82 Shelton Pearson Rd Unit B · Picayune, MS 39466

$129,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · Manufactured public records · 14 Days on market

Built 1997 5.90 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.8/30.0
• DSCR +9.2/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.1/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

5.9 approx acre lot and very private, Mobile home is in need of renovation. 3 Bedrooms 2 Baths. Being sold as is where is. HUD Case #281-440796 ''HUD homes are Sold As Is'' www. olympusams-at.com - www. HudHomeStore. gov

Key facts

• 5.9 acre lot
• 2 parking spots
• Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Approximately 5.9 acres (wooded)

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway with space for 2 vehicles
• Security: See remarks for security features
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available (see remarks)
• Home design: Manufactured home / Mobile Home; Single level
• Construction: Vinyl exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Built on pilings/steel/wood foundation; Fixer condition; Approximately 1,654 building area (assessor)
• Exterior features: See remarks for patio, porch and other exterior features; Wooded lot

Interior

• Flooring: See remarks for flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Soaking tub; See remarks for additional interior details
• Laundry & utility: See remarks for laundry features

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $129k).
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.3% in Picayune — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#11 in MS, #3,748 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment F.
• Pearl River County School District (rural): math 44% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #35 of 130 in MS (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 344 active listings in the ZIP; 326 units permitted in Pearl River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pearl River County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $129,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.11% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.59%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.79%
• DSCR: 1.52
• GRM: 7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 1.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.05×
• Total profit: $1,656
• Equity at exit: $19,234

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.84×
• Total profit: $30,361
• Equity at exit: $11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39466

• Home prices YoY: -26.3%
• Active inventory: 344
• Price-to-rent: 7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,436 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$676
• Tax from tax record: −$49 /mo · $590/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$302
• Net cashflow: $355

Break-even live

Break-even rent $987

Max offer price $129,000

Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,250
• Closing costs: $3,870
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $129,000 Active 14 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $129,000 Active 13 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $129,000 Active 12 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $129,000 Active 11 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $129,000 Active 9 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $129,000 Active 8 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $129,000 Active 5 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $129,000 Active 4 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $129,000 Active 3 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 220-char remark
11. 2026-06-07
    listed $129,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $590 · $49/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,019 · $85/mo
• Expected delta: +$429/yr (+$36/mo · 72.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,230
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,226
• − Property taxes: −$590
• − Insurance: −$645
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,378
• − Management: −$1,378
• − Depreciation: −$3,753
• Taxable income: $2,260
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$542
• After-tax cash flow: $3,717/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pearl River County School District
• NCES district ID: 2803540
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $50,916
• Composite: 35.44/100
• National rank: #4931
• State rank: #35 of 130 in MS

Livability — Picayune

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #11
• US rank: #3748

Category grades

Amenities A Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 28,292

Population outlook (Pearl River County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 53,426 people
• By 2030: 51,663 · -3.3%
• By 2040: 47,611 · -10.9%
• By 2050: 43,286 · -19.0%
• By 2075: 32,859 · -38.5%
• By 2100: 22,476 · -57.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Black 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 9% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pearl River

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+66.7) · D 16.1% · R 82.8% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -60.4pp · 2024: -66.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+66.7 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+66.8 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+60.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -69.32%
• Current HPI: 194.6541
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $129,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $590 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.