420 Park St · Frostburg, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained 2 bedroom (could be 3) home in Frostburg that is move-in ready! This house features; generous size rooms, plenty of cabinet space, a kitchen pantry, wooden deck off the kitchen, a one car garage, a neat an tidy basement/laundry area and sits on a corner lot. Call soon for a closer look!
Key facts
- 6,780 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1935
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached rear-entry garage with 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric utilities
- Home design: Detached property; Located within city limits (Frostburg)
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Standard kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Heating fuel: Electric
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living room; Kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Hot water: Electric
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.2% in Frostburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#7 in MD, #287 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
- Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.52%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,368
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260 W Mechanic St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-4%) | 9mo | $109,000 | $110 | 81 |
| 174 W 1st St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 968 (-6%) | 14mo | $151,400 | $156 | 67 |
| 127 Pine St | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 936 (-9%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $101 | 61 |
| 256 Centennial St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,084 (+5%) | 21mo | $180,000 | $166 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-1,970
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $15,536
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21532
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,041 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $880/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $211
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $265 | -5% $238 | +0% $211 | +5% $184 | +10% $157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $129 | -5% $170 | +0% $211 | +5% $252 | +10% $293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $259 | -0.5pp $235 | base $211 | +0.5pp $186 | +1.0pp $161 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 S Broadway Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 208 Lower Consol Rd NW Apt D Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,052 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 208 Lower Consol Rd NW Unit c Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,027 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 212 Lower Consol Rd NW Apt 3 Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,102 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 212 Lower Consol Rd NW Apt 6 Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,052 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2 Bob Cat Ct Frostburg, MD | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 44d | 6 | 0.58mi |
| 6 Bob Cat Ct Frostburg, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $950 | $1.34 | 44d | 5 | 0.60mi |
| Main St Frostburg, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 84 Bowery St Unit 1 Frostburg, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,090 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 191 Park Ave Frostburg, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $899 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 193 Glenn St Unit h Frostburg, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 860 | $957 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 187 Glenn St Frostburg, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 860 | $1,000 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$95,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $880 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $958 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$78/yr (+$6/mo · 8.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,486
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$880
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$999
- − Management
- −$999
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,049
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$252
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,280/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegany County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400030
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,760
- Composite
- 18.95/100
- National rank
- #8854
- State rank
- #18 of 24 in MD
Livability — Frostburg
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #287
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Frostburg, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,123
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,778 people
- By 2030
- 66,766 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,784 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 59,179 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 50,732 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 40,837 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.31%
- Current HPI
- 244.5937
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+167.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 2013-05-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2013-05-23 Sold (MLS) $64,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-05-23 Sold (MLS) $64,000 MRIS
- 2013-03-26 Pending — MRIS
- 2013-03-22 Listed $69,500 MRIS
- 2013-03-22 Listed $69,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-03-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1987-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $880 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…