1515 NE Perry Ave · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lovingly maintained 2 story 4 Bedroom 2 bath 1920s home with all vintage details - Coffered ceilings, Stained glass windows, Built in dining room buffet, natural wood work detailing and grand staircase plus back staircase. Updated kitchen with stainless steel appliances and Main floor laundry. 3 car detached garage. Porch with swing.
Key facts
- Coffered ceilings
- Grand staircase
- Back staircase
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with space for 3 cars; On-street parking available; Alley access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Built in 1920; Shingle roof; Zoned R4
- Construction: Year built 1920
- Exterior features: Level to terraced/sloping lot; Lot dimensions approximately 45 x 150 ft
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen with Luxury Vinyl Plank flooring
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (three on the upper level with egress windows; one additional bedroom listed); Primary bedroom dimensions approximately 13.04 x 13 ft (upper level); Second bedroom approximately 13.02 x 12 ft (upper level); Third bedroom approximately 13.1 x 9.11 ft (upper level); Fourth bedroom approximately 11.02 x 8.08 ft (upper level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors in living and family rooms and dining room; Luxury Vinyl Plank in kitchen and laundry; Carpet in bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Attic storage; Ceiling fans; One fireplace; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (about 8.02 x 7.05 ft)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Manual High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #659 of 693 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $100k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.42%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $60,318
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1515 NE Perry Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,446 (+10%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $39 | 84 |
| 1413 NE Madison Ave | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 | 2,510 (+12%) | 6mo | $142,500 | $57 | 63 |
| 1144 NE Glen Oak Ave | 0.35mi | 4/1.0 | 2,195 (-2%) | 21mo | $102,500 | $47 | 59 |
| 2217 NE Madison Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 | 2,068 (-7%) | 4mo | $29,000 | $14 | 54 |
| 712 E Ravine Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,264 (+1%) | 16mo | $50,000 | $22 | 53 |
| 2407 N Central Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,212 (-1%) | 6mo | $53,000 | $24 | 52 |
| 1309 E Hillcrest Pl | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,472 (+11%) | 20mo | $154,000 | $62 | 44 |
| 1831 N New York Ave | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,104 (-6%) | 15mo | $71,400 | $34 | 43 |
| 2403 N Central Ave | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 | 2,512 (+12%) | 4mo | $69,000 | $27 | 40 |
| 1802 NE Madison Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (-15%) | 24mo | $35,000 | $18 | 37 |
| 903 E Republic St | 0.55mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,920 (-14%) | 16mo | $30,000 | $16 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $7,238
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $37,984
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61603
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,206 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $382/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $358
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1806 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1668 | $894 | $0.54 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 308 E Archer Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $950 | $0.66 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 501 W Columbia Ter Unit 3 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $99,500 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 335-char remark
-
2026-06-03$99,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $382 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,320 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- +$939/yr (+$78/mo · 246.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,477
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$382
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,158
- − Management
- −$1,158
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $2,813
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$675
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,356
- Household income
- $41,618
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 849.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 36% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.98%
- Current HPI
- 141.5343
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.49%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+107.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $99,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-21 Sold (MLS) $55,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-13 Listed $70,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-09 Sold (MLS) $19,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-02-18 Listed $29,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2003-12-05 Sold (MLS) $42,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-04 Listed $47,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-9.2%/yrLatest (2019): $382 · -48.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…