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1540 Virginia Ave
B Composite 71.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$61,900

1540 Virginia Ave · Monaca, PA 15061
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,364 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 170 Days on market
Built 1900 3,484 sqft lot $45/sqft · 60% below area ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits in this two bedroom, one bath home with single detached garage. Take a drive by and see if this may be your next investment.

Key facts

  • 3,484 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 170 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#182 in PA, #1,516 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment D-.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $428 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,472 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.98%
Cap rate
14.48%
Cash-on-cash
29.23%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$153,163
List price
$61,900
Delta
-59.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1213 Virginia Ave 0.24mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,290 (-5%) 3mo $105,000 $81 70
1224 Indiana Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (-3%) 10mo $190,000 $144 65
1213 Indiana Ave 0.29mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,470 (+8%) 4mo $222,000 $151 63
1201 Marshall Rd 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,372 (+1%) 9mo $165,000 $120 57
1199 Marshall Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,333 (-2%) 2mo $225,000 $169 56
1536 Marshall Rd 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,280 (-6%) 4mo $65,000 $51 54
2026 Marshall Rd 0.70mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,306 (-4%) 2mo $248,000 $190 52
1146 Chestnut St 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+6%) 2mo $215,000 $149 51
1215 Cascade Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,316 (-4%) 8mo $225,000 $171 50
600 Indiana Ave 0.69mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,288 (-6%) 1mo $190,000 $148 47
1012 Blaine Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-8%) 2mo $225,000 $180 43
627 Wayne Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,170 (-14%) 2mo $203,000 $174 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$16,946
Equity at exit
$9,229
10-year hold
IRR
31.7%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$49,745
Equity at exit
$5,352

Cash invested: $17,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15061

Home prices YoY
-28.6%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,225 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$325
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,339/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$422

Break-even live

Break-even rent $690
Max offer price $61,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,475
Closing costs
$1,857
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1003 Locust Dr Monaca, PA 3.0 2.5 1320 $1,650 $1.25 14d 1 0.83mi
635 3rd Ave Freedom, PA 2.0 1.0 1050 $950 $0.90 1d 1 0.88mi
2014 Birch Rd Monaca, PA 3.0 2.5 1192 $1,825 $1.53 1d 1 0.96mi
243 Pennsylvania Ave Unit 1 Rochester, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 14d 1 1.10mi
526 Adams St Unit 2 Rochester, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 44d 1 1.22mi
230 W Madison St Unit 6 Rochester, PA 2.0 1.0 975 $1,100 $1.13 1d 1 1.30mi
467 Reno St Rochester, PA 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,200 $1.10 1d 1 1.33mi
1401 4th Ave #1 Freedom, PA 2.0 1.0 955 $850 $0.89 3d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $61,900 Active 170 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $61,900 Active 169 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $61,900 Active 168 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $61,900 Active 167 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $61,900 Active 165 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $61,900 Active 164 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $61,900 Active 161 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $61,900 Active 160 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $61,900 Active 159 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $61,900 Active 155 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $61,900 Active 154 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $61,900 Active 153 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $61,900 Active 152 DOM
  14. 2025-12-30
    listed $61,900 Active 143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (143 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this two bedroom, one bath home with single detached garage. Take a drive by and see if this may be your next investment.

  15. 2000-08-08
    soldstatus $42,000 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    HUD SOLD AS-IS GET INFO SUB BID AT WWW. FIRSTPRESTON. COM CASE#-442-183384

  16. 2000-06-22
    soldstatus $42,000
  17. 2000-05-11
    listed $42,000 74-char remark
    Show marketing remark (74 chars)

    HUD SOLD AS-IS GET INFO SUB BID AT WWW. FIRSTPRESTON. COM CASE#-442-183384

  18. 1996-10-09
    soldstatus $63,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,339 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,339 · $195/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,696
− Mortgage interest
−$3,467
− Property taxes
−$2,339
− Insurance
−$310
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,176
− Management
−$1,176
− Depreciation
−$1,801
Taxable income
$4,428
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,063
After-tax cash flow
$4,003/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Monaca

Score
81/100
State rank
#182
US rank
#1516

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Monaca, PA
County
Beaver County · 116,001 people
City population
12,413
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
12,413
Household income
$73,010
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
123.0

Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,976 people
By 2030
161,449 · -2.1%
By 2040
151,752 · -8.0%
By 2050
141,155 · -14.4%
By 2075
118,142 · -28.4%
By 2100
91,740 · -44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Beaver

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.11%
Current HPI
232.6703
Rent YoY
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $61,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2000-08-08 Sold (MLS) $42,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2000-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 2000-05-11 Listed $42,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1996-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,339 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…