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28 Bruin Rd
C- Composite 50.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$299,900

28 Bruin Rd · Salem, PA 18436
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,444 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1983 0.37 ac lot Est $339k · 12% under $92/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

THREE WISHES GRANTED: QUALITY COMFORT -- Comes FURNISHED!Lovingly maintained by the original owner, this meticulously crafted and exceptionally insulated home offers warmth, character, low maintenance and year-round enjoyment. Step inside to discover beautiful Philadelphia pine wide-plank flooring throughout the main level, complemented by rich Aspen wood half wall paneling that creates a warm mountain retreat atmosphere. The open-concept living and dining area features a brick hearth with a free standing wood stove, built-in storage throughout the home. Kitchen has abundant pine cabinetry, ceramic tile flooring, and is already plumbed for a dishwasher. One of the home's most enchanting fe

Key facts

  • Brick hearth
  • 0.37 acre lot
  • Community pool

Tags

ASPEN WOOD HALF WALL PANELINGBRICK HEARTHFREE STANDING WOOD STOVEABUNDANT PINE CABINETRYCERAMIC TILE FLOORING12 X 12 SCREENED PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual association fee and a one-time fee apply
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual dues; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, beach access/rights, tennis courts, basketball court, playground, picnic area, park, lake access, fishing, and powered boats allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (unpaved); On-site off-street parking; See remarks for additional parking details
  • Security: Community security (association amenity)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; 200+ amp electric service; Electricity available and water connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; Two levels; Residential use; Has a view (Lake Wallenpaupack)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space with sump pump
  • Exterior features: Storage; Shed(s); Workshop; Covered, wrap-around screened deck / porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Parquet flooring; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Zoned heating; Wood stove / wood heating; Electric heating; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Beamed ceilings; Pantry; Built-in bookcases; Natural woodwork; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (laundry located in kitchen); Dehumidifier

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-171 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (10.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (23.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $230k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Evergreen El Sch (math 42% / reading 68%, grade C, #498 of 1,518 statewide, top 33%, 506 students, 64% FRL); Western Wayne Ms (math 21% / reading 61%, grade F, #243 of 512 statewide, top 48%, 411 students, 57% FRL); Western Wayne Hs (math 77% / reading 24%, grade D+, #125 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 545 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 341 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $230,000 (23.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.44%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$339,340
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
40 Honey Bear Rd 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-10%) 11mo $269,900 $208 63
29 Black Bear Rd 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,354 (-6%) 12mo $255,000 $188 63
50 Bear Rock Rd 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,640 (+14%) 5mo $190,000 $116 62
117 Pickerel Ln 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,362 (-6%) 2mo $330,000 $242 58
141 River Rd 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,355 (-6%) 23mo $550,000 $406 56
96 Wild Turkey Circle Cir 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,550 (+7%) 17mo $364,000 $235 48
142 Fawnwood Cir 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,620 (+12%) 9mo $285,625 $176 42
102 Hillcrest Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,280 (-11%) 22mo $325,000 $254 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$152,451
Equity at exit
$270,174
10-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
6.45×
Total profit
$457,453
Equity at exit
$582,640

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18436

Home prices YoY
16.9%
Active inventory
341
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$198 /mo · $2,375/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$92
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$483
Net cashflow
$-171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,516
Max offer price $269,765
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1 -5% $-86 +0% $-171 +5% $-255 +10% $-340
Rent -10% $-352 -5% $-261 +0% $-171 +5% $-80 +10% $11
Rate -1.0pp $-20 -0.5pp $-94 base $-171 +0.5pp $-248 +1.0pp $-327

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12 Dogwood Ln Lake Ariel, PA 3.0 2.0 1832 $2,300 $1.26 15d 1 0.16mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$92 · $1,104/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-21
    listed $299,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,375 · $198/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,557 · $296/mo
Expected delta
+$1,182/yr (+$98/mo · 49.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,600
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$2,375
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,208
− Management
−$2,208
− HOA
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$7,318
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,756
After-tax cash flow
$-291/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Western Wayne SD
NCES district ID
4226070
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,358
Composite
43.65/100
National rank
#2964
State rank
#165 of 539 in PA

Livability — Salem

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Indian Rocks, PA
Population (ZIP)
13,225

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,924 people
By 2030
46,191 · -3.6%
By 2040
42,815 · -10.7%
By 2050
39,873 · -16.8%
By 2075
34,556 · -27.9%
By 2100
28,358 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 47.95%
Current HPI
331.9645
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-20 Listed $299,900 PWMLS
  • 2025-07-23 Listed $342,500 PWMLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,375 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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