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8210 E Garfield St Unit K4 🏢 Co-op
C- Composite 53.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,900

8210 E Garfield St Unit K4 · Scottsdale, AZ 85257
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,134 sqft · Townhouse · 226 Days on market
Built 1965 Fair condition $454/mo HOA ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Scottsdale East Homes is a ''Co-operative'' (Co-Op) where ownership is via shares, not traditional title. Co-Op owns the real property, buyer becomes a member of the ''Co-Op''. Cash only. No rentals (room mates ok) or pets (assistive pets only). One of only four 3 bedroom units with an Arizona Room addition. Co-Op fee $454/monthly covers taxes; blanket insurance; water; pest control; A/C & heating repairs; water heater; electric and plumbing in unit; roofs; and structure. Community amenities: four pools, sport courts, laundry rooms, an exercise room, library+ This is an original condition vintage unit, a ''blank slate'' ready for a buyers to update and renovate. 3 Bed & full bath upstairs. Living, kitchen, half bath/laundry room & AZ room down. Loop 101/202, Tempe Mrktplace, ASU +++

Key facts

  • $454 HOA
  • 3 parking spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏢 Co-op / cooperative unit. The $164,900 price buys shares in the cooperative corporation, not the real estate itself — so it isn't comparable to a fee-simple sale price, and the cashflow / cap-rate / 1%-rule cards below (which assume you own the property and can rent it out) don't apply here. Expect board approval and a monthly maintenance fee on top of the price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $165k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($829/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Scottsdale Unified District (4240) (urban): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #30 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 226 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 226 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.79%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$179,272
List price
$164,900
Delta
-8.02%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8210 E Garfield St Unit K13 0.01mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,088 (-4%) 2mo $175,000 $161 86
8220 E Garfield St Unit M8 0.05mi 3/1.5 1,203 (+6%) 3mo $205,000 $170 85
1033 N Granite Reef Rd 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,107 (-2%) 6mo $305,000 $276 78
935 N Granite Reef Rd #89 0.23mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,145 (+1%) 1mo $250,000 $218 78
985 N Granite Reef Rd #172 0.22mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,145 (+1%) 6mo $270,000 $236 74
835 N Granite Reef Rd #12 0.28mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,145 (+1%) 4mo $297,000 $259 73
935 N Granite Reef Rd #100 0.23mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,145 (+1%) 8mo $285,000 $249 72
8545 E Belleview St 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,107 (-2%) 2mo $335,000 $303 71
985 N Granite Reef Rd #127 0.23mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,145 (+1%) 9mo $270,000 $236 71
1232 N 84th Pl N 0.35mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,010 (-11%) 4mo $300,000 $297 57
1234 N 84th Pl 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,042 (-8%) 9mo $293,000 $281 56
1230 N 84th Pl 0.35mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,010 (-11%) 6mo $270,000 $267 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-22,435
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-14,338
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85257

Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
262
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,105 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,474/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$454
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$442
Net cashflow
$69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,017
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8155 E Roosevelt St #110 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 939 $2,100 $2.24 43d 1 0.15mi
885 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.5 1145 $1,575 $1.38 11d 1 0.23mi
885 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0–2.5 1000 $1,462 $1.46 13d 1 0.23mi
985 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0–2.5 1020 $1,662 $1.63 4d 9 0.23mi
985 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0–2.5 1022 $1,382 $1.35 18d 8 0.24mi
935 N Granite Reef Rd Unit 141 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 855 $1,599 $1.87 24d 1 0.26mi
935 N Granite Reef Rd Unit 126A Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 855 $1,599 $1.87 4d 1 0.26mi
935 N Granite Reef Rd #87 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 855 $1,599 $1.87 17d 1 0.26mi
885 N Granite Reef Rd Unit 131 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.5 1150 $1,700 $1.48 7d 1 0.28mi
835 N Granite Reef Rd Unit 6A Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 855 $1,499 $1.75 5d 1 0.31mi
835 N Granite Reef Rd #18 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 855 $1,450 $1.70 1d 1 0.31mi
8529 E Portland St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.0 936 $1,425 $1.52 21d 1 0.36mi
1261 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.5 950 $1,500 $1.58 24d 1 0.37mi
7901 E Kimsey Ln Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 1.5 1387 $2,500 $1.80 43d 1 0.39mi
7902 E Kimsey Ln Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1066 $3,200 $3.00 43d 1 0.39mi
8535 E Belleview St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 937 $1,995 $2.13 18d 1 0.43mi
1254 N 85th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.5 950 $1,599 $1.68 20d 1 0.43mi
1031 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.0 1300 $3,800 $2.92 7d 1 0.45mi
1031 N 78th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.0 1300 $3,350 $2.58 43d 1 0.45mi
7819 E Beatrice St Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1312 $1,695 $1.29 14d 1 0.45mi
8530 E Belleview St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.5 950 $1,800 $1.89 14d 1 0.45mi
1350 N 85th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 936 $1,525 $1.63 24d 1 0.46mi
1346 N 85th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.5 950 $1,749 $1.84 24d 1 0.46mi
1346 N 85th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 950 $1,745 $1.84 21d 1 0.46mi
1221 N 85th Pl Unit 109 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 863 $1,795 $2.08 13d 1 0.47mi
848 N 86th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,512 $2.28 14d 1 0.48mi
1406 N 85th Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1009 $1,541 $1.53 3d 1 0.50mi
8647 E Fillmore St Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1408 $2,371 $1.68 43d 1 0.56mi
7823 E Culver St Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 2.0 1380 $4,000 $2.90 7d 1 0.58mi
1122 N 87th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1251 $2,400 $1.92 18d 1 0.58mi
8625 E Belleview Pl #1069 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 917 $1,800 $1.96 24d 1 0.59mi
1238 N 78th St Unit 1558656P Scottsdale, AZ 4.0 3.0 1496 $4,822 $3.22 7d 1 0.63mi
8625 E Belleview Pl Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 908 $1,775 $1.95 3d 3 0.63mi
8521 E McDowell Rd Unit 1374247P Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 936 $2,335 $2.49 7d 1 0.64mi
8550 E McDowell Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 823 $1,687 $2.05 2d 5 0.65mi
7820 E Loma Land Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1400 $3,200 $2.29 43d 1 0.67mi
8444 E Coronado Rd Apt 2 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1022 $1,850 $1.81 24d 1 0.72mi
1211 N Miller Rd #110 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1276 $4,500 $3.53 43d 1 0.76mi
1217 N Miller Rd #14 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1026 $1,950 $1.90 24d 1 0.79mi
8750 E McDowell Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 690 $1,750 $2.54 7d 8 0.80mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$454 · $5,448/yr
Likely covers
waterelectricpool

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $164,900 Active 226 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $164,900 Active 225 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $164,900 Active 224 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $164,900 Active 223 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $164,900 Active 221 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $164,900 Active 217 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $164,900 Active 216 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $164,900 Active 215 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $164,900 Active 212 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $164,900 Active 211 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $164,900 Active 210 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $164,900 Active 209 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $164,900 Active 208 DOM
  14. 2026-05-01
    price $164,900 811-char remark
    Show marketing remark (811 chars)

    Scottsdale East Homes is a ''Co-operative'' (Co-Op) where ownership is via shares, not traditional title. Co-Op owns the real property, buyer becomes a member of the ''Co-Op''. Cash only. No rentals (room mates ok) or pets (assistive pets only). One of only four 3 bedroom units with an Arizona Room addition. Co-Op fee $454/monthly covers taxes; blanket insurance; water; pest control; A/C & heating repairs; water heater; electric and plumbing in unit; roofs; and structure. Community amenities: four pools, sport courts, laundry rooms, an exercise room, library+ This is an original condition vintage unit, a ''blank slate'' ready for a buyers to update and renovate. 3 Bed & full bath upstairs. Living, kitchen, half bath/laundry room & AZ room down. Loop 101/202, Tempe Mrktplace, ASU +++

  15. 2026-03-27
    price $169,900 811-char remark
    Show marketing remark (811 chars)

    Scottsdale East Homes is a ''Co-operative'' (Co-Op) where ownership is via shares, not traditional title. Co-Op owns the real property, buyer becomes a member of the ''Co-Op''. Cash only. No rentals (room mates ok) or pets (assistive pets only). One of only four 3 bedroom units with an Arizona Room addition. Co-Op fee $454/monthly covers taxes; blanket insurance; water; pest control; A/C & heating repairs; water heater; electric and plumbing in unit; roofs; and structure. Community amenities: four pools, sport courts, laundry rooms, an exercise room, library+ This is an original condition vintage unit, a ''blank slate'' ready for a buyers to update and renovate. 3 Bed & full bath upstairs. Living, kitchen, half bath/laundry room & AZ room down. Loop 101/202, Tempe Mrktplace, ASU +++

