4105 Aztec · Clearlake Riviera, CA 95451

$129,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Land · 63 Days on market

Built 1984 5,663 sqft lot $90/sqft · at area comps Est $128k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.2/15.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your serene escape in the heart of Kelseyville's coveted Konocti Bay. Nestled on a desirable corner lot, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers both tranquility and convenience. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a warm and inviting living room complete with a cozy woodstove, perfect for relaxing evenings. The adjacent dining room is ideal for hosting family gatherings or intimate dinners. The well-appointed kitchen seamlessly leads into a spacious laundry room, offering ample storage and functionality. Each bedroom provides comfort and natural light, promising restful nights after Lake County adventures. For car enthusiasts or extra storage needs, the one-car detached garage has you covered. Outside, the generous corner lot presents endless opportunities for outdoor activities or potential landscaping dreams. Situated in picturesque Kelseyville with its close-knit community feel and proximity to beautiful Clear Lake, this property is more than just a home; it's your gateway to an enriching lifestyle surrounded by nature's beauty. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of paradise in sought-after Konocti Bay!

Key facts

• 5,663 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1984

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $129k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $817 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
• Recommended offer: $121k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.3% in Clearlake Riviera — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#690 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
• Kelseyville Unified (town): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,150 of 1,400 in CA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 268 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 107 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lake County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $121,260 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.77% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.89%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.13%
• DSCR: 2.21
• GRM: 4.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $128,077
• List price: $129,000
• Delta: 0.72%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 21.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.86×
• Total profit: $31,208
• Equity at exit: $19,234

10-year hold

• IRR: 29.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.62×
• Total profit: $94,536
• Equity at exit: $11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 95451

• Active inventory: 268
• Price-to-rent: 4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,284 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$676
• Tax from tax record: −$257 /mo · $3,087/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$480
• Net cashflow: $817

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,250

Max offer price $129,000

Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,250
• Closing costs: $3,870
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3565 Idlewood Dr Kelseyville, CA	3.0	2.0	1200	$2,100	$1.75	43d	1	0.78mi
9247 Fairway Dr Kelseyville, CA	2.0	3.0	1560	$1,850	$1.19	43d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 34 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $129,000 Active 63 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $129,000 Active 62 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $129,000 Active 61 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $129,000 Active 60 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $129,000 Active 59 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $129,000 Active 57 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $129,000 Active 56 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $129,000 Active 53 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $129,000 Active 52 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 51 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $129,000 Active 50 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 47 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    status $139,000 Active 46 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 44 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 43 DOM
18. 2026-05-18
    status Active 1157-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    Welcome to your serene escape in the heart of Kelseyville's coveted Konocti Bay. Nestled on a desirable corner lot, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers both tranquility and convenience. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a warm and inviting living room complete with a cozy woodstove, perfect for relaxing evenings. The adjacent dining room is ideal for hosting family gatherings or intimate dinners. The well-appointed kitchen seamlessly leads into a spacious laundry room, offering ample storage and functionality. Each bedroom provides comfort and natural light, promising restful nights after Lake County adventures. For car enthusiasts or extra storage needs, the one-car detached garage has you covered. Outside, the generous corner lot presents endless opportunities for outdoor activities or potential landscaping dreams. Situated in picturesque Kelseyville with its close-knit community feel and proximity to beautiful Clear Lake, this property is more than just a home; it's your gateway to an enriching lifestyle surrounded by nature's beauty. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of paradise in sought-after Konocti Bay!

19. 2026-05-15
    status Pending Sale 1157-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    Welcome to your serene escape in the heart of Kelseyville's coveted Konocti Bay. Nestled on a desirable corner lot, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers both tranquility and convenience. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a warm and inviting living room complete with a cozy woodstove, perfect for relaxing evenings. The adjacent dining room is ideal for hosting family gatherings or intimate dinners. The well-appointed kitchen seamlessly leads into a spacious laundry room, offering ample storage and functionality. Each bedroom provides comfort and natural light, promising restful nights after Lake County adventures. For car enthusiasts or extra storage needs, the one-car detached garage has you covered. Outside, the generous corner lot presents endless opportunities for outdoor activities or potential landscaping dreams. Situated in picturesque Kelseyville with its close-knit community feel and proximity to beautiful Clear Lake, this property is more than just a home; it's your gateway to an enriching lifestyle surrounded by nature's beauty. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of paradise in sought-after Konocti Bay!

