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3605 Orange St
D+ Composite 48.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$142,500

3605 Orange St · Bridgeport, MI 48601
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 2003 0.48 ac lot $56/sqft · 10% above area Est $129k · 10% over ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath Ranch/Modular home, perfectly situated on just under half an acre. The primary suite offers a private retreat with its own full bath and walk-in closets. You'll love the large kitchen with a center island, perfect for gathering and entertaining, as well as the inviting family room featuring a gas fireplace. An additional bonus room gives you the flexibility to create a home office, playroom, or hobby space. Whatever fits your lifestyle. With a 2-car garage and plenty of room both inside and out, this home is ready for you to bring your vision and make it your own!

Key facts

  • Inviting family room
  • Walk-in closets
  • Gas fireplace

Tags

FULL BATHWALK-IN CLOSETSLARGE KITCHENCENTER ISLANDINVITING FAMILY ROOMGAS FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $142k).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.0% in Bridgeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#638 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, schools F.
  • Bridgeport-Spaulding Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #513 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $985 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $129,675 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.32%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$129,044
List price
$142,500
Delta
10.43%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3881 Olive St 0.42mi 3/2.0 2,300 (-9%) 13mo $60,000 $26 52
2947 Tatham St 0.75mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,224 (-12%) 22mo $45,500 $20 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-5,533
Equity at exit
$21,247
10-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$17,628
Equity at exit
$12,321

Cash invested: $39,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48601

Home prices YoY
-32.1%
Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,432 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$747
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $574/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,082
Max offer price $142,500
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $357 -5% $317 +0% $277 +5% $236 +10% $196
Rent -10% $163 -5% $220 +0% $277 +5% $333 +10% $390
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $313 base $277 +0.5pp $240 +1.0pp $202

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,625
Closing costs
$4,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $142,500 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $142,500 Active 95 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $142,500 Active 94 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    status $142,500 Active 93 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    status $142,500 Pending 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $142,500 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $142,500 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $142,500 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $142,500 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $142,500 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    price $142,500 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-03-06
    listed $149,900 Active 615-char remark
    Show marketing remark (615 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath Ranch/Modular home, perfectly situated on just under half an acre. The primary suite offers a private retreat with its own full bath and walk-in closets. You'll love the large kitchen with a center island, perfect for gathering and entertaining, as well as the inviting family room featuring a gas fireplace. An additional bonus room gives you the flexibility to create a home office, playroom, or hobby space. Whatever fits your lifestyle. With a 2-car garage and plenty of room both inside and out, this home is ready for you to bring your vision and make it your own!

  15. 2026-03-06
    listed $149,900 Active 615-char remark
    Show marketing remark (615 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath Ranch/Modular home, perfectly situated on just under half an acre. The primary suite offers a private retreat with its own full bath and walk-in closets. You'll love the large kitchen with a center island, perfect for gathering and entertaining, as well as the inviting family room featuring a gas fireplace. An additional bonus room gives you the flexibility to create a home office, playroom, or hobby space. Whatever fits your lifestyle. With a 2-car garage and plenty of room both inside and out, this home is ready for you to bring your vision and make it your own!

  16. 2026-02-27
    historical
  17. 2025-10-06
    price $149,900
  18. 2025-10-05
    status Active
  19. 2025-10-05
    price $149,900
  20. 2025-10-05
    status Active
  21. 2025-09-26
    status Pending
  22. 2025-09-26
    status Pending
  23. 2025-09-11
    listed $169,900 Active
  24. 2025-09-11
    listed $169,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$574 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,384 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$810/yr (+$68/mo · 141.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,181
− Mortgage interest
−$7,982
− Property taxes
−$574
− Insurance
−$712
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,375
− Management
−$1,375
− Depreciation
−$4,145
Taxable income
$1,018
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$244
After-tax cash flow
$3,075/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bridgeport-Spaulding Community School District
NCES district ID
2606780
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$38,403
Composite
10.13/100
National rank
#9800
State rank
#513 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bridgeport

Score
57/100
State rank
#638
US rank
#21636

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgeport, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,069

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.46%
Current HPI
197.3359
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Price Changed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-05 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-05 Price Changed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-05 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $574 · -73.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…