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187 Dodgen Rd
C Composite 56.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$245,000

187 Dodgen Rd · Hampton, GA 30228
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,215 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1950 1.32 ac lot Est $339k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this versatile and spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, peaceful neighborhood! Featuring two full kitchens, this property is perfect for multi-generational living, rental income potential, or hosting guests with ease. Enjoy generous living spaces, a functional layout, and a private setting ideal for relaxing after a long day. Conveniently located while still offering privacy, this home is a rare find with endless possibilities!

Key facts

  • Private setting
  • Two full kitchens
  • 1.32 acre lot

Tags

TWO FULL KITCHENSMULTI-GENERATIONAL LIVINGRENTAL INCOME POTENTIALPRIVATE SETTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (connected); Electricity available; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Phone service available
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); Resale property; Built in 1950
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Year built 1950
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Vinyl siding; City lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One-level living; Public records show 2,215 total living area; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
  • Recommended offer: $241k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#213 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mount Carmel Elementary School (math 34% / reading 31%, grade F, #575 of 1,228 statewide, top 47%, 602 students, 67% FRL); Hampton Middle School (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #288 of 470 statewide, top 62%, 850 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 43% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 547 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $189k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $241,325 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.56%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$338,895
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
113 Dodgen Rd 0.26mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,261 (+2%) 20mo $335,000 $148 61
219 Garden Walk W 0.27mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,077 (-6%) 12mo $283,000 $136 60
137 Dodgen Place Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,048 (-8%) 5mo $309,900 $151 60
1431 Beckett Dr 0.47mi 4/3.0 2,092 (-6%) 11mo $349,500 $167 56
164 Dodgen Place Dr 0.49mi 4/2.5 2,176 (-2%) 22mo $344,900 $159 54
148 Dodgen Place Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,928 (-13%) 1mo $295,000 $153 52
124 Dodgen Rd 0.16mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,505 (+13%) 17mo $315,000 $126 49
121 Wynn Dr 0.72mi 4/2.5 2,096 (-5%) 8mo $317,000 $151 48
145 Dodgen Place Dr 0.44mi 4/2.5 2,060 (-7%) 21mo $327,000 $159 48
141 Dodgen Place Dr 0.42mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,367 (+7%) 16mo $355,000 $150 46
249 Edenwylde Ct 0.67mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,245 (+1%) 13mo $435,000 $194 46
245 Edenwylde Ct 0.65mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,520 (+14%) 11mo $450,000 $179 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-25,066
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-8,373
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30228

Home prices YoY
-24.3%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
547
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,551 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$368 /mo · $4,412/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$536
Net cashflow
$261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,221
Max offer price $245,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1452 Shelnut Ct Hampton, GA 4.0 2.5 2907 $2,380 $0.82 15d 1 0.83mi
936 Brisley Cir Hampton, GA 4.0 2.5 2838 $2,285 $0.81 43d 1 0.86mi
221 Christopher Michael Ln Hampton, GA 4.0 2.5 2370 $2,480 $1.05 11d 1 1.01mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $245,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active Under Contract 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on marketlisting id $245,000 Active Under Contract 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $245,000 Price Change 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 457-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Welcome to this versatile and spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, peaceful neighborhood! Featuring two full kitchens, this property is perfect for multi-generational living, rental income potential, or hosting guests with ease. Enjoy generous living spaces, a functional layout, and a private setting ideal for relaxing after a long day. Conveniently located while still offering privacy, this home is a rare find with endless possibilities!

  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $245,000 Price Change 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Welcome to this versatile and spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a quiet, peaceful neighborhood! Featuring two full kitchens, this property is perfect for multi-generational living, rental income potential, or hosting guests with ease. Enjoy generous living spaces, a functional layout, and a private setting ideal for relaxing after a long day. Conveniently located while still offering privacy, this home is a rare find with endless possibilities!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,412 · $368/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,412 · $368/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,610
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$4,412
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,449
− Management
−$2,449
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$776
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$186
After-tax cash flow
$3,313/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
1302820
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$62,594
Composite
26.13/100
National rank
#7279
State rank
#89 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hampton

Score
65/100
State rank
#213
US rank
#12664

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Henry County · 316,359 people
City population
52,402
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
52,402
Household income
$82,619
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
1285.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,041 people
By 2030
264,369 · +6.2%
By 2040
294,459 · +18.2%
By 2050
322,249 · +29.4%
By 2075
392,310 · +57.5%
By 2100
437,836 · +75.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.11%
Current HPI
222.0357
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+544.7% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $245,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $245,000 FMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $205,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-12-06 Rental Removed $1,799 RENT.
  • 2024-11-27 Listed for Rent $1,799 RENT.
  • 2023-10-17 Rental Removed $1,795 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-10-12 Rental Removed $1,795 RENT.
  • 2023-10-05 Price Changed $1,795 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-10-02 Price Changed $1,795 RENT.
  • 2023-08-24 Listed for Rent $1,825 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-08-23 Listed for Rent $1,825 RENT.
  • 2023-07-25 Rental Removed $1,825 RENT.
  • 2023-07-18 Listed for Rent $1,825 RENT.
  • 2022-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $189,000 Public Records
  • 2021-12-30 Sold (MLS) $189,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-12-15 Pending GAMLS
  • 2021-12-09 Listed $189,000 GAMLS
  • 1985-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,412 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…