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430 Highway 138 E
B- Composite 67.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

430 Highway 138 E · Stockbridge, GA 30281
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 689 sqft · Manufactured public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1970 0.47 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

GREAT INVESTMENT - 3 Bedroom 2 Bathroom Manufactured Home on . 47 Acres - Great Rental Investment Or Starter Home - Barn _ Out Building - Needs TLC - CASH ONLY - Call Agent Today For Private Showing!

Key facts

  • Out building
  • Manufactured home
  • Barn

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMEBARNOUT BUILDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.47 acres; Property located at 430 Highway 138 E, Stockbridge, GA 30281; Public records used for living area and lot information; Photos available (32)
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (2 parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank; Electricity available; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Manufactured home / single-family residence; Manufactured house structure; Fixer condition; Built in 1970
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Composition roof; Built in 1970
  • Exterior features: Porch; Level lot; Barn(s) and outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Double vanity; Family room; One level
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area — other/unspecified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 4.2% in Stockbridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#389 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Woodland Elementary School (math 21% / reading 22%, grade F, #845 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 619 students, 56% FRL); Woodland Middle School (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #291 of 470 statewide, top 64%, 705 students, 53% FRL); Woodland High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #238 of 424 statewide, top 57%, 1,334 students, 42% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 610 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $100k implies a 1090% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.20%
Cash-on-cash
21.09%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$12,138
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$39,124
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30281

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
610
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,424 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $799/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$492

Break-even live

Break-even rent $801
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $549 -5% $520 +0% $492 +5% $464 +10% $436
Rent -10% $380 -5% $436 +0% $492 +5% $548 +10% $605
Rate -1.0pp $543 -0.5pp $518 base $492 +0.5pp $466 +1.0pp $440

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10 Glenwood Way Stockbridge, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 981 $1,496 $1.52 0d 23 0.45mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $100,000 Under Contract 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 New 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 New 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 New 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 New 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    remarks 199-char remark
  7. 2026-06-09
    listed $100,000 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$799 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$920 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$121/yr (+$10/mo · 15.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,086
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$799
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,367
− Management
−$1,367
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$4,542
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,090
After-tax cash flow
$4,816/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
1302820
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$62,594
Composite
26.13/100
National rank
#7279
State rank
#89 of 174 in GA

Livability — Stockbridge

Score
60/100
State rank
#389
US rank
#19479

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Henry County · 316,359 people
City population
71,603
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
71,603
Household income
$71,213
Rent vs Own
37.7% rent · 62.3% own
Severe rent burden
2464.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,041 people
By 2030
264,369 · +6.2%
By 2040
294,459 · +18.2%
By 2050
322,249 · +29.4%
By 2075
392,310 · +57.5%
By 2100
437,836 · +75.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.76%
Current HPI
207.2332
Rent YoY
▲ 0.87%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1090.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $100,000 GAMLS
  • 1981-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $799 · +126.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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