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119 N Locust St
B+ Composite 75.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$68,000

119 N Locust St · Offerle, KS 67563
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1975 0.52 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.52 acre lot
  • Built 1975
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured residential home
  • Construction: Concrete basement
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.52 acres (150 x 150); Zoned NC.1 / R-1

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Wood-burning fireplace; Has basement with concrete floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $390 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#319 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, employment D+.
  • Kinsley-Offerle (rural): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #172 of 280 in KS (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($470 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Edwards County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $68k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
13.17%
Cash-on-cash
24.58%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$37,154
Equity at exit
$34,948
10-year hold
IRR
32.0%
Equity multiple
5.87×
Total profit
$92,653
Equity at exit
$57,539

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67563

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,088 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax est. 1.5%
$85 /mo · $1,020/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $595
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    listed $68,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,062
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$1,020
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,045
− Management
−$1,045
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$3,824
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$918
After-tax cash flow
$3,762/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kinsley-Offerle
NCES district ID
2008100
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,157
Composite
28.38/100
National rank
#12126
State rank
#172 of 280 in KS

Livability — Offerle

Score
64/100
State rank
#319
US rank
#14722

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Offerle, KS
Population (ZIP)
378

Population outlook (Edwards County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,909 people
By 2030
2,871 · -1.3%
By 2040
2,800 · -3.7%
By 2050
2,738 · -5.9%
By 2075
2,702 · -7.1%
By 2100
2,512 · -13.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Danish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Edwards

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.3) · D 16.8% · R 82.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -48.8pp · 2024: -65.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.3 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+63.1 2012: R+55.5 2008: R+48.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.12%
Current HPI
187.7952
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+51.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $68,000 Hays MLS
  • 2003-04-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-04-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2000-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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