516 Govier Ln · Elim, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LET'S GET MOVING TO CONEMAUGH TOWNSHIP/SOMERSET COUNTY. .. you will enjoy the privacy that this nicely maintained 2 bedroom ranch home on one acre lot provides. The open concept home is perfect for entertaining and includes spacious living room with WW carpet; adjoining dining room with vinyl flooring; and charming kitchen with butcher block counters and vinyl flooring. Updated full bath includes convenient laundry hook-ups. To complete the main level are 2 bedrooms with WW carpet. The basement provides ample storage and integral one-car garage. Newer metal roof and newer windows throughout, Oil forced air heat, new pressure gauge for water heater, and radon system. Property is just a short distance to all local amenities including restaurants, shopping, hospital/medical facilities, and recreation/entertainment venues. Don't miss this must see property - call today for all the details, to receive your tour packet, and to schedule your private tour!
Key facts
- One acre lot
- Open concept
- Charming kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($965 rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#992 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Conemaugh Township Area SD (rural): math 59% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #45 of 539 in PA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $78k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.39%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $90,353
- List price
- $94,900
- Delta
- 5.03%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2771 Somerset Pike | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (+11%) | 12mo | $90,500 | $95 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-6,371
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $6,031
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15905
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $965 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,004/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$203
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $94,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $94,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $94,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $94,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $96,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $96,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $96,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Active 962-char remark
Show marketing remark (962 chars)
LET'S GET MOVING TO CONEMAUGH TOWNSHIP/SOMERSET COUNTY. .. you will enjoy the privacy that this nicely maintained 2 bedroom ranch home on one acre lot provides. The open concept home is perfect for entertaining and includes spacious living room with WW carpet; adjoining dining room with vinyl flooring; and charming kitchen with butcher block counters and vinyl flooring. Updated full bath includes convenient laundry hook-ups. To complete the main level are 2 bedrooms with WW carpet. The basement provides ample storage and integral one-car garage. Newer metal roof and newer windows throughout, Oil forced air heat, new pressure gauge for water heater, and radon system. Property is just a short distance to all local amenities including restaurants, shopping, hospital/medical facilities, and recreation/entertainment venues. Don't miss this must see property - call today for all the details, to receive your tour packet, and to schedule your private tour!
-
2026-04-02status Pending 962-char remark
Show marketing remark (962 chars)
LET'S GET MOVING TO CONEMAUGH TOWNSHIP/SOMERSET COUNTY. .. you will enjoy the privacy that this nicely maintained 2 bedroom ranch home on one acre lot provides. The open concept home is perfect for entertaining and includes spacious living room with WW carpet; adjoining dining room with vinyl flooring; and charming kitchen with butcher block counters and vinyl flooring. Updated full bath includes convenient laundry hook-ups. To complete the main level are 2 bedrooms with WW carpet. The basement provides ample storage and integral one-car garage. Newer metal roof and newer windows throughout, Oil forced air heat, new pressure gauge for water heater, and radon system. Property is just a short distance to all local amenities including restaurants, shopping, hospital/medical facilities, and recreation/entertainment venues. Don't miss this must see property - call today for all the details, to receive your tour packet, and to schedule your private tour!
-
2026-03-25price $96,900 962-char remark
Show marketing remark (962 chars)
LET'S GET MOVING TO CONEMAUGH TOWNSHIP/SOMERSET COUNTY. .. you will enjoy the privacy that this nicely maintained 2 bedroom ranch home on one acre lot provides. The open concept home is perfect for entertaining and includes spacious living room with WW carpet; adjoining dining room with vinyl flooring; and charming kitchen with butcher block counters and vinyl flooring. Updated full bath includes convenient laundry hook-ups. To complete the main level are 2 bedrooms with WW carpet. The basement provides ample storage and integral one-car garage. Newer metal roof and newer windows throughout, Oil forced air heat, new pressure gauge for water heater, and radon system. Property is just a short distance to all local amenities including restaurants, shopping, hospital/medical facilities, and recreation/entertainment venues. Don't miss this must see property - call today for all the details, to receive your tour packet, and to schedule your private tour!
