20400 Greenlawn St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home Subject to Probate Approval. Great potential for Value Add. 4 Bedroom 1 Bathroom Ranch with lots of potential in Sought Out Neighborhood. Close to Freeways and Fashion District. Make this Home Yours Today!
Key facts
- Close to freeways
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.13 acres (dimensions 42 x 133.25)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Paved driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Built with asphalt roofing
- Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced backyard
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $828 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.14%
- DSCR
- 3.63
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $127,155
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20110 Northlawn St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-9%) | 3mo | $67,000 | $61 | 68 |
| 19940 Prairie St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,165 (-4%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $120 | 67 |
| 19489 San Juan Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-1%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $92 | 67 |
| 20145 Santa Barbara Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-9%) | 5mo | $35,000 | $32 | 67 |
| 207 Farmdale St | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 | 1,244 (+3%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $153 | 63 |
| 20805 Bethlawn Blvd | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,083 (-11%) | 3mo | $168,500 | $156 | 60 |
| 20401 Santa Rosa Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,114 (-8%) | 5mo | $97,000 | $87 | 57 |
| 410 Stratford Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,302 (+8%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $276 | 53 |
| 21304 Glen Lodge Rd | 0.63mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,166 (-4%) | 7mo | $122,555 | $105 | 52 |
| 21395 Westview Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-9%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $114 | 47 |
| 20018 Wyoming Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,043 (-14%) | 4mo | $66,500 | $64 | 45 |
| 19958 Washburn St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,046 (-14%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $96 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $43,741
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 63.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.49×
- Total profit
- $109,019
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48221
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 349
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,583 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $992/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $828
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20110 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 20045 Greenlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 19986 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1144 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 20458 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1049 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 20009 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1051 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 20445 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 20038 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 631 Shasta Pl Ferndale, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 20515 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 21374 Ithaca Ave Ferndale, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,775 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1557 Leroy St Ferndale, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,523 | $1.83 | 5d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 20429 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,300 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 20032 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,294 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 20122 Manor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,200 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 19929 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,450 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 20245 Manor Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 18935 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,523 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 22811 Rosewood St Oak Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-13$60,000 Active
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
Home Subject to Probate Approval. Great potential for Value Add. 4 Bedroom 1 Bathroom Ranch with lots of potential in Sought Out Neighborhood. Close to Freeways and Fashion District. Make this Home Yours Today!
-
2026-05-13$60,000 Active 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
Home Subject to Probate Approval. Great potential for Value Add. 4 Bedroom 1 Bathroom Ranch with lots of potential in Sought Out Neighborhood. Close to Freeways and Fashion District. Make this Home Yours Today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $992 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $992 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,991
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$992
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,519
- − Management
- −$1,519
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $9,554
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,293
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,642/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,392
- Household income
- $57,878
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1646.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -433.14%
- Current HPI
- 280.5434
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.44%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $992 · -55.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…