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1052 Woodward Ave
D- Composite 36.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,000

1052 Woodward Ave · St. Joseph, MI 49022
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1952 8,555 sqft lot Est $110k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1052 Woodward Ave, nestled just outside the Benton Harbor city limits in St. Joseph Township! This property offers the opportunity to own a Southwest Michigan home that is practically brand new from the studs out. Step inside to discover a completely revitalized interior. The heart of the home features a stunning, brand-new kitchen complete with all-new appliances. Enjoy the comfort of plush, newly installed carpeting throughout the living spaces and a fully remodeled, pristine bathroom. Peace of mind comes standard here, thanks to all-newer mechanicals including a new furnace in 2021 and a new water heater. The exterior has been completely transformed with a newer roof (2016), new gutters, soffits, fascia, and stylish new siding. With new doors and energy-efficient windows throughout, this home is completely turnkey and maintenance-free. Experience new construction peace of mind with classic charm. Don't miss this exceptionally renovated gem! MSHDA Eligible!!

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Brand new kitchen
  • All new appliances

Tags

BRAND NEW KITCHENALL NEW APPLIANCESNEWLY INSTALLED CARPETINGFULLY REMODELED BATHROOMNEW FURNACENEW WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas connected; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family home; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1952; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; 0.2-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Replacement windows; 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (10.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.0% in St. Joseph — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Benton Harbor Area Schools (urban): math 4% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #732 of 760 in MI (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fair Plain Middle School (math 0% / reading 4%, grade F, #493 of 493 statewide, top 100%, 288 students, 97% FRL); Fair Plain Middle School (math 0% / reading 4%, grade F, #493 of 493 statewide, top 100%, 288 students, 97% FRL); Benton Harbor High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #704 of 713 statewide, top 100%, 495 students, 97% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,898 (10.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.05%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$110,160
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
244 Parker Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 776 (+8%) 11mo $118,900 $153 67
299 W May St 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 737 (+2%) 20mo $105,000 $142 67
157 Cross St 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 730 (+1%) 17mo $129,900 $178 56
479 Chippewa Rd 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 686 (-5%) 14mo $115,000 $168 45
1067 Mcalister Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (+11%) 23mo $65,000 $81 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-13,702
Equity at exit
$19,980
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,744
Equity at exit
$11,586

Cash invested: $37,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49022

Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,199 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$703
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $745/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$127

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,039
Max offer price $134,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $202 -5% $164 +0% $127 +5% $89 +10% $51
Rent -10% $32 -5% $79 +0% $127 +5% $174 +10% $221
Rate -1.0pp $194 -0.5pp $161 base $127 +0.5pp $92 +1.0pp $56

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,500
Closing costs
$4,020
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-22
    listed $134,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$745 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,405 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$659/yr (+$55/mo · 88.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,388
− Mortgage interest
−$7,506
− Property taxes
−$745
− Insurance
−$670
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,151
− Management
−$1,151
− Depreciation
−$3,898
Taxable loss
−$734
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$176
After-tax cash flow
$1,695/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Benton Harbor Area Schools
NCES district ID
2604830
Math proficiency
4% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$27,038
Composite
7.53/100
National rank
#14787
State rank
#732 of 760 in MI

Livability — St. Joseph

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Fair Plain, MI
Population (ZIP)
29,796

Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
149,273 people
By 2030
145,211 · -2.7%
By 2040
135,435 · -9.3%
By 2050
125,543 · -15.9%
By 2075
103,986 · -30.3%
By 2100
82,256 · -44.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Berrien

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -309.81%
Current HPI
209.9723
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $134,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $134,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $134,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $745 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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