20. 2026-05-08
    status Active 1157-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    Welcome to your serene escape in the heart of Kelseyville's coveted Konocti Bay. Nestled on a desirable corner lot, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers both tranquility and convenience. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a warm and inviting living room complete with a cozy woodstove, perfect for relaxing evenings. The adjacent dining room is ideal for hosting family gatherings or intimate dinners. The well-appointed kitchen seamlessly leads into a spacious laundry room, offering ample storage and functionality. Each bedroom provides comfort and natural light, promising restful nights after Lake County adventures. For car enthusiasts or extra storage needs, the one-car detached garage has you covered. Outside, the generous corner lot presents endless opportunities for outdoor activities or potential landscaping dreams. Situated in picturesque Kelseyville with its close-knit community feel and proximity to beautiful Clear Lake, this property is more than just a home; it's your gateway to an enriching lifestyle surrounded by nature's beauty. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of paradise in sought-after Konocti Bay!

21. 2026-04-22
    historical Active Under Contract 1157-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    Welcome to your serene escape in the heart of Kelseyville's coveted Konocti Bay. Nestled on a desirable corner lot, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers both tranquility and convenience. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a warm and inviting living room complete with a cozy woodstove, perfect for relaxing evenings. The adjacent dining room is ideal for hosting family gatherings or intimate dinners. The well-appointed kitchen seamlessly leads into a spacious laundry room, offering ample storage and functionality. Each bedroom provides comfort and natural light, promising restful nights after Lake County adventures. For car enthusiasts or extra storage needs, the one-car detached garage has you covered. Outside, the generous corner lot presents endless opportunities for outdoor activities or potential landscaping dreams. Situated in picturesque Kelseyville with its close-knit community feel and proximity to beautiful Clear Lake, this property is more than just a home; it's your gateway to an enriching lifestyle surrounded by nature's beauty. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of paradise in sought-after Konocti Bay!

22. 2026-04-14
    listed $139,000 Active 1157-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1157 chars)

    Welcome to your serene escape in the heart of Kelseyville's coveted Konocti Bay. Nestled on a desirable corner lot, this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers both tranquility and convenience. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a warm and inviting living room complete with a cozy woodstove, perfect for relaxing evenings. The adjacent dining room is ideal for hosting family gatherings or intimate dinners. The well-appointed kitchen seamlessly leads into a spacious laundry room, offering ample storage and functionality. Each bedroom provides comfort and natural light, promising restful nights after Lake County adventures. For car enthusiasts or extra storage needs, the one-car detached garage has you covered. Outside, the generous corner lot presents endless opportunities for outdoor activities or potential landscaping dreams. Situated in picturesque Kelseyville with its close-knit community feel and proximity to beautiful Clear Lake, this property is more than just a home; it's your gateway to an enriching lifestyle surrounded by nature's beauty. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of paradise in sought-after Konocti Bay!

23. 2022-09-22
    soldstatus $280,000 Closed 812-char remark

    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Remodeled Home In Kelseyville, CA ready for New Owners! This home has recently received a make-over and is move in ready! 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, Approx. 1440 Square Feet of Living Space. Great Open Floor Plan! Detached Garage would also make a great workshop! Large, open living room with free standing wood stove open to kitchen and dining room. Kitchen has lots of cabinet space and brand new stainless steel appliances. New paint (inside and out) and new flooring and light fixtures throughout. Privacy floor plan with Master Bedroom and Guest Bedrooms on either side of the home. Interior laundry room with access to back yard and covered porch. Large front deck to entertain and enjoy the view of the lake. This property is located just off Soda Bay Road and is close to Konocti Harbor Inn and Clear Lake!

24. 2022-09-22
    soldstatus $280,000 Closed Sale

    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Remodeled Home In Kelseyville, CA ready for New Owners! This home has recently received a make-over and is move in ready! 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, Approx. 1440 Square Feet of Living Space. Great Open Floor Plan! Detached Garage would also make a great workshop! Large, open living room with free standing wood stove open to kitchen and dining room. Kitchen has lots of cabinet space and brand new stainless steel appliances. New paint (inside and out) and new flooring and light fixtures throughout. Privacy floor plan with Master Bedroom and Guest Bedrooms on either side of the home. Interior laundry room with access to back yard and covered porch. Large front deck to entertain and enjoy the view of the lake. This property is located just off Soda Bay Road and is close to Konocti Harbor Inn and Clear Lake!

