420 W Madison St · South Bend, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Multiple offers received. Kindly submit all offers by 12:00 PM on Friday, June 19th. Opportunity awaits at this charming 1913 home nestled on a picturesque brick road with a 2nd lot. Step inside to discover the timeless elegance of hardwood floors, exquisite wood trim, and original unpainted wood accents and doors throughout. The updated kitchen boasts white cabinets, a tiled backsplash and a cozy eat-in area, perfect for creating culinary delights. One of the bedrooms opens up to a balcony, providing a front-row seat to the dazzling fireworks display at Four Winds Field. With three spacious bedrooms, a large dining room, a very nice garage, and a generous yard, this home is a true gem wait
Key facts
- Cozy eat-in area
- Generous yard
- Tiled backsplash
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached off-street garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; 2 stories
- Construction: Aluminum siding and cedar exterior; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Balcony; Enclosed porch; Privacy fencing; Shingle roof; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Fireplace in family room (1)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Built-in features; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas dryer hookup (lower level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Madison S.T.E.A.M. Academy (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #994 of 994 statewide, top 100%, 618 students, 93% FRL); Riley High School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #293 of 369 statewide, top 80%, 992 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.74%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,664
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 W Madison St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,512 (+3%) | 2mo | $84,900 | $56 | 90 |
| 210 Wakewa Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,530 (+4%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $196 | 61 |
| 706 California St | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,392 (-5%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $165 | 59 |
| 744 Blaine Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,566 (+6%) | 1mo | $152,000 | $97 | 58 |
| 228 Tonti St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+2%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $187 | 52 |
| 320 Howard St | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,512 (+3%) | 4mo | $549,900 | $364 | 51 |
| 836 Forest Ave | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,664 (+13%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $69 | 51 |
| 611 Blaine Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,316 (-11%) | 2mo | $162,000 | $123 | 48 |
| 1125 W Washington St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,636 (+11%) | 4mo | $224,000 | $137 | 47 |
| 1040 Woodward Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,656 (+12%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $112 | 43 |
| 1060 Woodward Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,640 (+11%) | 0mo | $272,000 | $166 | 40 |
| 644 N Walnut Ave | 0.71mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,284 (-13%) | 4mo | $38,000 | $30 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-11,338
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,874
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46601
- Home prices YoY
- -13.4%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,434 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$288 /mo · $3,453/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $138
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $209 | -5% $174 | +0% $138 | +5% $103 | +10% $67 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $25 | -5% $82 | +0% $138 | +5% $195 | +10% $251 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $201 | -0.5pp $170 | base $138 | +0.5pp $106 | +1.0pp $73 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 504 W Navarre St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $1,350 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 125 W Marion St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,350 | $2.01 | 14d | 5 | 0.25mi |
| 211 W Washington St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1162 | $7,491 | $6.44 | 21d | 19 | 0.35mi |
| 307 E Lasalle Ave South Bend, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,670 | $1.80 | 14d | 22 | 0.44mi |
| 221 S Taylor St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $2,599 | $2.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 300 E Lasalle Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1013 | $3,009 | $2.97 | 14d | 31 | 0.48mi |
| 1118 Van Buren St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1394 | $1,375 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 910 Allen St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 716 N Niles Ave South Bend, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 732 | $1,750 | $2.39 | 14d | 11 | 0.68mi |
| 344 Parkovash Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,900 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1032 Allen St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,200 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 752 Diamond Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 736 Lawndale Ave Unit 1 South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1201 Woodward Ave South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,675 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 122 E Pokagon St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1243 Portage Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1570 | $1,500 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 116 N Notre Dame Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1524 | $1,295 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 911 E Washington St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 913 E Washington St South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,295 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1428 Kessler Blvd South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,000 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1317 Poland St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1018 S Bend Ave South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $2,950 | $3.53 | 14d | 27 | 1.18mi |
| 1237 Wilber St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1214 Queen St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1145 N Eddy St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 959 | $4,377 | $4.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1222 Chalfant St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2010 Lincoln Way W Unit 2 South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,325 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2203 Smith St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,215 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1008 O Brien St Unit O South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1634 | $800 | $0.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1206 Johnson St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1320 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1210 Johnson St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,250 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1505 N Adams St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2205 Lincoln Way W South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,565 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1054 Huey St South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,550 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1314 Johnson St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,150 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1046 N Elmer St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,025 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2417 Linden Ave South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-17$124,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,453 · $288/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,453 · $288/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,209
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$3,453
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,377
- − Management
- −$1,377
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable loss
- −$252
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$60
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,718/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Bend Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810290
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,935
- Composite
- 14.21/100
- National rank
- #9452
- State rank
- #284 of 301 in IN
Livability — South Bend
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #365
- US rank
- #13730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bend, IN
- City population
- 99,767
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,933
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 30% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.25%
- Current HPI
- 215.0749
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $124,900 IRMLS
- 2017-03-07 Listed — IRMLS
Property tax history
+67.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,453 · +33.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…