  16. 2026-01-20
    price $175,000 811-char remark
    Show marketing remark (811 chars)

    Scottsdale East Homes is a ''Co-operative'' (Co-Op) where ownership is via shares, not traditional title. Co-Op owns the real property, buyer becomes a member of the ''Co-Op''. Cash only. No rentals (room mates ok) or pets (assistive pets only). One of only four 3 bedroom units with an Arizona Room addition. Co-Op fee $454/monthly covers taxes; blanket insurance; water; pest control; A/C & heating repairs; water heater; electric and plumbing in unit; roofs; and structure. Community amenities: four pools, sport courts, laundry rooms, an exercise room, library+ This is an original condition vintage unit, a ''blank slate'' ready for a buyers to update and renovate. 3 Bed & full bath upstairs. Living, kitchen, half bath/laundry room & AZ room down. Loop 101/202, Tempe Mrktplace, ASU +++

  17. 2025-12-05
    price $189,900 811-char remark
    Show marketing remark (811 chars)

    Scottsdale East Homes is a ''Co-operative'' (Co-Op) where ownership is via shares, not traditional title. Co-Op owns the real property, buyer becomes a member of the ''Co-Op''. Cash only. No rentals (room mates ok) or pets (assistive pets only). One of only four 3 bedroom units with an Arizona Room addition. Co-Op fee $454/monthly covers taxes; blanket insurance; water; pest control; A/C & heating repairs; water heater; electric and plumbing in unit; roofs; and structure. Community amenities: four pools, sport courts, laundry rooms, an exercise room, library+ This is an original condition vintage unit, a ''blank slate'' ready for a buyers to update and renovate. 3 Bed & full bath upstairs. Living, kitchen, half bath/laundry room & AZ room down. Loop 101/202, Tempe Mrktplace, ASU +++

  18. 2025-11-04
    listed $199,900 Active 811-char remark
    Show marketing remark (811 chars)

    Scottsdale East Homes is a ''Co-operative'' (Co-Op) where ownership is via shares, not traditional title. Co-Op owns the real property, buyer becomes a member of the ''Co-Op''. Cash only. No rentals (room mates ok) or pets (assistive pets only). One of only four 3 bedroom units with an Arizona Room addition. Co-Op fee $454/monthly covers taxes; blanket insurance; water; pest control; A/C & heating repairs; water heater; electric and plumbing in unit; roofs; and structure. Community amenities: four pools, sport courts, laundry rooms, an exercise room, library+ This is an original condition vintage unit, a ''blank slate'' ready for a buyers to update and renovate. 3 Bed & full bath upstairs. Living, kitchen, half bath/laundry room & AZ room down. Loop 101/202, Tempe Mrktplace, ASU +++

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,255
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$2,474
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,020
− Management
−$2,020
− HOA
−$5,448
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable loss
−$1,566
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$376
After-tax cash flow
$1,204/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires significant repairs and updates to its exterior and interior, but has a good roof and structure. Upgrading the interior and exterior can significantly increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Severe weathering and peeling
  • Major interior walls — Worn paint and outdated decor
  • Major kitchen cabinets — Outdated and worn
  • Major bathroom fixtures — Small and outdated
  • Major flooring — Worn carpet in living areas

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
  • Resale Replace carpet in living areas — Fresh carpet can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
  • Resale Upgrade kitchen cabinets — Fresh cabinets can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
  • Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Fresh fixtures can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Fresh landscaping and curb appeal can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Severe weathering and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · Worn paint and outdated decor Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen cabinets · Outdated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · Small and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Worn carpet in living areas Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
  • Resale Replace carpet in living areas — Fresh carpet can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
  • Resale Upgrade kitchen cabinets — Fresh cabinets can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
  • Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Fresh fixtures can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Fresh landscaping and curb appeal can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scottsdale Unified District (4240)
NCES district ID
0407570
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$70,139
Composite
48.02/100
National rank
#2196
State rank
#30 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Scottsdale

Score
80/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1756

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsdale, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
290,846
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
29,812
Household income
$86,962
Rent vs Own
38.9% rent · 61.1% own
Severe rent burden
1086.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 13% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -411.72%
Current HPI
412.043
Rent YoY
▲ 2.80%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $164,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $169,900 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $175,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $189,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $199,900 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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