1732 Branam Hill Rd · Jellico, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$42,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
Key facts
- Near veterans park
- Near hospitals
- Storage building
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking on the main level
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property
- Construction: Wood siding and frame construction; Other construction materials noted
- Exterior features: Corner lot with rolling slope; Mountain view; Storage outbuilding/structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Seven total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $43k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $43k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 4.3% in Jellico — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#352 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Campbell County (rural): math 19% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #120 of 139 in TN (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Jellico Elementary (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #786 of 952 statewide, top 84%, 288 students, 0% FRL); Jacksboro Middle School (math 28% / reading 23%, grade F, #147 of 333 statewide, top 45%, 493 students, 0% FRL); Jellico High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #237 of 332 statewide, top 75%, 281 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 111 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($297 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Campbell County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $43k implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.51%
- DSCR
- 3.56
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,672
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 648 Poplar Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+14%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $61 | 39 |
| 591 Ellison St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+15%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $128 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.42×
- Total profit
- $41,131
- Equity at exit
- $18,473
- IRR
- 61.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.97×
- Total profit
- $95,963
- Equity at exit
- $27,817
Cash invested: $12,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37762
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,095 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$225
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $537/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $577
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,750
- Closing costs
- $1,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $42,999 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $42,999 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $42,999 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $42,999 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $42,999 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $42,999 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $42,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $42,999 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $42,999 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $42,999 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $42,999 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $42,999 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $42,999 Active 39 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $42,999 Active 38 DOM
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2026-04-23$42,999 Active
-
2026-01-08$26,499 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-12-02soldstatus $17,000 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-12-02soldstatus $17,000 Closed 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-06-05historical Pending - Continue to Show 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-06-01status Active 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-05-23status Pending
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-05-23historical Pending - Continue to Show 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-05-23price $26,499
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-05-23price $26,499 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-05-16price $26,500
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-05-16price $26,500 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-05-07price $29,900
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-05-07price $29,900 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-04-30price $29,909
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-04-30price $29,909 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-04-23price $29,990
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-04-23price $29,990 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-04-16price $29,999
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-04-16price $29,999 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-03-27price $34,999
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-03-27price $34,999 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-03-10price $39,999
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-03-10price $39,999 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-03-05$44,999 Active
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2025-03-05$44,999 Active 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Contractors dream, this home is convenient to I75, minutes to hospital and outdoor adventure close by. Would make a great rental property or family home
-
2017-02-17historical
-
2017-01-30$35,000 Active
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2017-01-30price $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $537 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $537 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,142
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,409
- − Property taxes
- −$537
- − Insurance
- −$215
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,051
- − Management
- −$1,051
- − Depreciation
- −$1,251
- Taxable income
- $6,628
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,591
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,333/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Campbell County
- NCES district ID
- 4700420
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,606
- Composite
- 15.84/100
- National rank
- #9262
- State rank
- #120 of 139 in TN
Livability — Jellico
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #352
- US rank
- #23161
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jellico, TN
- City population
- 2,528
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,528
Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,507 people
- By 2030
- 35,989 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 32,773 · -12.6%
- By 2050
- 29,475 · -21.4%
- By 2075
- 21,972 · -41.4%
- By 2100
- 15,332 · -59.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Campbell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.6) · D 14.8% · R 84.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.7pp toward R · 2008: -37.0pp · 2024: -69.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.6 2020: R+66.2 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+37.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.64%
- Current HPI
- 418.949
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+72.0% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $42,999 Knoxville MLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed $26,499 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-02 Sold (MLS) $17,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-12-02 Sold (MLS) $17,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-05 Contingent — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-06-01 Relisted — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-05-23 Pending — GSMAR
- 2025-05-23 Contingent — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-05-23 Price Changed $26,499 GSMAR
- 2025-05-23 Price Changed $26,499 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-05-16 Price Changed $26,500 GSMAR
- 2025-05-16 Price Changed $26,500 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-05-07 Price Changed $29,900 GSMAR
- 2025-05-07 Price Changed $29,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-04-30 Price Changed $29,909 GSMAR
- 2025-04-30 Price Changed $29,909 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-04-23 Price Changed $29,990 GSMAR
- 2025-04-23 Price Changed $29,990 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-04-16 Price Changed $29,999 GSMAR
- 2025-04-16 Price Changed $29,999 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-03-27 Price Changed $34,999 GSMAR
- 2025-03-27 Price Changed $34,999 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-03-10 Price Changed $39,999 GSMAR
- 2025-03-10 Price Changed $39,999 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-03-05 Listed $44,999 GSMAR
- 2025-03-05 Listed $44,999 Knoxville MLS
- 2017-02-17 Listing Removed — Knoxville MLS
- 2017-01-30 Listed $35,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2017-01-30 Price Changed $25,000 Knoxville MLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $537 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…