0 1020 $2,400 $2.35 0d 1 1.23mi
2107 171st St Unit 2107 Hazel Crest, IL 3.0 1.5 1158 $2,300 $1.99 0d 1 1.28mi
16901 Orchard Ridge Ave Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 2.0 1406 $2,700 $1.92 0d 1 1.30mi
17306 Peach Grove Ln Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 1.0 1034 $2,700 $2.61 0d 1 1.36mi
1802 Evergreen Rd Homewood, IL 4.0 2.0 1716 $2,836 $1.65 0d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $174,999 Active 229 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,999 Active 226 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,999 Active 225 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,999 Active 224 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 470-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $174,999 Active 223 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $189,900 Active 221 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 217 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 216 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 215 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 212 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 211 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 210 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    status $189,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 209 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 209 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 208 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    price $189,900
  18. 2026-04-24
    price $194,900
  19. 2026-04-09
    status Active
  20. 2026-04-03
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  21. 2026-02-06
    price $204,900
  22. 2025-12-16
    price $209,900
  23. 2025-11-04
    listed $219,900 Active
  24. 2016-07-06
    soldstatus $140,000
  25. 2009-03-05
    price $57,500 Closed Sale 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Brick & Frame Split Level with 4 bedrooms, 1 1/ 2 baths, lower level family room, living room, dining room and 1 car attached garage. Being sold in "as-is" condition. Plz note: no survey or termite inspection and taxes are prorated 100%. Buyer responsible for all city inspections, if any. Seller's addendums will be forwarded after an accepted offer.

  26. 2009-03-05
    soldstatus $57,500 Closed Sale 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Brick & Frame Split Level with 4 bedrooms, 1 1/ 2 baths, lower level family room, living room, dining room and 1 car attached garage. Being sold in "as-is" condition. Plz note: no survey or termite inspection and taxes are prorated 100%. Buyer responsible for all city inspections, if any. Seller's addendums will be forwarded after an accepted offer.

  27. 2009-01-22
    historical 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Brick & Frame Split Level with 4 bedrooms, 1 1/ 2 baths, lower level family room, living room, dining room and 1 car attached garage. Being sold in "as-is" condition. Plz note: no survey or termite inspection and taxes are prorated 100%. Buyer responsible for all city inspections, if any. Seller's addendums will be forwarded after an accepted offer.

  28. 2008-12-31
    listed $115,000 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Brick & Frame Split Level with 4 bedrooms, 1 1/ 2 baths, lower level family room, living room, dining room and 1 car attached garage. Being sold in "as-is" condition. Plz note: no survey or termite inspection and taxes are prorated 100%. Buyer responsible for all city inspections, if any. Seller's addendums will be forwarded after an accepted offer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,766
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,381
− Management
−$2,381
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$6,610
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,586
After-tax cash flow
$7,416/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Hazel Crest

Score
75/100
State rank
#229
US rank
#4242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazel Crest, IL
City population
14,602
Population (ZIP)
14,602

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.04%
Current HPI
282.3552
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+65.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $189,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $194,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $204,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $209,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $219,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2009-03-05 Sold (MLS) $57,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-03-05 Price Changed $57,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-01-22 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-12-31 Listed $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2023): $10,245 · +20.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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