14257 Steel St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity on the west side of Detroit! 3 bed 1 bath, Huge basement.
Key facts
- 0.9 acre lot
- Built 1923
- Listed 113 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $787 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 33.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 2 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 96.41%
- DSCR
- 5.29
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $45,296
- List price
- $35,000
- Delta
- -22.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14565 Hartwell St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-12%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $72 | 52 |
| 13991 Ardmore St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+5%) | 2mo | $10,000 | $9 | 52 |
| 14301 Freeland St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,020 (-1%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $64 | 50 |
| 15061 Pinehurst St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 970 (-6%) | 15mo | $85,000 | $88 | 48 |
| 13544 Mendota St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+5%) | 16mo | $67,500 | $63 | 48 |
| 14284 Cruse St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,121 (+9%) | 7mo | $25,000 | $22 | 47 |
| 14929 Birwood St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 999 (-3%) | 13mo | $65,000 | $65 | 46 |
| 14014 Washburn St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 876 (-15%) | 3mo | $17,000 | $19 | 46 |
| 15061 Snowden St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,080 (+5%) | 10mo | $37,000 | $34 | 46 |
| 14892 Ilene St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+7%) | 14mo | $77,000 | $70 | 39 |
| 14871 NE Cheyenne St NW | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 878 (-14%) | 13mo | $69,000 | $79 | 38 |
| 14919 Lesure St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+13%) | 12mo | $53,000 | $46 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 97.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.50×
- Total profit
- $44,102
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 99.6%
- Equity multiple
- 11.35×
- Total profit
- $101,452
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28227
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,297 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $468/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $787
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $807 | -5% $797 | +0% $787 | +5% $777 | +10% $768 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $685 | -5% $736 | +0% $787 | +5% $839 | +10% $890 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $805 | -0.5pp $796 | base $787 | +0.5pp $778 | +1.0pp $769 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,294 | $1.06 | 18d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 14847 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 849 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 17d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 15088 Littlefield St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1294 | $1,275 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 13620 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15388 Appoline St #203 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 13979 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,334 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14570 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 15738 Sorrento Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $1,175 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 15512 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 15512 Mendota St Apt 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1255 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 5d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 15760 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 15073 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,350 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 14375 Terry St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,425 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 12703 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1365 | $1,053 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 14264 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 15765 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1093 | $950 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1327 | $1,350 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 14834 Sussex St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,373 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 15777 Wisconsin St Unit 77 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 15839 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 18d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $35,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $35,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-04-19price $35,000 80-char remark
Show marketing remark (80 chars)
Investment opportunity on the west side of Detroit! 3 bed 1 bath, Huge basement.
-
2026-02-27$49,900 Active 80-char remark
Show marketing remark (80 chars)
Investment opportunity on the west side of Detroit! 3 bed 1 bath, Huge basement.
-
2026-02-20historical
-
2025-07-15$40,000 Active
-
2025-07-15$40,000 Active
-
2025-06-06historical
-
2024-09-14price $44,400
-
2024-09-13price $44,400
-
2024-05-25price $44,900
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2024-05-24price $44,900
-
2024-02-07$29,900 Active
-
2024-02-07$29,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $468 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $504 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- +$35/yr (+$3/mo · 7.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,562
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$468
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,245
- − Management
- −$1,245
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $9,450
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,268
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,180/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Mecklenburg County
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,482
- Household income
- $77,115
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1373.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -281.74%
- Current HPI
- 257.0678
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.70%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+17.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-27 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-15 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-15 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-14 Price Changed $44,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-13 Price Changed $44,400 REALCOMP
- 2024-05-25 Price Changed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-05-24 Price Changed $44,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-02-07 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-02-07 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $468 · -13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…