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173 E Michigan Ave Unit 203B
C- Composite 54.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,000

173 E Michigan Ave Unit 203B · Three Rivers, MI 49093
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 841 sqft · Condo public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1969 $340/mo HOA · 27% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Add plenty of free time to your schedule with ownership of this amazing 2 bed, 1.5 bath condo. This nearly carefree condo is located near shopping and entertainment and is located on the banks of the beautiful Saint Joseph River. The condo is updated with trendy flooring in the main rooms and new fixtures in the main bathroom. It offers up a light and airy decor. The association pool is amazing and offers a place to relax and entertain. There is also a large recreation room with bar and pool table. The laundry area is nearby along with secure storage space for each owner. The association monthly dues cover: pool, common area and elevator maint along with mowing of common areas and snow removal. Additionally included: water/sewer, cable, insurance, trash pick up, basement storage. * * Currently assoc. dues are $340.00/mo. * * Buy-in fee is currently $0.00 but a fee may be implemented soon. All info should be verified by buyer. Sale is as-is, where is.

Key facts

  • Association pool
  • Updated flooring
  • New fixtures

Tags

BANKS OF SAINT JOSEPH RIVERUPDATED FLOORINGNEW FIXTURESASSOCIATION POOLLARGE RECREATION ROOMSECURE STORAGE SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 850; Road directions: Main St to East Michigan
  • HOA & community: Association amenities include meeting room, pool, and storage; Association fee (monthly) of 340.00; Association fee includes water, trash, sewer, snow removal, lawn/yard care, and cable/satellite

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Residential condominium; Other architectural style
  • Construction: Built in 1969; Brick and other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Waterfront on the Saint Joseph River

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Second bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Primary bathroom; Second bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heat; Has cooling
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-339 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $24k (71.3% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (71.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.2% in Three Rivers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#306 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Three Rivers Community Schools (town): math 37% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #200 of 540 in MI (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $84k implies a 202% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 27% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $24,113 (71.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.47%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-49.2%
Equity multiple
-0.48×
Total profit
$-34,728
Equity at exit
$12,525
10-year hold
IRR
-88.0%
Equity multiple
-1.39×
Total profit
$-56,114
Equity at exit
$7,263

Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49093

Active inventory
178
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,245 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$441
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $966/yr
Insurance
$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$340
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$-339

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,674
Max offer price $24,113
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,000
Closing costs
$2,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
320 Thomas St Three Rivers, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 925 $1,245 $1.35 13d 4 0.51mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$340 · $4,080/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashcablesnow removalpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $84,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$966 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,130 · $94/mo
Expected delta
+$164/yr (+$14/mo · 17.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,940
− Mortgage interest
−$4,705
− Property taxes
−$966
− Insurance
−$5,538
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,195
− Management
−$1,195
− HOA
−$4,080
− Depreciation
−$2,444
Taxable loss
−$5,184
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,244
After-tax cash flow
$-2,824/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Three Rivers Community Schools
NCES district ID
2633840
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,576
Composite
34.97/100
National rank
#5058
State rank
#200 of 540 in MI

Livability — Three Rivers

Score
70/100
State rank
#306
US rank
#7604

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Three Rivers, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,439

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
58,726 people
By 2030
57,030 · -2.9%
By 2040
53,266 · -9.3%
By 2050
49,343 · -16.0%
By 2075
40,441 · -31.1%
By 2100
31,981 · -45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 11% Iranian 5% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -159.07%
Current HPI
226.5079
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+189.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $84,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $84,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $84,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2015-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $27,850 Public Records
  • 2015-06-30 Sold (MLS) $27,850 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2015-06-30 Sold (MLS) $27,850 REALCOMP
  • 2014-09-11 Listed $29,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-09-11 Listed $29,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $966 · -11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…