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234 Maurice Blvd
F Composite 32.14
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$165,000

234 Maurice Blvd · Middle, NJ 08242
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · Manufactured · 23 Days on market
Built 2026 Est $126k · 31% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This listing is basically a right of first refusal. The home is a 14' X 56" manufactured home that has been ordered for sale at 234 Maurice Blvd in Grande Woods South Manufactured Home Community in Rio Grande. The actual home is not on site. Home expected delivery is mid-August with occupancy by December, +/-. The primary picture in this listing is a picture of a similar home in the community for comparison purposes. Actual home will be tan/almond in color with cranberry shutters. Color of appliances, flooring and counter tops can be shown at the office

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2026
  • Listed 23 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking for 2 cars
  • Utilities: Well water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water
  • Home design: Tan/almond exterior color; New construction; Offered for sale
  • Construction: Shingle exterior
  • Exterior features: Shingle exterior; 40' frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Curtains included; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-177 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (15.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (26.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Middle Township Public School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #372 of 472 in NJ (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Middle Township Elementary #1 (657 students, 56% FRL); Middle Township Elementary #4 (math 14% / reading 47%, grade F, #303 of 431 statewide, top 72%, 594 students, 52% FRL); Middle Township High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #327 of 399 statewide, top 82%, 790 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $121,933 (26.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.01%
Cash-on-cash
-4.60%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$125,580
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
233 Maurice Blvd 0.02mi 2/2.0 840 (+8%) 15mo $135,000 $161 70
229 Maurice Blvd 0.02mi 2/2.0 840 (+8%) 19mo $160,000 $190 66
95 Priest Blvd 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 720 (-8%) 7mo $105,000 $146 64
2 Priest Blvd 0.06mi 2/2.0 896 (+15%) 23mo $115,000 $128 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$78,609
Equity at exit
$148,645
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
6.20×
Total profit
$240,391
Equity at exit
$320,559

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08242

Home prices YoY
14.2%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,219 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax est. 1.5%
$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$-177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $139,388
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-63 -5% $-120 +0% $-177 +5% $-234 +10% $-291
Rent -10% $-273 -5% $-225 +0% $-177 +5% $-129 +10% $-81
Rate -1.0pp $-94 -0.5pp $-135 base $-177 +0.5pp $-220 +1.0pp $-263

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $165,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    remarks 559-char remark
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 2 DOM
  18. 2026-05-29
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,632
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,475
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,171
− Management
−$1,171
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$5,052
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,212
After-tax cash flow
$-912/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Middle Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3410020
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$59,228
Composite
24.09/100
National rank
#7754
State rank
#372 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Middle

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Rio Grande, NJ
Population (ZIP)
4,021

Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,234 people
By 2030
84,144 · -4.6%
By 2040
75,146 · -14.8%
By 2050
67,389 · -23.6%
By 2075
55,732 · -36.8%
By 2100
44,972 · -49.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cape May

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.7% · R 58.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.9 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 51.53%
Current HPI
414.7401
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $165,000 CMCMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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