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420 W Madison St
C Composite 56.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

420 W Madison St · South Bend, IN 46601
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,472 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1913 5,271 sqft lot Est $202k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Multiple offers received. Kindly submit all offers by 12:00 PM on Friday, June 19th. Opportunity awaits at this charming 1913 home nestled on a picturesque brick road with a 2nd lot. Step inside to discover the timeless elegance of hardwood floors, exquisite wood trim, and original unpainted wood accents and doors throughout. The updated kitchen boasts white cabinets, a tiled backsplash and a cozy eat-in area, perfect for creating culinary delights. One of the bedrooms opens up to a balcony, providing a front-row seat to the dazzling fireworks display at Four Winds Field. With three spacious bedrooms, a large dining room, a very nice garage, and a generous yard, this home is a true gem wait

Key facts

  • Cozy eat-in area
  • Generous yard
  • Tiled backsplash

Tags

CHARMING 1913 HOMEUPDATED KITCHENTILED BACKSPLASHCOZY EAT-IN AREABALCONYGENEROUS YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached off-street garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; 2 stories
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and cedar exterior; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Enclosed porch; Privacy fencing; Shingle roof; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Fireplace in family room (1)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Built-in features; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas dryer hookup (lower level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
  • South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Madison S.T.E.A.M. Academy (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #994 of 994 statewide, top 100%, 618 students, 93% FRL); Riley High School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #293 of 369 statewide, top 80%, 992 students, 67% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.74%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$201,664
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
319 W Madison St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,512 (+3%) 2mo $84,900 $56 90
210 Wakewa Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,530 (+4%) 2mo $300,000 $196 61
706 California St 0.53mi 3/2.5 1,392 (-5%) 1mo $230,000 $165 59
744 Blaine Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,566 (+6%) 1mo $152,000 $97 58
228 Tonti St 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+2%) 3mo $280,000 $187 52
320 Howard St 0.74mi 3/2.5 1,512 (+3%) 4mo $549,900 $364 51
836 Forest Ave 0.42mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,664 (+13%) 4mo $115,000 $69 51
611 Blaine Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,316 (-11%) 2mo $162,000 $123 48
1125 W Washington St 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,636 (+11%) 4mo $224,000 $137 47
1040 Woodward Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,656 (+12%) 4mo $185,000 $112 43
1060 Woodward Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,640 (+11%) 0mo $272,000 $166 40
644 N Walnut Ave 0.71mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,284 (-13%) 4mo $38,000 $30 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-11,338
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,874
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46601

Home prices YoY
-13.4%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,434 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$288 /mo · $3,453/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,259
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $209 -5% $174 +0% $138 +5% $103 +10% $67
Rent -10% $25 -5% $82 +0% $138 +5% $195 +10% $251
Rate -1.0pp $201 -0.5pp $170 base $138 +0.5pp $106 +1.0pp $73

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
504 W Navarre St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.5 1520 $1,350 $0.89 14d 1 0.12mi
125 W Marion St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 672 $1,350 $2.01 14d 5 0.25mi
211 W Washington St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0–2.5 1162 $7,491 $6.44 21d 19 0.35mi
307 E Lasalle Ave South Bend, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,670 $1.80 14d 22 0.44mi
221 S Taylor St South Bend, IN 3.0 2.0 1178 $2,599 $2.21 14d 1 0.48mi
300 E Lasalle Ave South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0–3.0 1013 $3,009 $2.97 14d 31 0.48mi
1118 Van Buren St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1394 $1,375 $0.99 21d 1 0.66mi
910 Allen St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 21d 1 0.67mi
716 N Niles Ave South Bend, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 732 $1,750 $2.39 14d 11 0.68mi
344 Parkovash Ave South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 950 $1,900 $2.00 14d 1 0.74mi
1032 Allen St South Bend, IN 3.0 2.0 1580 $1,200 $0.76 44d 1 0.76mi
752 Diamond Ave South Bend, IN 3.0 1.5 1248 $1,400 $1.12 44d 1 0.78mi
736 Lawndale Ave Unit 1 South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1072 $1,200 $1.12 14d 1 0.82mi
1201 Woodward Ave South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 960 $1,675 $1.74 44d 1 0.82mi
122 E Pokagon St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 14d 1 0.90mi
1243 Portage Ave South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1570 $1,500 $0.96 44d 1 0.94mi
116 N Notre Dame Ave South Bend, IN 3.0 1.5 1524 $1,295 $0.85 14d 1 0.96mi
911 E Washington St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 886 $1,195 $1.35 14d 1 0.98mi
913 E Washington St South Bend, IN 4.0 1.5 1312 $1,295 $0.99 21d 1 0.99mi
1428 Kessler Blvd South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 936 $1,000 $1.07 44d 1 1.14mi
1317 Poland St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 21d 1 1.15mi
1018 S Bend Ave South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $2,950 $3.53 14d 27 1.18mi
1237 Wilber St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 880 $1,200 $1.36 44d 1 1.21mi
1214 Queen St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,300 $1.23 14d 1 1.21mi
1145 N Eddy St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0–3.0 959 $4,377 $4.56 44d 1 1.23mi
1222 Chalfant St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 992 $1,300 $1.31 44d 1 1.27mi
2010 Lincoln Way W Unit 2 South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,325 $1.15 21d 1 1.27mi
2203 Smith St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,215 $0.97 14d 1 1.31mi
1008 O Brien St Unit O South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1634 $800 $0.49 21d 1 1.32mi
1206 Johnson St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.5 1320 $1,400 $1.06 44d 1 1.36mi
1210 Johnson St South Bend, IN 3.0 2.0 1568 $1,250 $0.80 21d 1 1.37mi
1505 N Adams St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 14d 1 1.40mi
2205 Lincoln Way W South Bend, IN 4.0 2.0 1440 $1,565 $1.09 14d 1 1.41mi
1054 Huey St South Bend, IN 4.0 2.0 1288 $1,550 $1.20 14d 1 1.41mi
1314 Johnson St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 902 $1,150 $1.27 14d 1 1.41mi
1046 N Elmer St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,025 $0.98 21d 1 1.47mi
2417 Linden Ave South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 689-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $124,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,453 · $288/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,453 · $288/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,209
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$3,453
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,377
− Management
−$1,377
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$252
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$60
After-tax cash flow
$1,718/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Bend Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1810290
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,935
Composite
14.21/100
National rank
#9452
State rank
#284 of 301 in IN

Livability — South Bend

Score
64/100
State rank
#365
US rank
#13730

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Bend, IN
City population
99,767
Population (ZIP)
4,933

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
273,186 people
By 2030
273,594 · +0.1%
By 2040
271,641 · -0.6%
By 2050
269,187 · -1.5%
By 2075
263,136 · -3.7%
By 2100
245,659 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 30% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.25%
Current HPI
215.0749
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $124,900 IRMLS
  • 2017-03-07 Listed IRMLS

Property tax history

+67.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,453 · +33.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…