CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
23442 Melville Ave
B Composite 72.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

23442 Melville Ave · Hazel Park, MI 48030
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 729 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1951 4,356 sqft lot Est $123k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 99 days

Tags

HARDWOOD IN LIVING ROOMPARTIALLY UPDATED KITCHENPARTIALLY UPDATED BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $90k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 6.3% in Hazel Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#65 in MI, #1,385 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D.
  • Hazel Park School District (suburban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #490 of 540 in MI (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $99k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,090 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
9.91%
Cash-on-cash
12.90%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$123,201
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23442 Melville Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 729 (0%) 0mo $90,000 $123 100
23815 Dormont Ave Ave 0.17mi 2/1.0 720 (-1%) 8mo $122,000 $169 83
23440 Couzens Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 745 (+2%) 2mo $110,000 $148 72
1320 E Goulson Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 726 (-0%) 7mo $136,000 $187 68
1706 E Pearl Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 728 (-0%) 3mo $165,000 $227 65
23818 Tawas Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 716 (-2%) 3mo $190,000 $265 64
2120 Pearl Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 756 (+4%) 1mo $113,000 $149 63
23131 Tawas Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 737 (+1%) 5mo $53,550 $73 62
967 E Shevlin Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 733 (+0%) 5mo $130,000 $177 60
694 E Morehouse Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 761 (+4%) 8mo $100,000 $131 54
23441 Hazelwood Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 790 (+8%) 0mo $142,500 $180 52
1424 E Harry Ave 0.74mi 1/1.0 (-1) 643 (-12%) 10mo $65,000 $101 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$2,874
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$26,665
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48030

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,338 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$199 /mo · $2,382/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$298

Break-even live

Break-even rent $961
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $354 -5% $326 +0% $298 +5% $270 +10% $242
Rent -10% $192 -5% $245 +0% $298 +5% $351 +10% $404
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $323 base $298 +0.5pp $272 +1.0pp $246

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Unit C1 Hazel Park, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $1,350 $2.45 25d 1 0.20mi
1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Unit C6 Hazel Park, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $1,100 $2.00 25d 1 0.20mi
1770 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 712 $1,400 $1.96 5d 1 0.20mi
1045 E Woodward Heights Blvd Hazel Park, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 715 $1,209 $1.69 25d 3 0.55mi
23115 Tawas Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 706 $1,375 $1.95 25d 1 0.69mi
23773 Hazelwood Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 671 $1,400 $2.09 13d 1 0.73mi
1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 749 $1,295 $1.73 18d 1 0.87mi
21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,375 $1.64 22d 1 0.90mi
1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 721 $1,500 $2.08 25d 1 1.08mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 25d 1 1.11mi
27 E Milton Ave Hazel Park, MI 1.0 1.0 568 $1,050 $1.85 15d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-03-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-27
    historical
  3. 2026-03-11
    status Pending 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

  4. 2026-03-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

  5. 2026-02-18
    status Active 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

  6. 2026-02-18
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

  7. 2026-02-05
    historical 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

  8. 2026-01-12
    status Active 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

  9. 2026-01-12
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

  10. 2025-11-27
    status Active Under Contract
  11. 2025-11-19
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

  12. 2025-11-19
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

  13. 2025-11-18
    historical
  14. 2025-11-12
    listed $99,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

  15. 2025-11-12
    listed $99,000 Active 351-char remark
    Show marketing remark (351 chars)

    What a fantastic opportunity. Some of the work has already been started and this darling Hazel Park ranch is just waiting for you to finish it. Hardwood in the living room and bedrooms. Light and bright with tons of windows. Partially updated kitchen with crisp white cabinets. Partially updated bath with modern grey decor. Subject to court approval.

  16. 2017-01-10
    soldstatus $37,500 Sold 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    Ranch style home with updated kitchen and bath, newer flooring, freshly painted and more. Located near schools, shopping, public transportation, and major freeways.

  17. 2017-01-10
    soldstatus $37,500 Closed
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    Ranch style home with updated kitchen and bath, newer flooring, freshly painted and more. Located near schools, shopping, public transportation, and major freeways.

  18. 2016-11-30
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    Ranch style home with updated kitchen and bath, newer flooring, freshly painted and more. Located near schools, shopping, public transportation, and major freeways.

  19. 2016-11-30
    status Pending 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    Ranch style home with updated kitchen and bath, newer flooring, freshly painted and more. Located near schools, shopping, public transportation, and major freeways.

  20. 2016-11-01
    listed $49,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    Ranch style home with updated kitchen and bath, newer flooring, freshly painted and more. Located near schools, shopping, public transportation, and major freeways.

  21. 2016-11-01
    listed $49,000 Active 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    Ranch style home with updated kitchen and bath, newer flooring, freshly painted and more. Located near schools, shopping, public transportation, and major freeways.

  22. 2011-12-02
    soldstatus $11,000
  23. 2011-12-02
    soldstatus $11,000
  24. 2011-11-22
    historical
  25. 2011-10-28
    listed $12,500
  26. 2011-10-28
    listed $12,500
  27. 1995-08-03
    soldstatus $31,500
  28. 1987-02-01
    soldstatus $27,900
  29. 1976-10-01
    soldstatus $17,612
  30. 1972-05-01
    soldstatus $16,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,382 · $199/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,382 · $199/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,056
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$2,382
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,284
− Management
−$1,284
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$2,184
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$524
After-tax cash flow
$3,053/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazel Park School District
NCES district ID
2618030
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$36,181
Composite
14.05/100
National rank
#9466
State rank
#490 of 540 in MI

Livability — Hazel Park

Score
81/100
State rank
#65
US rank
#1385

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazel Park, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
14,963
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
14,963
Household income
$67,073
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
432.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -184.32%
Current HPI
285.5923
Rent YoY
▲ 2.90%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+500.0% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-18 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-27 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-19 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-19 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-01-10 Sold (MLS) $37,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-01-10 Sold (MLS) $37,500 REALCOMP
  • 2016-11-30 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-11-30 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2016-11-01 Listed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-11-01 Listed $49,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-12-02 Sold (MLS) $11,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-12-02 Sold (MLS) $11,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-11-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-10-28 Listed $12,500 REALCOMP
  • 2011-10-28 Listed $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
  • 1987-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,900 Public Records
  • 1976-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,612 Public Records
  • 1972-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,382 · +24.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…