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206 S Davis St Triplex
D- Composite 39.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$869,000

206 S Davis St · Belgrade, MT 59714
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,344 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 145 Days on market
Built 1978 10,454 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Easy to manage 4-plex centrally located in Belgrade. All units are 2 bed 1 bath, each with their own laundry room and ample parking. Excellent rental history. Roof and siding replaced in 2010. Unit 2 has been updated with LVT floors, butcher-block countertops, stainless appliances, tiled tub surround and new paint. Large lot with Bridger views and a park across the street. Restaurants, coffee shops, and shopping all located within walking distance. Great entry level investment opportunity.

Key facts

  • Remodeled units
  • Generously large lot
  • Outdoor space

Tags

REMODELED UNITSIN-UNIT LAUNDRY FACILITIESGENEROUSLY LARGE LOTOUTDOOR SPACEACROSS FROM A CITY PARK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Actual rents listed for units: $1,600; $1,395; $1,460; $1,625

Exterior

  • Parking: Common parking; Approximately 2 parking spaces per unit
  • Utilities: Public water available; Public sewer; Sewer and water connections available
  • Home design: Residential income property; Quadruplex
  • Construction: R3 zoning
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Multiple 2-bedroom end units
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: Units with 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Daylight basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry room (in basement for some units)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $869k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-79 ($-943/yr) — negative. Per door: $-26/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $855k (1.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $674k (22.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $674k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.4% in Belgrade — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#14 in MT, #2,130 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: commute F.
  • Belgrade H S (town): math 28% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #62 of 116 in MT (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Heck/Quaw Elementary (math 47% / reading 52%); Belgrade Middle School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade D, #41 of 146 statewide, top 35%, 1,052 students, 0% FRL); Belgrade High School (math 28% / reading 46%, grade F, #48 of 132 statewide, top 37%, 994 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,706 units permitted in Gallatin County in 2024 (533 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,741/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($96k/yr) (locally 647% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gallatin County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($765k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $674,100 (22.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.39%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.8%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-158,084
Equity at exit
$129,571
10-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-192,660
Equity at exit
$75,135

Cash invested: $243,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Montana
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

ZIP-level market 59714

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
249
Price-to-rent
32.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,741 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,557
Tax from tax record
$485 /mo · $5,817/yr
Insurance
$362
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,416
Net cashflow
$-79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,841
Max offer price $855,113
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $413 -5% $167 +0% $-79 +5% $-325 +10% $-571
Rent -10% $-611 -5% $-345 +0% $-79 +5% $188 +10% $454
Rate -1.0pp $359 -0.5pp $142 base $-79 +0.5pp $-304 +1.0pp $-533

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $6,741

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$217,250
Closing costs
$26,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $869,000 Active 145 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $869,000 Active 143 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $869,000 Active 142 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $869,000 Active 141 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $869,000 Active 140 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $869,000 Active 139 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $869,000 Active 137 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $899,000 Active 136 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $899,000 Active 134 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $899,000 Active 133 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $899,000 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $899,000 Active 131 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $899,000 Active 128 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $899,000 Active 126 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $899,000 Active 125 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $899,000 Active 124 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $899,000 Active 123 DOM
  18. 2026-01-26
    listed $899,000 Active
  19. 2025-12-01
    listed $950,000 Active
  20. 2023-01-09
    soldstatus Closed 495-char remark
    Show marketing remark (495 chars)

    Easy to manage 4-plex centrally located in Belgrade. All units are 2 bed 1 bath, each with their own laundry room and ample parking. Excellent rental history. Roof and siding replaced in 2010. Unit 2 has been updated with LVT floors, butcher-block countertops, stainless appliances, tiled tub surround and new paint. Large lot with Bridger views and a park across the street. Restaurants, coffee shops, and shopping all located within walking distance. Great entry level investment opportunity.

  21. 2023-01-09
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (495 chars)

    Easy to manage 4-plex centrally located in Belgrade. All units are 2 bed 1 bath, each with their own laundry room and ample parking. Excellent rental history. Roof and siding replaced in 2010. Unit 2 has been updated with LVT floors, butcher-block countertops, stainless appliances, tiled tub surround and new paint. Large lot with Bridger views and a park across the street. Restaurants, coffee shops, and shopping all located within walking distance. Great entry level investment opportunity.

  22. 2022-12-06
    listed Active Under Contract 495-char remark
    Show marketing remark (495 chars)

    Easy to manage 4-plex centrally located in Belgrade. All units are 2 bed 1 bath, each with their own laundry room and ample parking. Excellent rental history. Roof and siding replaced in 2010. Unit 2 has been updated with LVT floors, butcher-block countertops, stainless appliances, tiled tub surround and new paint. Large lot with Bridger views and a park across the street. Restaurants, coffee shops, and shopping all located within walking distance. Great entry level investment opportunity.

  23. 2022-09-13
    listed $849,000 495-char remark
    Show marketing remark (495 chars)

    Easy to manage 4-plex centrally located in Belgrade. All units are 2 bed 1 bath, each with their own laundry room and ample parking. Excellent rental history. Roof and siding replaced in 2010. Unit 2 has been updated with LVT floors, butcher-block countertops, stainless appliances, tiled tub surround and new paint. Large lot with Bridger views and a park across the street. Restaurants, coffee shops, and shopping all located within walking distance. Great entry level investment opportunity.

  24. 2020-02-19
    soldstatus
  25. 2020-02-19
    soldstatus
  26. 2020-01-19
    listed $499,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,817 · $485/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,300 · $608/mo
Expected delta
+$1,482/yr (+$124/mo · 25.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$80,892
− Mortgage interest
−$48,678
− Property taxes
−$5,817
− Insurance
−$4,345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,471
− Management
−$6,471
− Depreciation
−$25,280
Taxable loss
−$16,171
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,881
After-tax cash flow
$2,938/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belgrade H S
NCES district ID
3003330
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,776
Composite
32.68/100
National rank
#5654
State rank
#62 of 116 in MT

Livability — Belgrade

Score
79/100
State rank
#14
US rank
#2130

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A- Crime C+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belgrade, MT
County
Gallatin County · 108,510 people
City population
24,282
Metro
Bozeman, MT
Population (ZIP)
24,282
Household income
$96,183
Rent vs Own
29.5% rent · 70.5% own
Severe rent burden
647.0

Population outlook (Gallatin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,625 people
By 2030
144,940 · +11.8%
By 2040
176,266 · +36.0%
By 2050
209,250 · +61.4%
By 2075
294,207 · +127.0%
By 2100
360,558 · +178.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Gallatin

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 46.8% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 3.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.2 2020: D+7.5 2016: D+1.0 2012: R+5.3 2008: D+3.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -212.97%
Current HPI
282.8173
Rent YoY
▲ 1.20%
Metro
Bozeman, MT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.41%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $899,000 BSCMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Listed $950,000 BSCMLS
  • 2023-01-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-01-09 Sold (MLS) BSCMLS
  • 2022-12-06 Listed BSCMLS
  • 2022-09-13 Listed $849,000 BSCMLS
  • 2020-02-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-02-19 Sold (MLS) BSCMLS
  • 2020-01-19 Listed $499,500 BSCMLS

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,817 · -12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…