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402 W Battaglia Rd
B Composite 73.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

402 W Battaglia Rd · Eloy, AZ 85131
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,316 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1973 6,546 sqft lot Est $213k · 44% under ↓ 48% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming 4 bedroom 2 bathroom house home on a corner lot has been upgraded throughout. New cabinets, fresh paint, brand new A/C unit installed 2023. Don't miss out on this basically BRAND New home!

Key facts

  • Mature fruit trees
  • Covered parking
  • Convenient access

Tags

CORNER LOTCOVERED PARKINGOVERSIZED LOTMATURE FRUIT TREESCONVENIENT ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Tax year 2025 (annual tax listed); Directions: Please use GPS
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 open parking space
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof; Building area source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Corner lot; Dirt front and back yard; City-maintained road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Non-laminate counters; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Up to 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Full bath in primary bedroom; Dual-pane, ENERGY STAR qualified windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 1.3% in Eloy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#78 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Santa Cruz Valley Union High School District (4454) (town): math 11% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #382 of 501 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Santa Cruz Valley Union High School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #230 of 381 statewide, top 61%, 340 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 440 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,800 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
11.52%
Cash-on-cash
18.66%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$213,192
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
601 W 14th St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,343 (+2%) 18mo $185,000 $138 64
512 W 12th St 0.21mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,238 (-6%) 14mo $245,000 $198 62
520 W 14th St 0.23mi 3/1.8 (-1) 1,149 (-13%) 11mo $195,000 $170 53
1212 N Sunshine Blvd 0.61mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,277 (-3%) 11mo $185,000 $145 48
104 W 7th St 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,408 (+7%) 15mo $219,900 $156 46
317 W 9th St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,168 (-11%) 18mo $219,900 $188 45
1106 N Sunshine Blvd 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,144 (-13%) 18mo $185,000 $162 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$13,787
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$54,674
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85131

Home prices YoY
-25.9%
Active inventory
440
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,570 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $463/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $909
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $590 -5% $556 +0% $522 +5% $489 +10% $455
Rent -10% $398 -5% $460 +0% $522 +5% $585 +10% $647
Rate -1.0pp $583 -0.5pp $553 base $522 +0.5pp $491 +1.0pp $460

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
401 N D St Eloy, AZ 2.0–3.0 1.0 875 $950 $1.09 2d 4 0.85mi
204 N E St Eloy, AZ 3.0 2.0 1572 $1,200 $0.76 2d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $120,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-04-11
    listed $130,000 Active
  17. 2023-07-11
    soldstatus $223,000
  18. 2023-07-06
    soldstatus $240,000 Closed 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    This charming 4 bedroom 2 bathroom house home on a corner lot has been upgraded throughout. New cabinets, fresh paint, brand new A/C unit installed 2023. Don't miss out on this basically BRAND New home!

  19. 2023-06-09
    status Pending 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    This charming 4 bedroom 2 bathroom house home on a corner lot has been upgraded throughout. New cabinets, fresh paint, brand new A/C unit installed 2023. Don't miss out on this basically BRAND New home!

  20. 2023-06-05
    price $229,900 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    This charming 4 bedroom 2 bathroom house home on a corner lot has been upgraded throughout. New cabinets, fresh paint, brand new A/C unit installed 2023. Don't miss out on this basically BRAND New home!

  21. 2023-05-24
    price $245,000 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    This charming 4 bedroom 2 bathroom house home on a corner lot has been upgraded throughout. New cabinets, fresh paint, brand new A/C unit installed 2023. Don't miss out on this basically BRAND New home!

  22. 2023-04-22
    price $249,000 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    This charming 4 bedroom 2 bathroom house home on a corner lot has been upgraded throughout. New cabinets, fresh paint, brand new A/C unit installed 2023. Don't miss out on this basically BRAND New home!

  23. 2023-03-19
    listed $250,000 Active 202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (202 chars)

    This charming 4 bedroom 2 bathroom house home on a corner lot has been upgraded throughout. New cabinets, fresh paint, brand new A/C unit installed 2023. Don't miss out on this basically BRAND New home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$463 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$792 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$329/yr (+$27/mo · 71.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,841
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$463
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,507
− Management
−$1,507
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$4,551
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,092
After-tax cash flow
$5,178/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Santa Cruz Valley Union High School District (4454)
NCES district ID
0407530
Math proficiency
11% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$24,927
Composite
19.12/100
National rank
#13971
State rank
#382 of 501 in AZ

Livability — Eloy

Score
65/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#12496

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eloy, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
18,794
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
18,794
Household income
$56,576
Rent vs Own
24.6% rent · 75.4% own
Severe rent burden
301.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 36% Two or more races 16% Black 8% Native American 5% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 43%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.00%
Current HPI
171.3217
Rent YoY
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-48.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $130,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $223,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-06 Sold (MLS) $240,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-06-09 Pending ARMLS
  • 2023-06-05 Price Changed $229,900 ARMLS
  • 2023-05-24 Price Changed $245,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-04-22 Price Changed $249,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-03-19 Listed $250,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

-2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $463 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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