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3710 Gulf OF Mexico Dr Unit D19
B+ Composite 76.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

3710 Gulf OF Mexico Dr Unit D19 · Longboat Key, FL 34228
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 684 sqft · Manufactured public records · 457 Days on market
Built 1965 1,275 sqft lot $290/mo HOA · 8% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FANTASTIC OPPORTUNITY to own a home in a beach-to-bay community. Gulfshore of Longboat Key has it all -- private, pristine sand beach, on the Gulf of Mexico, a marina (needs to be repaired) on Sarasota Bay, large community pool, clubhouse with a commercial kitchen, a well-maintained campus and very reasonable HOA fees. Truly, Gulfshore is a remnant of Old Florida that is just six miles from the world-famous St. Armand’s Circle. This home features a living room, separate kitchen, dining room and two bedrooms. This unit was significantly impacted by the two hurricanes in late September and early October 2024. This home will require a complete remodel. Thus, the price has been reduced to the value of the land. The marina is in the process of being rebuilt. This unit also has parking for two cars and an outside shower/bathroom (needs to be remodeled) that is perfect for when you return from the beach. Gulfshore does not permit rentals or pets. This home offers the perfect opportunity to live in paradise at a very affordable price and in a home that you designed.

Key facts

  • Private sand beach
  • Large community pool
  • 1,275 sq ft lot

Tags

PRIVATE SAND BEACHMARINA ON SARASOTA BAYLARGE COMMUNITY POOLWELL-MAINTAINED CAMPUSOUTSIDE SHOWER BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 0.5% in Longboat Key — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#693 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Southside Elementary School (math 79% / reading 81%, grade A+, #110 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 687 students, 26% FRL); Booker Middle School (math 45% / reading 41%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 950 students, 76% FRL); Booker High School (math 26% / reading 43%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 1,309 students, 68% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 543 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 457 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 457 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.40%
Cap rate
18.50%
Cash-on-cash
43.61%
DSCR
2.94
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.5%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$71,359
Equity at exit
$49,094
10-year hold
IRR
36.2%
Equity multiple
5.29×
Total profit
$180,087
Equity at exit
$63,637

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34228

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
543
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,606 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,204/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$290
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$757
Net cashflow
$1,100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,214
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,185 -5% $1,142 +0% $1,100 +5% $1,057 +10% $1,015
Rent -10% $815 -5% $957 +0% $1,100 +5% $1,242 +10% $1,385
Rate -1.0pp $1,175 -0.5pp $1,138 base $1,100 +0.5pp $1,061 +1.0pp $1,021

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$290 · $3,480/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 457 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 454 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 453 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 451 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 449 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 448 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 446 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 445 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 443 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 440 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 439 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 438 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 437 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 436 DOM
  15. 2026-03-02
    status Active 1081-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1081 chars)

    FANTASTIC OPPORTUNITY to own a home in a beach-to-bay community. Gulfshore of Longboat Key has it all -- private, pristine sand beach, on the Gulf of Mexico, a marina (needs to be repaired) on Sarasota Bay, large community pool, clubhouse with a commercial kitchen, a well-maintained campus and very reasonable HOA fees. Truly, Gulfshore is a remnant of Old Florida that is just six miles from the world-famous St. Armand’s Circle. This home features a living room, separate kitchen, dining room and two bedrooms. This unit was significantly impacted by the two hurricanes in late September and early October 2024. This home will require a complete remodel. Thus, the price has been reduced to the value of the land. The marina is in the process of being rebuilt. This unit also has parking for two cars and an outside shower/bathroom (needs to be remodeled) that is perfect for when you return from the beach. Gulfshore does not permit rentals or pets. This home offers the perfect opportunity to live in paradise at a very affordable price and in a home that you designed.

  16. 2026-02-11
    historical 1081-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1081 chars)

    FANTASTIC OPPORTUNITY to own a home in a beach-to-bay community. Gulfshore of Longboat Key has it all -- private, pristine sand beach, on the Gulf of Mexico, a marina (needs to be repaired) on Sarasota Bay, large community pool, clubhouse with a commercial kitchen, a well-maintained campus and very reasonable HOA fees. Truly, Gulfshore is a remnant of Old Florida that is just six miles from the world-famous St. Armand’s Circle. This home features a living room, separate kitchen, dining room and two bedrooms. This unit was significantly impacted by the two hurricanes in late September and early October 2024. This home will require a complete remodel. Thus, the price has been reduced to the value of the land. The marina is in the process of being rebuilt. This unit also has parking for two cars and an outside shower/bathroom (needs to be remodeled) that is perfect for when you return from the beach. Gulfshore does not permit rentals or pets. This home offers the perfect opportunity to live in paradise at a very affordable price and in a home that you designed.

