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75 Paige St St
A Composite 86.67
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,000

75 Paige St St · Owego, NY 13827
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1920 2,178 sqft lot Est $137k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why RENT when you can OWN your own home?! This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home offers affordable living with it's lower taxes and could be a fantastic investment opportunity to add to your portfolio. Mere minutes away from Downtown Owego, this home includes a newer Furnace/Water Heater (Oct 2023), new front porch (2024) and off-street parking.

Key facts

  • Half bath
  • Newer furnace
  • Front porch

Tags

MAIN FLOOR BEDROOMHALF BATHNEWER FURNACEHOT WATER HEATERFRONT PORCHEASY TO MAINTAIN YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed by EXIT REALTY HOMEWARD BOUND

Exterior

  • Parking: No on-site parking listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Free-standing range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Range; Free-standing range; Gas water heater; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 5.3% in Owego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#214 in NY, #3,289 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
  • Owego-Apalachin Central School District (town): math 62% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #204 of 590 in NY (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Owego Elementary School (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #447 of 2,108 statewide, top 24%, 486 students, 53% FRL); Owego-Apalachin Middle School (math 36% / reading 57%, grade D+, #330 of 729 statewide, top 46%, 443 students, 45% FRL); Owego Free Academy (math 98% / reading 75%, grade A, #342 of 1,100 statewide, top 31%, 606 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
  • Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $78k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
11.58%
Cash-on-cash
18.90%
DSCR
1.84
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,088
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
75 Paige St 0.00mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,344 (0%) 14mo $78,000 $58 84
113 Spencer Ave Ave 0.13mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,264 (-6%) 4mo $93,500 $74 76
4 West Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,368 (+2%) 4mo $75,000 $55 68
249 Erie St 0.30mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,416 (+5%) 7mo $145,000 $102 66
105 Chestnut St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,488 (+11%) 12mo $80,000 $54 58
55 William St 0.72mi 2/1.0 1,256 (-6%) 2mo $164,500 $131 52
14 Orchard Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (+4%) 9mo $222,000 $159 49
10 John St 0.36mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,486 (+11%) 14mo $168,000 $113 49
95 West Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,366 (+2%) 17mo $99,000 $72 45
527 E Main St 0.67mi 2/1.5 1,469 (+9%) 11mo $175,000 $119 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
3.50×
Total profit
$69,248
Equity at exit
$75,941
10-year hold
IRR
31.1%
Equity multiple
7.50×
Total profit
$180,244
Equity at exit
$151,441

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13827

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,334 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $681/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$437

Break-even live

Break-even rent $781
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $493 -5% $465 +0% $437 +5% $408 +10% $380
Rent -10% $331 -5% $384 +0% $437 +5% $489 +10% $542
Rate -1.0pp $486 -0.5pp $462 base $437 +0.5pp $411 +1.0pp $385

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
81 North Ave Unit 2 Owego, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 45d 1 0.28mi
54 Central Ave #2 Owego, NY 1.0 1.0 915 $1,375 $1.50 23d 1 0.32mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 299-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $99,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$681 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,177 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$496/yr (+$41/mo · 72.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,005
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$681
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,280
− Management
−$1,280
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$3,843
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$922
After-tax cash flow
$4,316/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Owego-Apalachin Central School District
NCES district ID
3622170
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$57,425
Composite
53.45/100
National rank
#1464
State rank
#204 of 590 in NY

Livability — Owego

Score
76/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#3289

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Owego, NY
Population (ZIP)
11,713

Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,155 people
By 2030
42,801 · -5.2%
By 2040
37,960 · -15.9%
By 2050
33,071 · -26.8%
By 2075
24,144 · -46.5%
By 2100
16,545 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tioga

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.9) · D 38.6% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -22.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.9 2020: R+20.6 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.11%
Current HPI
259.9605
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+825.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $99,000 GBAOR
  • 2025-08-29 Price Changed $96,000 GBAOR
  • 2025-07-16 Listed $99,000 GBAOR
  • 2025-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2025-05-01 Sold (MLS) $78,000 GBAOR
  • 2025-04-04 Pending GBAOR
  • 2025-03-20 Price Changed $84,900 GBAOR
  • 2025-02-25 Listed $89,900 GBAOR
  • 2022-10-14 Price Changed $49,500 GBAOR
  • 2022-10-10 Relisted GBAOR
  • 2022-09-20 Listed $58,500 GBAOR
  • 2005-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 2002-07-03 Listed $40,900 GBAOR
  • 1996-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $10,700 Public Records

Property tax history

-8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $681 · -66.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…