7801 Glass St Unit A · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.3/10.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated on a large lot in a highly convenient location with quick access to Highway 59, this property offers endless potential for homeowners, investors, and builders alike. Per the FEMA flood map, the property is not located in a flood zone. Whether you’re looking for a great family home, a rental investment, or the perfect site for new construction, this property checks all the boxes. Enjoy the flexibility of a spacious lot with room to expand, entertain, or redevelop in an area surrounded by growth and opportunity. A rare chance to secure a versatile property in a prime location!
Key facts
- Versatile property
- Large lot
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building area approximately 725; Lot about 0.14 acre (6,174 square feet)
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story (built in 1950); Entry on main level
- Construction: Cement siding; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation; Composition roof; Built in 1950
- Exterior features: Lot includes other features
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Two total rooms
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Key Middle (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,569 of 1,662 statewide, top 95%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Kashmere H S (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 725 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 372 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (8.7% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.35%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,148
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -12.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4825 Weaver Rd | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (+8%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $160 | 62 |
| 5011 Jones St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 814 (+12%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $203 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.65% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $64,811
- Equity at exit
- $92,492
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.29×
- Total profit
- $170,309
- Equity at exit
- $188,709
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77016
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,348 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,954/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7506 Jensen Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 772 | $1,160 | $1.50 | 3d | 12 | 1.00mi |
| 7320 Jensen Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $1,010 | $1.08 | 1d | 5 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$115,000 Active 596-char remark
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,954 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,104 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$150/yr (+$13/mo · 7.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,172
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,954
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,294
- − Management
- −$1,294
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$304
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,706/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,841
- Household income
- $47,677
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1297.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 28%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 37%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.65%
- Current HPI
- 315.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $115,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+12.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,954 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…