1266 Magnolia Ave · Camden, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 1266 Magnolia Ave Camden , Well, maintain Four bedroom, one bath home offering a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors features a spacious layout, living room areas and functional kitchen conveniently located near major highway schools and public transportation. A space you can truly make your own. A great opportunity to own instead of renting at an affordable price. Schedule your tour today.
Key facts
- Built 1920
- Listed 47 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 7.1% in Camden — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#262 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Camden City School District (urban): math 3% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #472 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,073/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1141% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.32%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $189,840
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1114 Langham Ave | 0.21mi | 4/1.5 | 1,688 (-0%) | 0mo | $305,000 | $181 | 87 |
| 1353 Park Blvd | 0.29mi | 4/1.0 | 1,638 (-3%) | 15mo | $210,000 | $128 | 69 |
| 1243 Magnolia Ave | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,460 (-14%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $79 | 65 |
| 1460 Belleview Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,483 (-12%) | 13mo | $194,000 | $131 | 57 |
| 1468 Belleview Ave | 0.14mi | 4/1.5 | 1,916 (+13%) | 19mo | $280,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 1553 Wildwood Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-15%) | 10mo | $128,000 | $89 | 52 |
| 1240 Chase Street St S | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 | 1,500 (-12%) | 2mo | $143,000 | $95 | 47 |
| 1128 Everett St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,575 (-7%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $111 | 43 |
| 1340 Atlantic Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,472 (-13%) | 24mo | $165,000 | $112 | 38 |
| 2812 Earl Ave | 0.69mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,562 (-8%) | 9mo | $315,000 | $202 | 38 |
| 1466 Kenwood Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,872 (+10%) | 23mo | $129,000 | $69 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $678
- Equity at exit
- $32,032
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $37,101
- Equity at exit
- $24,632
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08103
- Home prices YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,073 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,728/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$435
- Net cashflow
- $391
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $493 | -5% $442 | +0% $391 | +5% $341 | +10% $290 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $228 | -5% $310 | +0% $391 | +5% $473 | +10% $555 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $482 | -0.5pp $437 | base $391 | +0.5pp $345 | +1.0pp $297 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1455 Wildwood Ave Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1353 | $1,900 | $1.40 | 11d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1055 Kenwood Ave Camden, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,875 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 708 Royden St Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,595 | $1.43 | 18d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 324 S 27th St Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,900 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2752 Mickle St Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 457 Mechanic St Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 19d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 609 Henry St Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 440 Henry St Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $2,200 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 221 Haddon Ave Collingswood, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1744 | $3,100 | $1.78 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-09status $180,000 Pending 47 DOM
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2026-06-04status $180,000 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-09price $180,000 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
Welcome to 1266 Magnolia Ave Camden , Well, maintain Four bedroom, one bath home offering a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors features a spacious layout, living room areas and functional kitchen conveniently located near major highway schools and public transportation. A space you can truly make your own. A great opportunity to own instead of renting at an affordable price. Schedule your tour today.
-
2026-04-17$200,000 Active 420-char remark
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
Welcome to 1266 Magnolia Ave Camden , Well, maintain Four bedroom, one bath home offering a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors features a spacious layout, living room areas and functional kitchen conveniently located near major highway schools and public transportation. A space you can truly make your own. A great opportunity to own instead of renting at an affordable price. Schedule your tour today.
-
2026-04-06historical
-
2025-09-29status Active
-
2025-06-06status Pending
-
2025-04-07$205,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,728 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,605 · $300/mo
- Expected delta
- +$877/yr (+$73/mo · 32.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,877
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,728
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,990
- − Management
- −$1,990
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $1,949
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$468
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,230/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3402640
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,845
- Composite
- 6.85/100
- National rank
- #9981
- State rank
- #472 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #7721
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camden, NJ
- County
- Camden County · 407,624 people
- City population
- 20,865
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,573
- Household income
- $36,793
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1141.0
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 9% White 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 19% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 22% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.36%
- Current HPI
- 162.557
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-12.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-29 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-04-07 Listed $205,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,728 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…