27 Church St · Hamburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid brick single home in the borough with replacement windows & low maintenance exterior. Nice large rooms with plenty of closets. Old world stained woodwork with beautiful original staircase. There is a double living room. The bath upstairs is huge! Off street parking in rear with a tool shed in the back yard. Nice front and rear porches.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Improvement and land assessed values recorded
- Financial info: Ownership is fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure; Frame and masonry construction; Metal roof; Block foundation; Finished above-grade area reported (1,524)
- Construction: Built year reported by assessor
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heating and hot water; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#529 in PA, #4,893 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Hamburg Area SD (other): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #377 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $220k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.90%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $267,215
- List price
- $220,000
- Delta
- -17.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703 State St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,496 (-2%) | 14mo | $227,400 | $152 | 77 |
| 240 S 4th St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,568 (+3%) | 4mo | $249,900 | $159 | 76 |
| 250 Washington St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,600 (+5%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $72 | 75 |
| 730 Park Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,536 (+1%) | 8mo | $330,000 | $215 | 72 |
| 23 S 4th St | 0.16mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,454 (-5%) | 15mo | $164,900 | $113 | 67 |
| 227 N 4th St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (-6%) | 13mo | $241,000 | $167 | 62 |
| 262 N 3rd St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (+2%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $129 | 61 |
| 303 Port Clinton Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 9mo | $205,500 | $153 | 52 |
| 546 N 5th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,496 (-2%) | 18mo | $277,900 | $186 | 50 |
| 250 N 3rd St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-14%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $190 | 46 |
| 376 Northmont Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,639 (+8%) | 19mo | $255,000 | $156 | 40 |
| 507 Bickel Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,748 (+15%) | 9mo | $299,900 | $172 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $148,952
- Equity at exit
- $198,193
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.75×
- Total profit
- $415,829
- Equity at exit
- $427,412
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19526
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$273 /mo · $3,273/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $457
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $581 | -5% $519 | +0% $457 | +5% $395 | +10% $332 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $259 | -5% $358 | +0% $457 | +5% $556 | +10% $654 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $568 | -0.5pp $513 | base $457 | +0.5pp $400 | +1.0pp $342 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Clayton Ave Hamburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2056 | $2,500 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 507-char remark
-
2026-05-05$220,000 Active 507-char remark
-
2021-10-11historical
-
2021-10-07price $170,000
-
2021-08-18$180,000 Active
-
2015-04-02soldstatus $109,900
-
2015-03-30soldstatus $109,900
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Solid brick single home in the borough with replacement windows & low maintenance exterior. Nice large rooms with plenty of closets. Old world stained woodwork with beautiful original staircase. There is a double living room. The bath upstairs is huge! Off street parking in rear with a tool shed in the back yard. Nice front and rear porches.
-
2015-03-30soldstatus $109,900 Sold
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Solid brick single home in the borough with replacement windows & low maintenance exterior. Nice large rooms with plenty of closets. Old world stained woodwork with beautiful original staircase. There is a double living room. The bath upstairs is huge! Off street parking in rear with a tool shed in the back yard. Nice front and rear porches.
-
2015-02-13status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Solid brick single home in the borough with replacement windows & low maintenance exterior. Nice large rooms with plenty of closets. Old world stained woodwork with beautiful original staircase. There is a double living room. The bath upstairs is huge! Off street parking in rear with a tool shed in the back yard. Nice front and rear porches.
-
2015-02-13historical
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Solid brick single home in the borough with replacement windows & low maintenance exterior. Nice large rooms with plenty of closets. Old world stained woodwork with beautiful original staircase. There is a double living room. The bath upstairs is huge! Off street parking in rear with a tool shed in the back yard. Nice front and rear porches.
-
2014-11-21$109,900 Active
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Solid brick single home in the borough with replacement windows & low maintenance exterior. Nice large rooms with plenty of closets. Old world stained woodwork with beautiful original staircase. There is a double living room. The bath upstairs is huge! Off street parking in rear with a tool shed in the back yard. Nice front and rear porches.
-
2014-11-20$109,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,273 · $273/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,375 · $281/mo
- Expected delta
- +$101/yr (+$8/mo · 3.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$3,273
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable income
- $2,103
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$505
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,978/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211340
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,589
- Composite
- 32.5/100
- National rank
- #5705
- State rank
- #377 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hamburg
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #529
- US rank
- #4893
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hamburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,412
Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 425,767 people
- By 2030
- 428,814 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 433,463 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 439,426 · +3.2%
- By 2075
- 478,647 · +12.4%
- By 2100
- 518,507 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 7% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Berks
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.13%
- Current HPI
- 299.1168
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+100.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-10-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-10-07 Price Changed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-08-18 Listed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $109,900 Public Records
- 2015-03-30 Sold (MLS) $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-03-30 Sold (MLS) $109,900 TREND
- 2015-02-13 Pending — TREND
- 2015-02-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-11-21 Listed $109,900 TREND
- 2014-11-20 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2026): $3,273 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…