187 Dodgen Rd · Hampton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this versatile and spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, peaceful neighborhood! Featuring two full kitchens, this property is perfect for multi-generational living, rental income potential, or hosting guests with ease. Enjoy generous living spaces, a functional layout, and a private setting ideal for relaxing after a long day. Conveniently located while still offering privacy, this home is a rare find with endless possibilities!
Key facts
- Private setting
- Two full kitchens
- 1.32 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (connected); Electricity available; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Phone service available
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); Resale property; Built in 1950
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Year built 1950
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Vinyl siding; City lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-level living; Public records show 2,215 total living area; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
- Recommended offer: $241k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#213 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mount Carmel Elementary School (math 34% / reading 31%, grade F, #575 of 1,228 statewide, top 47%, 602 students, 67% FRL); Hampton Middle School (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #288 of 470 statewide, top 62%, 850 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 43% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 547 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $189k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.56%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $338,895
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 Dodgen Rd | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,261 (+2%) | 20mo | $335,000 | $148 | 61 |
| 219 Garden Walk W | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,077 (-6%) | 12mo | $283,000 | $136 | 60 |
| 137 Dodgen Place Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,048 (-8%) | 5mo | $309,900 | $151 | 60 |
| 1431 Beckett Dr | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 | 2,092 (-6%) | 11mo | $349,500 | $167 | 56 |
| 164 Dodgen Place Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 | 2,176 (-2%) | 22mo | $344,900 | $159 | 54 |
| 148 Dodgen Place Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,928 (-13%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $153 | 52 |
| 124 Dodgen Rd | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,505 (+13%) | 17mo | $315,000 | $126 | 49 |
| 121 Wynn Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 | 2,096 (-5%) | 8mo | $317,000 | $151 | 48 |
| 145 Dodgen Place Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 | 2,060 (-7%) | 21mo | $327,000 | $159 | 48 |
| 141 Dodgen Place Dr | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,367 (+7%) | 16mo | $355,000 | $150 | 46 |
| 249 Edenwylde Ct | 0.67mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,245 (+1%) | 13mo | $435,000 | $194 | 46 |
| 245 Edenwylde Ct | 0.65mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,520 (+14%) | 11mo | $450,000 | $179 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-25,066
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-8,373
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30228
- Home prices YoY
- -24.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 547
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,551 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$368 /mo · $4,412/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$536
- Net cashflow
- $261
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1452 Shelnut Ct Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2907 | $2,380 | $0.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 936 Brisley Cir Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2838 | $2,285 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 221 Christopher Michael Ln Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2370 | $2,480 | $1.05 | 11d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18status $245,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $245,000 Price Change 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Welcome to this versatile and spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, peaceful neighborhood! Featuring two full kitchens, this property is perfect for multi-generational living, rental income potential, or hosting guests with ease. Enjoy generous living spaces, a functional layout, and a private setting ideal for relaxing after a long day. Conveniently located while still offering privacy, this home is a rare find with endless possibilities!
-
2026-06-02$245,000 Price Change 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Welcome to this versatile and spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, peaceful neighborhood! Featuring two full kitchens, this property is perfect for multi-generational living, rental income potential, or hosting guests with ease. Enjoy generous living spaces, a functional layout, and a private setting ideal for relaxing after a long day. Conveniently located while still offering privacy, this home is a rare find with endless possibilities!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,412 · $368/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,412 · $368/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,610
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$4,412
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,449
- − Management
- −$2,449
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$776
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$186
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,313/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 1302820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,594
- Composite
- 26.13/100
- National rank
- #7279
- State rank
- #89 of 174 in GA
Livability — Hampton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #213
- US rank
- #12664
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- City population
- 52,402
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,402
- Household income
- $82,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1285.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,041 people
- By 2030
- 264,369 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 294,459 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 322,249 · +29.4%
- By 2075
- 392,310 · +57.5%
- By 2100
- 437,836 · +75.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.11%
- Current HPI
- 222.0357
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+544.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $245,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listed $245,000 FMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listed $205,000 GAMLS
- 2024-12-06 Rental Removed $1,799 RENT.
- 2024-11-27 Listed for Rent $1,799 RENT.
- 2023-10-17 Rental Removed $1,795 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-12 Rental Removed $1,795 RENT.
- 2023-10-05 Price Changed $1,795 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-02 Price Changed $1,795 RENT.
- 2023-08-24 Listed for Rent $1,825 APPFOLIO
- 2023-08-23 Listed for Rent $1,825 RENT.
- 2023-07-25 Rental Removed $1,825 RENT.
- 2023-07-18 Listed for Rent $1,825 RENT.
- 2022-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $189,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-30 Sold (MLS) $189,000 GAMLS
- 2021-12-15 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-12-09 Listed $189,000 GAMLS
- 1985-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,412 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…