-
2026-03-13$99,900 Active 962-char remark
Show marketing remark (962 chars)
LET'S GET MOVING TO CONEMAUGH TOWNSHIP/SOMERSET COUNTY. .. you will enjoy the privacy that this nicely maintained 2 bedroom ranch home on one acre lot provides. The open concept home is perfect for entertaining and includes spacious living room with WW carpet; adjoining dining room with vinyl flooring; and charming kitchen with butcher block counters and vinyl flooring. Updated full bath includes convenient laundry hook-ups. To complete the main level are 2 bedrooms with WW carpet. The basement provides ample storage and integral one-car garage. Newer metal roof and newer windows throughout, Oil forced air heat, new pressure gauge for water heater, and radon system. Property is just a short distance to all local amenities including restaurants, shopping, hospital/medical facilities, and recreation/entertainment venues. Don't miss this must see property - call today for all the details, to receive your tour packet, and to schedule your private tour!
-
2022-12-09soldstatus $78,000
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2022-12-06soldstatus $78,000 Closed 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
UPDATED & MOVE IN READY 2 Bedroom, 1 Full Bathroom ranch home on a private, low maintenance 1 acre lot in Conemaugh Township School District! Enjoy the open concept living area & updated Kitchen. Updated Full Bath with laundry hookups on the main floor. This home has been completely renovated inside and out!! The upgrades include: installed metal roof in 2020/2021, installed dual pane windows throughout, installed new drywall & insulation, painted the entire interior including the basement floor & walls, installed new carpet & vinyl flooring, installed new interior doors, updated Kitchen counters & installed farmhouse metal sink and added exterior french drain system. Call today to schedule your tour!!
-
2022-10-30status Pending 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
UPDATED & MOVE IN READY 2 Bedroom, 1 Full Bathroom ranch home on a private, low maintenance 1 acre lot in Conemaugh Township School District! Enjoy the open concept living area & updated Kitchen. Updated Full Bath with laundry hookups on the main floor. This home has been completely renovated inside and out!! The upgrades include: installed metal roof in 2020/2021, installed dual pane windows throughout, installed new drywall & insulation, painted the entire interior including the basement floor & walls, installed new carpet & vinyl flooring, installed new interior doors, updated Kitchen counters & installed farmhouse metal sink and added exterior french drain system. Call today to schedule your tour!!
-
2022-10-21price $89,900 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
UPDATED & MOVE IN READY 2 Bedroom, 1 Full Bathroom ranch home on a private, low maintenance 1 acre lot in Conemaugh Township School District! Enjoy the open concept living area & updated Kitchen. Updated Full Bath with laundry hookups on the main floor. This home has been completely renovated inside and out!! The upgrades include: installed metal roof in 2020/2021, installed dual pane windows throughout, installed new drywall & insulation, painted the entire interior including the basement floor & walls, installed new carpet & vinyl flooring, installed new interior doors, updated Kitchen counters & installed farmhouse metal sink and added exterior french drain system. Call today to schedule your tour!!
-
2022-09-27$99,900 Active 747-char remark
Show marketing remark (747 chars)
UPDATED & MOVE IN READY 2 Bedroom, 1 Full Bathroom ranch home on a private, low maintenance 1 acre lot in Conemaugh Township School District! Enjoy the open concept living area & updated Kitchen. Updated Full Bath with laundry hookups on the main floor. This home has been completely renovated inside and out!! The upgrades include: installed metal roof in 2020/2021, installed dual pane windows throughout, installed new drywall & insulation, painted the entire interior including the basement floor & walls, installed new carpet & vinyl flooring, installed new interior doors, updated Kitchen counters & installed farmhouse metal sink and added exterior french drain system. Call today to schedule your tour!!
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1993-09-01soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,004 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,252 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$248/yr (+$21/mo · 24.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,581
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,004
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$926
- − Management
- −$926
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $173
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$41
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,657/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Conemaugh Township Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206420
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,140
- Composite
- 56.55/100
- National rank
- #1150
- State rank
- #45 of 539 in PA
Livability — Elim
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #992
- US rank
- #10931
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cambria County · 30,791 people
- Metro
- Johnstown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,329
- Household income
- $69,212
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 359.0
Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,318 people
- By 2030
- 68,555 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,447 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 56,437 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 44,453 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 32,408 · -54.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Somerset
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.18%
- Current HPI
- 142.5218
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Johnstown, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+438.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — CSMLS
- 2026-04-02 Pending — CSMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $96,900 CSMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $99,900 CSMLS
- 2022-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2022-12-06 Sold (MLS) $78,000 CSMLS
- 2022-10-30 Pending — CSMLS
- 2022-10-21 Price Changed $89,900 CSMLS
- 2022-09-27 Listed $99,900 CSMLS
- 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,004 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…