🏷️ Likely Rental
1835 S Park Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming carriage house opportunity in South Buffalo! Located at 1835 S Park, this property offers a unique chance to create a cozy residence or income-producing rental. The property is currently rented to a happy tenant paying $1150. It could make an excellent owner occupied residence or an excellent short term rental location! The inside is nicely appointed with hardwood floors and a great layout! This property could be sold as a package with the 4-unit next door
Key facts
- 5,600 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1928
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $120k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.59%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $242,078
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -50.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 780 Tifft St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-0%) | 5mo | $197,500 | $206 | 80 |
| 104 Pries Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,029 (+7%) | 1mo | $193,000 | $188 | 74 |
| 827 Tifft St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,002 (+4%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $230 | 74 |
| 28 Bloomfield Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (+10%) | 3mo | $107,000 | $101 | 67 |
| 30 Portland St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,006 (+5%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $159 | 66 |
| 88 Marbeth Ct | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 3mo | $239,900 | $238 | 62 |
| 351 Abbott Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+12%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $162 | 60 |
| 53 Koester St | 0.33mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 850 (-12%) | 0mo | $178,000 | $209 | 60 |
| 30 Strathmore Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+12%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $227 | 59 |
| 161 Woodside Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+10%) | 0mo | $244,000 | $231 | 56 |
| 62 S Ryan St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 858 (-11%) | 2mo | $107,000 | $125 | 46 |
| 45 Unger Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,072 (+11%) | 3mo | $223,600 | $209 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $5,579
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $56,899
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,272 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$29 /mo · $347/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Abbott Rd Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 100 Athol St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,314 | $2.19 | 1d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 696 Hopkins St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 700 Hopkins St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,225 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 61 Princeton Pl Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,300 | $1.59 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2111 Seneca St #3 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,150 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 102 Wildwood Pl Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 40 Vincent Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $875 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 46 Kirkwood Dr Unit Lower West Seneca, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 47 Lester St Unit Main Floor Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-02$120,000 Active 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Charming carriage house opportunity in South Buffalo! Located at 1835 S Park, this property offers a unique chance to create a cozy residence or income-producing rental. The property is currently rented to a happy tenant paying $1150. It could make an excellent owner occupied residence or an excellent short term rental location! The inside is nicely appointed with hardwood floors and a great layout! This property could be sold as a package with the 4-unit next door
-
2025-05-06soldstatus $75,000
-
2022-08-09soldstatus $350,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $347 · $29/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,188 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$840/yr (+$70/mo · 241.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,264
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$347
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,221
- − Management
- −$1,221
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,661
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$399
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,161/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,428
- Household income
- $70,963
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 602.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.29%
- Current HPI
- 402.5053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.62%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-65.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listed $120,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $347 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…