25. 2022-09-22
    soldstatus $280,000 812-char remark

    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Remodeled Home In Kelseyville, CA ready for New Owners! This home has recently received a make-over and is move in ready! 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, Approx. 1440 Square Feet of Living Space. Great Open Floor Plan! Detached Garage would also make a great workshop! Large, open living room with free standing wood stove open to kitchen and dining room. Kitchen has lots of cabinet space and brand new stainless steel appliances. New paint (inside and out) and new flooring and light fixtures throughout. Privacy floor plan with Master Bedroom and Guest Bedrooms on either side of the home. Interior laundry room with access to back yard and covered porch. Large front deck to entertain and enjoy the view of the lake. This property is located just off Soda Bay Road and is close to Konocti Harbor Inn and Clear Lake!

26. 2022-09-22
    soldstatus $280,000

    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Remodeled Home In Kelseyville, CA ready for New Owners! This home has recently received a make-over and is move in ready! 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, Approx. 1440 Square Feet of Living Space. Great Open Floor Plan! Detached Garage would also make a great workshop! Large, open living room with free standing wood stove open to kitchen and dining room. Kitchen has lots of cabinet space and brand new stainless steel appliances. New paint (inside and out) and new flooring and light fixtures throughout. Privacy floor plan with Master Bedroom and Guest Bedrooms on either side of the home. Interior laundry room with access to back yard and covered porch. Large front deck to entertain and enjoy the view of the lake. This property is located just off Soda Bay Road and is close to Konocti Harbor Inn and Clear Lake!

27. 2022-09-06
    status Pending Sale

    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Remodeled Home In Kelseyville, CA ready for New Owners! This home has recently received a make-over and is move in ready! 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, Approx. 1440 Square Feet of Living Space. Great Open Floor Plan! Detached Garage would also make a great workshop! Large, open living room with free standing wood stove open to kitchen and dining room. Kitchen has lots of cabinet space and brand new stainless steel appliances. New paint (inside and out) and new flooring and light fixtures throughout. Privacy floor plan with Master Bedroom and Guest Bedrooms on either side of the home. Interior laundry room with access to back yard and covered porch. Large front deck to entertain and enjoy the view of the lake. This property is located just off Soda Bay Road and is close to Konocti Harbor Inn and Clear Lake!

28. 2022-09-06
    status Pending 812-char remark

    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Remodeled Home In Kelseyville, CA ready for New Owners! This home has recently received a make-over and is move in ready! 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, Approx. 1440 Square Feet of Living Space. Great Open Floor Plan! Detached Garage would also make a great workshop! Large, open living room with free standing wood stove open to kitchen and dining room. Kitchen has lots of cabinet space and brand new stainless steel appliances. New paint (inside and out) and new flooring and light fixtures throughout. Privacy floor plan with Master Bedroom and Guest Bedrooms on either side of the home. Interior laundry room with access to back yard and covered porch. Large front deck to entertain and enjoy the view of the lake. This property is located just off Soda Bay Road and is close to Konocti Harbor Inn and Clear Lake!

29. 2022-08-05
    historical Active Under Contract

    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Remodeled Home In Kelseyville, CA ready for New Owners! This home has recently received a make-over and is move in ready! 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, Approx. 1440 Square Feet of Living Space. Great Open Floor Plan! Detached Garage would also make a great workshop! Large, open living room with free standing wood stove open to kitchen and dining room. Kitchen has lots of cabinet space and brand new stainless steel appliances. New paint (inside and out) and new flooring and light fixtures throughout. Privacy floor plan with Master Bedroom and Guest Bedrooms on either side of the home. Interior laundry room with access to back yard and covered porch. Large front deck to entertain and enjoy the view of the lake. This property is located just off Soda Bay Road and is close to Konocti Harbor Inn and Clear Lake!

