Fourplex
16025 L St · Mojave, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AO
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $848 – $2,087
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 17 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment Opportunity! 4-Plex in the City of Mojave. Close to space port. All 2 bedroom and 1 bathroom units. All of the units are currently rented. Rents range from $595 to $675. No garages or Carports . 8 parking spaces. Close to shopping and bus stop. All offers subject to interior inspection.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1987
- Listed 35 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $139/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $399k).
- Recommended offer: $387k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.7% in Mojave — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#873 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, commute A-; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Mojave Unified (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #411 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.29%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $49,415
- Equity at exit
- $143,020
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $172,117
- Equity at exit
- $195,440
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93501
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 278
- Price-to-rent
- 30.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,349 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$913
- Net cashflow
- $556
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $832 | -5% $694 | +0% $556 | +5% $418 | +10% $280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $212 | -5% $384 | +0% $556 | +5% $728 | +10% $900 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $757 | -0.5pp $658 | base $556 | +0.5pp $453 | +1.0pp $347 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $4,348 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,087 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,087 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,087 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,087 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,349 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2021-11-19historical 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! 4-Plex in the City of Mojave. Close to space port. All 2 bedroom and 1 bathroom units. All of the units are currently rented. Rents range from $595 to $675. No garages or Carports . 8 parking spaces. Close to shopping and bus stop. All offers subject to interior inspection.
-
2021-11-19soldstatus $399,000 Closed 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! 4-Plex in the City of Mojave. Close to space port. All 2 bedroom and 1 bathroom units. All of the units are currently rented. Rents range from $595 to $675. No garages or Carports . 8 parking spaces. Close to shopping and bus stop. All offers subject to interior inspection.
-
2021-09-08status Pending
-
2021-08-24price $399,000
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! 4-Plex in the City of Mojave. Close to space port. All 2 bedroom and 1 bathroom units. All of the units are currently rented. Rents range from $595 to $675. No garages or Carports . 8 parking spaces. Close to shopping and bus stop. All offers subject to interior inspection.
-
2021-08-24price $399,000 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! 4-Plex in the City of Mojave. Close to space port. All 2 bedroom and 1 bathroom units. All of the units are currently rented. Rents range from $595 to $675. No garages or Carports . 8 parking spaces. Close to shopping and bus stop. All offers subject to interior inspection.
-
2021-08-04$425,000 Active 305-char remark
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! 4-Plex in the City of Mojave. Close to space port. All 2 bedroom and 1 bathroom units. All of the units are currently rented. Rents range from $595 to $675. No garages or Carports . 8 parking spaces. Close to shopping and bus stop. All offers subject to interior inspection.
-
2021-08-04$425,000 Active
Show marketing remark (305 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! 4-Plex in the City of Mojave. Close to space port. All 2 bedroom and 1 bathroom units. All of the units are currently rented. Rents range from $595 to $675. No garages or Carports . 8 parking spaces. Close to shopping and bus stop. All offers subject to interior inspection.
-
2009-03-06historical
-
2007-05-23$354,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AO · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,188
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$5,985
- − Insurance
- −$3,462
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,175
- − Management
- −$4,175
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable income
- $433
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$104
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,568/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mojave Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625230
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,017
- Composite
- 21.4/100
- National rank
- #8350
- State rank
- #411 of 517 in CA
Livability — Mojave
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #873
- US rank
- #23667
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mojave, CA
- City population
- 5,944
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,944
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 26% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 28%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Current HPI
- 595.661
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+12.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2021-11-19 Listing Removed — AVMLS
- 2021-11-19 Sold (MLS) $399,000 AVMLS
- 2021-09-08 Pending — GEMLS
- 2021-08-24 Price Changed $399,000 GEMLS
- 2021-08-24 Price Changed $399,000 AVMLS
- 2021-08-04 Listed $425,000 GEMLS
- 2021-08-04 Listed $425,000 AVMLS
- 2009-03-06 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2007-05-23 Listed $354,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…