6406 Sheridan Rd · Pine Bluff, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
solid 3 bed 2 baths 2260 sq ft house in a fast developing street in white hall, call us to see this spacious home.
Key facts
- 1.38 acre lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 263 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#483 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- White Hall School District (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #86 of 238 in AR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 264 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $115k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 264 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.92%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $188,816
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -39.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Betty St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,306 (+2%) | 14mo | $85,000 | $37 | 71 |
| 204 Wildwood | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,509 (+11%) | 2mo | $82,500 | $33 | 69 |
| 319 Edwards | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 2,181 (-4%) | 7mo | $345,000 | $158 | 65 |
| 6905 White Oak Cv | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,934 (-14%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $78 | 61 |
| 214 Sidney St | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 | 1,970 (-13%) | 14mo | $155,000 | $79 | 58 |
| 7204 Oxford | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,999 (-12%) | 6mo | $237,500 | $119 | 48 |
| 206 Opie Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 2,072 (-8%) | 14mo | $281,000 | $136 | 44 |
| 2012 Andy Cv | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 2,131 (-6%) | 23mo | $264,900 | $124 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,712
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $27,614
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71602
- Home prices YoY
- -7.8%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,314 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $801/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-01-17price $115,000 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
solid 3 bed 2 baths 2260 sq ft house in a fast developing street in white hall, call us to see this spacious home.
-
2026-01-16status Back on Market 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
solid 3 bed 2 baths 2260 sq ft house in a fast developing street in white hall, call us to see this spacious home.
-
2023-10-10historical 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
solid 3 bed 2 baths 2260 sq ft house in a fast developing street in white hall, call us to see this spacious home.
-
2023-06-01$129,000 New Listing 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
solid 3 bed 2 baths 2260 sq ft house in a fast developing street in white hall, call us to see this spacious home.
-
2023-05-22historical
-
2023-05-19price $94,000
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2023-02-09$130,000 New Listing
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2022-11-07soldstatus $65,000 Sold
-
2022-11-07soldstatus $65,000
-
2022-10-23status Under Contract
-
2022-09-21price $89,900
-
2022-07-20price $99,900
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2022-06-15price $129,900
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2022-04-04status Back on Market
-
2022-03-30historical
-
2022-03-18price $140,000
-
2022-02-01price $150,000
-
2021-09-29$475,000 New Listing
-
2020-09-29soldstatus $8,050
-
1995-01-23soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $801 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $801 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$801
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,261
- − Management
- −$1,261
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,076
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$498
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,340/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- White Hall School District
- NCES district ID
- 0514140
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,633
- Composite
- 32.16/100
- National rank
- #5788
- State rank
- #86 of 238 in AR
Livability — Pine Bluff
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #483
- US rank
- #25645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Bluff, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,922
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,110 people
- By 2030
- 58,519 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 49,740 · -21.2%
- By 2050
- 42,331 · -32.9%
- By 2075
- 29,591 · -53.1%
- By 2100
- 21,047 · -66.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 32% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.84%
- Current HPI
- 223.9305
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+130.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-17 Price Changed $115,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-16 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2023-10-10 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2023-06-01 Listed $129,000 CARMLS
- 2023-05-22 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2023-05-19 Price Changed $94,000 CARMLS
- 2023-02-09 Listed $130,000 CARMLS
- 2022-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-07 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CARMLS
- 2022-10-23 Pending — CARMLS
- 2022-09-21 Price Changed $89,900 CARMLS
- 2022-07-20 Price Changed $99,900 CARMLS
- 2022-06-15 Price Changed $129,900 CARMLS
- 2022-04-04 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2022-03-30 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2022-03-18 Price Changed $140,000 CARMLS
- 2022-02-01 Price Changed $150,000 CARMLS
- 2021-09-29 Listed $475,000 CARMLS
- 2020-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $8,050 Public Records
- 1995-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $801 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…