30. 2022-08-05
    historical Contingent (Show) 812-char remark

    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Remodeled Home In Kelseyville, CA ready for New Owners! This home has recently received a make-over and is move in ready! 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, Approx. 1440 Square Feet of Living Space. Great Open Floor Plan! Detached Garage would also make a great workshop! Large, open living room with free standing wood stove open to kitchen and dining room. Kitchen has lots of cabinet space and brand new stainless steel appliances. New paint (inside and out) and new flooring and light fixtures throughout. Privacy floor plan with Master Bedroom and Guest Bedrooms on either side of the home. Interior laundry room with access to back yard and covered porch. Large front deck to entertain and enjoy the view of the lake. This property is located just off Soda Bay Road and is close to Konocti Harbor Inn and Clear Lake!

31. 2022-07-16
    listed $269,000 Active 812-char remark

    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Remodeled Home In Kelseyville, CA ready for New Owners! This home has recently received a make-over and is move in ready! 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, Approx. 1440 Square Feet of Living Space. Great Open Floor Plan! Detached Garage would also make a great workshop! Large, open living room with free standing wood stove open to kitchen and dining room. Kitchen has lots of cabinet space and brand new stainless steel appliances. New paint (inside and out) and new flooring and light fixtures throughout. Privacy floor plan with Master Bedroom and Guest Bedrooms on either side of the home. Interior laundry room with access to back yard and covered porch. Large front deck to entertain and enjoy the view of the lake. This property is located just off Soda Bay Road and is close to Konocti Harbor Inn and Clear Lake!

32. 2022-07-16
    listed $269,000 812-char remark

    Show marketing remark (812 chars)

    Remodeled Home In Kelseyville, CA ready for New Owners! This home has recently received a make-over and is move in ready! 3 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, Approx. 1440 Square Feet of Living Space. Great Open Floor Plan! Detached Garage would also make a great workshop! Large, open living room with free standing wood stove open to kitchen and dining room. Kitchen has lots of cabinet space and brand new stainless steel appliances. New paint (inside and out) and new flooring and light fixtures throughout. Privacy floor plan with Master Bedroom and Guest Bedrooms on either side of the home. Interior laundry room with access to back yard and covered porch. Large front deck to entertain and enjoy the view of the lake. This property is located just off Soda Bay Road and is close to Konocti Harbor Inn and Clear Lake!

33. 2022-07-15
    listed $269,000 Active
34. 2000-10-20
    soldstatus $88,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,087 · $257/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,087 · $257/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 32 unhealthy d/yr today · 34 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,406
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,226
• − Property taxes: −$3,087
• − Insurance: −$645
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,192
• − Management: −$2,192
• − Depreciation: −$3,753
• Taxable income: $8,310
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,994
• After-tax cash flow: $7,806/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Kelseyville Unified
• NCES district ID: 0619320
• Math proficiency: 18% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 33% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $47,210
• Composite: 25.19/100
• National rank: #12920
• State rank: #1150 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Clearlake Riviera

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #690
• US rank: #20956

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Lake County · 24,333 people
• Metro: Clearlake, CA
• Population (ZIP): 12,592
• Household income: $62,568
• Rent vs Own: 27.1% rent · 72.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 194.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 62,396 people
• By 2030: 60,626 · -2.8%
• By 2040: 56,453 · -9.5%
• By 2050: 53,054 · -15.0%
• By 2075: 47,663 · -23.6%
• By 2100: 41,804 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (57%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 57% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 11% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 35%
• Common ancestry: Russian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada
• Languages at home: 71% English-only · Spanish 28% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 49.2% · Other 3.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 19.3pp · 2024: -1.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+19.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -158.45%
• Current HPI: 168.6995
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Clearlake, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+58.0% since first listed

17 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-18 Relisted — CRMLS
• 2026-05-15 Pending — CRMLS
• 2026-05-08 Relisted — CRMLS
• 2026-04-22 Contingent — CRMLS
• 2026-04-14 Listed $139,000 CRMLS
• 2022-09-22 Sold (MLS) $280,000 BAREIS
• 2022-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
• 2022-09-22 Sold (MLS) $280,000 San Francisco MLS
• 2022-09-22 Sold (MLS) $280,000 CRMLS
• 2022-09-06 Pending — CRMLS
• 2022-09-06 Pending — BAREIS
• 2022-08-05 Contingent — CRMLS
• 2022-08-05 Contingent — BAREIS
• 2022-07-16 Listed $269,000 San Francisco MLS
• 2022-07-16 Listed $269,000 BAREIS
• 2022-07-15 Listed $269,000 CRMLS
• 2000-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,087 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.