70 Mistwood Way SE · Cartersville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Condition / age +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Homesite #145Discover the Baker single-family plan offering 2,091 sq ft with 4 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. Enjoy open-concept living with a stunning main level featuring enhanced vinyl plank flooring. The chef's kitchen showcases quartz countertops, a huge island, tile backsplash, and walk-in pantry, flowing into a sunlit family room-perfect for entertaining. Spacious primary suite, 2-car garage, and level homesite complete this home. Discover the Langston Reserve community by Ashton Woods, coming soon to the growing city of Cartersville, GA. Enjoy close proximity to top-rated schools, local dining, shopping, and convenient access to I-75 for an easy commute to the greater Atlanta area.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Huge island
- Open-concept living
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $350k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-337 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $301k (13.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (24.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $263k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.9% in Cartersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#43 in GA, #4,800 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: commute F.
- Bartow County (rural): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #70 of 174 in GA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mission Road Elementary School (math 45% / reading 32%, grade F, #463 of 1,228 statewide, top 38%, 440 students, 58% FRL); Woodland Middle School At Euharlee (math 27% / reading 44%, grade F, #185 of 470 statewide, top 40%, 684 students, 52% FRL); Woodland High School (math 11% / reading 36%, grade F, #206 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 1,451 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 824 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 51d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,618 units permitted in Bartow County in 2024 (265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.13%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $414,000
- List price
- $349,900
- Delta
- -15.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 Elwick Ln SE | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 | 2,120 (+1%) | 3mo | $364,000 | $172 | 90 |
| 616 Elwick Ln SE | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 | 2,409 (+15%) | 4mo | $359,900 | $149 | 67 |
| 44 Lake Haven Dr | 1.03mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,052 (-2%) | 1mo | $420,000 | $205 | 56 |
| 23 Lake Haven Dr | 1.05mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,147 (+3%) | 6mo | $475,000 | $221 | 50 |
| 45 Stable Gate Dr | 1.12mi | 4/3.0 | 2,262 (+8%) | 0mo | $400,000 | $177 | 49 |
| 20 Encore Ln | 0.81mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,061 (-1%) | 8mo | $550,000 | $267 | 49 |
| 60 Seattle Slew Way | 0.82mi | 4/3.0 | 2,262 (+8%) | 4mo | $414,000 | $183 | 46 |
| 70 Seattle Slew Way | 0.77mi | 4/3.0 | 2,262 (+8%) | 6mo | $414,000 | $183 | 44 |
| 8 Deering Way | 0.99mi | 4/2.5 | 2,373 (+14%) | 3mo | $469,000 | $198 | 40 |
| 27 Grove Park Cir | 0.96mi | 4/3.0 | 2,373 (+14%) | 3mo | $400,000 | $169 | 38 |
| 42 Encore Ln | 0.80mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,723 (-18%) | 2mo | $425,000 | $247 | 31 |
| 10 Tabasco Cat Ct | 1.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,754 (-16%) | 8mo | $330,000 | $188 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-85,837
- Equity at exit
- $52,171
- IRR
- -38.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.35×
- Total profit
- $-132,049
- Equity at exit
- $30,253
Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 12 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.3 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $388,750 ($167/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 61 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +18.7% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30120
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 824
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,634 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$437 /mo · $5,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$553
- Net cashflow
- $-337
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-95 | -5% $-216 | +0% $-337 | +5% $-458 | +10% $-579 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-545 | -5% $-441 | +0% $-337 | +5% $-233 | +10% $-129 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-161 | -0.5pp $-248 | base $-337 | +0.5pp $-428 | +1.0pp $-520 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,475
- Closing costs
- $10,497
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611 Elwick Ln Cartersville, GA | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2801 | $2,900 | $1.04 | 51d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 51 Stable Gate Dr Cartersville, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2792 | $2,745 | $0.98 | 93d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 50 Brown Farm Rd SW Cartersville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $1,789 | $1.17 | 0d | 4 | 1.08mi |
| 21 Tabasco Cat Ct Cartersville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $1,779 | $1.09 | 98d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 29 Tabasco Cat Ct Cartersville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1986 | $2,176 | $1.10 | 0d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9 Chimney Ln SE Cartersville, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2155 | $2,323 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,613
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,600
- − Property taxes
- −$5,248
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,529
- − Management
- −$2,529
- − Depreciation
- −$10,179
- Taxable loss
- −$10,222
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,453
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,590/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 28 photos
This home is in excellent condition with a fresh interior and well-maintained exterior. It's move-in ready and would benefit from minor updates to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Resale Replace flooring in bathrooms — New flooring in bathrooms improves functionality and appearance ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances home's value and convenience for both buyers and renters ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bartow County
- NCES district ID
- 1300330
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,596
- Composite
- 29.16/100
- National rank
- #6577
- State rank
- #70 of 174 in GA
Livability — Cartersville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #4800
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bartow County · 107,887 people
- City population
- 70,885
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,896
- Household income
- $86,581
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Bartow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,887 people
- By 2030
- 109,594 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 111,038 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 109,046 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 99,484 · -7.8%
- By 2100
- 83,431 · -22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Bartow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.2% · R 75.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -45.2pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+50.7 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+51.7 2008: R+45.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.99%
- Current HPI
- 302.5848
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.23%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…