  17. 2025-08-31
    price $150,000 1081-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1081 chars)

    FANTASTIC OPPORTUNITY to own a home in a beach-to-bay community. Gulfshore of Longboat Key has it all -- private, pristine sand beach, on the Gulf of Mexico, a marina (needs to be repaired) on Sarasota Bay, large community pool, clubhouse with a commercial kitchen, a well-maintained campus and very reasonable HOA fees. Truly, Gulfshore is a remnant of Old Florida that is just six miles from the world-famous St. Armand’s Circle. This home features a living room, separate kitchen, dining room and two bedrooms. This unit was significantly impacted by the two hurricanes in late September and early October 2024. This home will require a complete remodel. Thus, the price has been reduced to the value of the land. The marina is in the process of being rebuilt. This unit also has parking for two cars and an outside shower/bathroom (needs to be remodeled) that is perfect for when you return from the beach. Gulfshore does not permit rentals or pets. This home offers the perfect opportunity to live in paradise at a very affordable price and in a home that you designed.

  18. 2025-08-31
    status Active 1081-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1081 chars)

    FANTASTIC OPPORTUNITY to own a home in a beach-to-bay community. Gulfshore of Longboat Key has it all -- private, pristine sand beach, on the Gulf of Mexico, a marina (needs to be repaired) on Sarasota Bay, large community pool, clubhouse with a commercial kitchen, a well-maintained campus and very reasonable HOA fees. Truly, Gulfshore is a remnant of Old Florida that is just six miles from the world-famous St. Armand’s Circle. This home features a living room, separate kitchen, dining room and two bedrooms. This unit was significantly impacted by the two hurricanes in late September and early October 2024. This home will require a complete remodel. Thus, the price has been reduced to the value of the land. The marina is in the process of being rebuilt. This unit also has parking for two cars and an outside shower/bathroom (needs to be remodeled) that is perfect for when you return from the beach. Gulfshore does not permit rentals or pets. This home offers the perfect opportunity to live in paradise at a very affordable price and in a home that you designed.

  19. 2025-08-11
    historical 1081-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1081 chars)

    FANTASTIC OPPORTUNITY to own a home in a beach-to-bay community. Gulfshore of Longboat Key has it all -- private, pristine sand beach, on the Gulf of Mexico, a marina (needs to be repaired) on Sarasota Bay, large community pool, clubhouse with a commercial kitchen, a well-maintained campus and very reasonable HOA fees. Truly, Gulfshore is a remnant of Old Florida that is just six miles from the world-famous St. Armand’s Circle. This home features a living room, separate kitchen, dining room and two bedrooms. This unit was significantly impacted by the two hurricanes in late September and early October 2024. This home will require a complete remodel. Thus, the price has been reduced to the value of the land. The marina is in the process of being rebuilt. This unit also has parking for two cars and an outside shower/bathroom (needs to be remodeled) that is perfect for when you return from the beach. Gulfshore does not permit rentals or pets. This home offers the perfect opportunity to live in paradise at a very affordable price and in a home that you designed.

  20. 2025-02-10
    listed $159,000 Active 1081-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1081 chars)

    FANTASTIC OPPORTUNITY to own a home in a beach-to-bay community. Gulfshore of Longboat Key has it all -- private, pristine sand beach, on the Gulf of Mexico, a marina (needs to be repaired) on Sarasota Bay, large community pool, clubhouse with a commercial kitchen, a well-maintained campus and very reasonable HOA fees. Truly, Gulfshore is a remnant of Old Florida that is just six miles from the world-famous St. Armand’s Circle. This home features a living room, separate kitchen, dining room and two bedrooms. This unit was significantly impacted by the two hurricanes in late September and early October 2024. This home will require a complete remodel. Thus, the price has been reduced to the value of the land. The marina is in the process of being rebuilt. This unit also has parking for two cars and an outside shower/bathroom (needs to be remodeled) that is perfect for when you return from the beach. Gulfshore does not permit rentals or pets. This home offers the perfect opportunity to live in paradise at a very affordable price and in a home that you designed.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,204 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,204 · $184/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,278
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,204
− Insurance
−$5,868
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,462
− Management
−$3,462
− HOA
−$3,480
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$12,035
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,888
After-tax cash flow
$10,309/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sarasota
NCES district ID
1201680
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,167
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#1428
State rank
#7 of 73 in FL

Livability — Longboat Key

Score
64/100
State rank
#693
US rank
#14452

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Longboat Key, FL
County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
City population
7,539
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
7,539
Household income
$158,030
Rent vs Own
6.4% rent · 93.6% own
Severe rent burden
98.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
452,380 people
By 2030
474,175 · +4.8%
By 2040
511,577 · +13.1%
By 2050
541,467 · +19.7%
By 2075
604,947 · +33.7%
By 2100
621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.73%
Current HPI
234.5017
Rent YoY
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-11 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-31 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-31 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-11 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-10 Listed $159,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,204 · +141.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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