CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
573 Palm City Park Park
C+ Composite 62.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$103,579

573 Palm City Park Park · Campbelltown, PA 17003
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 938 sqft · Manufactured public records · 82 Days on market
Built 2012 $110/sqft · 29% above area Est $80k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the charm of this beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in Palm City Park. With a major renovation just completed, this residence boasts an open floor plan consisting of the living room, breakfast area, and kitchen. All new luxury vinyl plank flooring and carpet throughout. The kitchen features quartz countertops, new cabinets, stainless steel appliances, including a gas range and built-in microwave, as well as a built in dishwasher. Relax in the primary suite, which offers a full bathroom with a walk-in shower. Enjoy the convenience of main-floor laundry and energy-efficient replacement windows throughout. Outside, the property features a driveway for two vehicles and a shed for additional storage. Lot rent is $430/month which includes trash. Water and sewer is billed by the park and runs $55 a month total based on water consumption of up to 2,000 gallons. Park approval is required. Application is $65 per person. A $2,000 security deposit is required after settlement.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2012
  • Listed 82 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $104k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.2% in Campbelltown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#831 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Annville-Cleona SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #202 of 539 in PA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 315 units permitted in Lebanon County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $716 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lebanon County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,364 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
12.34%
Cash-on-cash
21.59%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$80,000
List price
$103,579
Delta
29.47%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
528 Palm City Park 0.09mi 3/2.0 924 (-2%) 9mo $76,500 $83 86

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$16,437
Equity at exit
$15,444
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$57,059
Equity at exit
$8,956

Cash invested: $29,002 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17003

Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,497 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$543
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $893/yr
Insurance
$43
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $836
Max offer price $103,579
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,895
Closing costs
$3,107
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $103,579 Pending 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $103,579 Active 82 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $103,579 Active 81 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $103,579 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $103,579 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $103,579 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $103,579 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $103,579 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $103,579 Active 72 DOM
  10. 2026-03-20
    listed $103,579 Active 1017-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1017 chars)

    Discover the charm of this beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in Palm City Park. With a major renovation just completed, this residence boasts an open floor plan consisting of the living room, breakfast area, and kitchen. All new luxury vinyl plank flooring and carpet throughout. The kitchen features quartz countertops, new cabinets, stainless steel appliances, including a gas range and built-in microwave, as well as a built in dishwasher. Relax in the primary suite, which offers a full bathroom with a walk-in shower. Enjoy the convenience of main-floor laundry and energy-efficient replacement windows throughout. Outside, the property features a driveway for two vehicles and a shed for additional storage. Lot rent is $430/month which includes trash. Water and sewer is billed by the park and runs $55 a month total based on water consumption of up to 2,000 gallons. Park approval is required. Application is $65 per person. A $2,000 security deposit is required after settlement.

  11. 2026-03-12
    historical $103,579 1017-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1017 chars)

    Discover the charm of this beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in Palm City Park. With a major renovation just completed, this residence boasts an open floor plan consisting of the living room, breakfast area, and kitchen. All new luxury vinyl plank flooring and carpet throughout. The kitchen features quartz countertops, new cabinets, stainless steel appliances, including a gas range and built-in microwave, as well as a built in dishwasher. Relax in the primary suite, which offers a full bathroom with a walk-in shower. Enjoy the convenience of main-floor laundry and energy-efficient replacement windows throughout. Outside, the property features a driveway for two vehicles and a shed for additional storage. Lot rent is $430/month which includes trash. Water and sewer is billed by the park and runs $55 a month total based on water consumption of up to 2,000 gallons. Park approval is required. Application is $65 per person. A $2,000 security deposit is required after settlement.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$893 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,265 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$372/yr (+$31/mo · 41.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,963
− Mortgage interest
−$5,802
− Property taxes
−$893
− Insurance
−$518
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,437
− Management
−$1,437
− Depreciation
−$3,013
Taxable income
$4,862
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,167
After-tax cash flow
$5,094/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Annville-Cleona SD
NCES district ID
4202490
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$56,373
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3421
State rank
#202 of 539 in PA

Livability — Campbelltown

Score
69/100
State rank
#831
US rank
#8645

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
23,968
Population (ZIP)
11,932

Population outlook (Lebanon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,806 people
By 2030
147,534 · +1.9%
By 2040
152,952 · +5.6%
By 2050
159,406 · +10.1%
By 2075
181,736 · +25.5%
By 2100
198,402 · +37.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% German 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lebanon

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.0) · D 33.6% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -32.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.06%
Current HPI
193.333
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $103,579 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-12 Coming Soon $103,579 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $893 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…